Sharapova 1.47, Sevastova 3.05
Head to heads are one win each. They last met in Beijing in October 2017. Sharapova won on a hard court in a third set tie break. Just over a month earlier Sevastova won on a hard court at the US Open. She also won in 3 sets.
Sharapova has better hard court results in the last 12 months. She only played 19 matches on hard courts due to her ban. She won 15 of 19 (79%) on this surface. In the last round she wasn’t really tested by Tatjana Maria and she won in straight sets.
Sevastova reached the semi finals in Brisbane in her first tournament of the year. She reached the third round of the Australian Open last year losing to Muguruza in 2 sets. She had to work hard in the last round after losing the first set to Varvara Lepchenko. She was only broken twice in 3 sets.
Their 2 previous matches were both last year on hard courts and went to a deciding set. We have a fair chance of 3 sets again today. Lay Sharapova if she breaks first. Back her if she gets broken or loses set 1