Due to start at 4:30 am
Pliskova 2.34, Osaka 1.73
Pliskova leads their previous matches 2-1. The last time they met was In September last year. It was on a hard court in the final in Tokyo and she won in straight sets. All their matches have been on hard courts. Pliskova’s other win was due to Osaka retiring in the third set in Canada.
Both had very strong seasons in 2018. On hard courts Osaka leads 79% v 75% matches won. Her ROI was a lot higher than Pliskova’s. Stats for the tournament are almost identical. Both held serve around 81% of the time.
Pliskova was 1-5 down in the deciding set against Serena Williams in the last round. At match point Serena went over on her ankle. That affected her and Pliskova took full advantage. Serena didn’t win another point on her own serve.
Osaka had a tough opening set with Svitolina. Svitolina was having more problems with her neck/shoulder injury and had treatment on it when she was 0-3 down in the second set. Osaka went on to win the set easily 6-1.
Some value on Pliskova as I think we get 3 sets. Very tough to pick a winner. Lay Osaka if she breaks first. She can be vulnerable after breaking serve herself.
Update: Osaka took the first set with a double break and broke serve at the start of set 2. Pliskova fought back to take it into a deciding set. A single break in set 3 gave the match to Osaka.
Osaka won 6-2, 4-6, 6-4.