Davis has won all 3 of their previous matches including 2 ins on hard courts in early 2016. Their last match was in San Antonio, USA and she came back from losing the opening set 2-6.
Davis’ stats on hard courts are a little better this year but occasionally Wickmayer has a week where everything falls into place for her. Her serve finds the target regularly and she makes good decisions in rallies.
Davis struggled in her opening match and was a set and a break down to Rogers. She hasn’t lost a set since then. She put in a strong performance against Pegula in the semi final.
Wickmayer served extremely well in her first match and while she didn’t serve badly in the next 2 rounds her stats dropped slightly each time. She struggled to put away an injured Mladenovic in their quarter final. In her semi final she stepped up her intensity and Putintseva was never really in the match. Wickmayer started their opening set with a double break of serve.
I think we will see a bigger price on Wickmayer but I favour her to win the title. I’ll be backing her if she gets broken first.