Larsson won their only previous meeting which was in February this year in Acapulco. She won on a hard court in 3 sets.
Larsson lost in the qualifying rounds to Ana Konjuh but got a Lucky Loser place in the main draw. She beat Bacsinszky in the main draw but I am not convinced that Bacsinszky was totally up for the match. Larsson had not won a set from her in their previous 5 matches.
Rogers had a surprisingly easy win over Mladenovic in the last round. She lost just 2 games. I am going with Rogers for this one and think we see another 3 setter from them. She can often raise her game in front of a home crowd.
I will back Rogers with part stake at the start and will lay Larsson if she breaks serve.