This is their first meeting.
Bouchard reached the semis the last time she played this tournament. That was in 2013 and they played on indoor hard courts that year. Carpet courts bounce a little lower and are perhaps a little more like grass in that respect.
Minella put in some very respectable performances during the grass season. Bouchard also found some form on grass this year and is the home player.
Bouchard started the year quite strongly and looked like she had put her terrible 2015 behind her. She hasn’t been able to maintain her early level of play that saw her reach finals in Hobart and Kuala Lumpur.
I think Minella can force the price a fair bit higher but Bouchard will get the win. Back Bouchard if she gets broken and then Minella holds.