Pavlyuchenkova won both their previous meetings. Their last match was in Washington last August. She won in a 3rd set tie break on a hard court. Both their matches went to 3 sets.
Pavlyuchenkova came back from 2-5 down in the third set in the last round. She has a weak record at thew Rogers Cup and has won just 2 of her 8 matches there.
McHale came through the qualifying rounds as lucky loser. I am sure she knew she had a lucky loser place in the main draw. She lost to Kucova in straight sets and didn’t win a game in their opening set. She got through the last round when Zhang retired.
I think we again get 3 sets from these 2. Value is on Mchale at the start. Lay Pavlyuchenkova if she breaks first. Tough to pick who wins set 3.