Venus leads their previous matches 2-1. They played twice last year. Venus won in November in China. That was on a hard court and went to 3 sets after Keys took the opening set. Keys had won at the Australian Open in January. That also went to 3 sets and again Keys took set 1.
Keys has won both her matches this week in straight sets. She has been broken just once.
Venus reached the final last week in Washington. I wondered if she would have enough energy to go deep this week but she is going well. She lost just 3 games against Barbora Strycova.
Their hard court stats are quite even and I think this can go either way. I will give Venus a chance and the value is on her at the start.
Keys starts around 1.75 . As she has started well in their 2015 matches I will wait for a lower price to lay her. Lay below 1.45