Tight match expected and tournament stats favour Kerber
Due to start at 12:00
Kerber 1.97, Garcia 2.00
Kerber 4-2. Most recent Mar 2018, hard, Kerber in 2 easy sets. Garcia won their only clay match in 2014 when Kerber retired.
Overall results in the last 12 months favour Garcia. 2018 results favour Kerber. Clay results are better this season for Garcia. Stats for the tournament are stronger for Garcia on serve and for Kerber on everything else.
Kerber was not really tested by Barthel and Bogdan in her first two matches. She had a much stiffer test in the last round against Kiki Bertens. Bertens served for the second set but was broken. Kerber took the set in a tie break as she had done in the opening set. Kerber has a good record at the French Open although lost in the first round in 2017 and 2016. She has a better career record in Paris than Garcia.
Garcia reached the quarter finals last season. She lost just 1 game in the first round against Ying Ying Duan. Despite facing 9 break points. Duan’s game was a break of serve. Garcia’s serve has been solid in this tournament.
I think we have a good chance of 3 sets. Slight edge to Kerber to get the win. Lay Garcia if she breaks or if she takes set 1