Expect a great match but Pliskova has looked more solid in earlier rounds.
Due to start at 12:30
Sharapova 1.88, Pliskova 2.12
Sharapova won their only previous meeting. That was in a Fed Cup tie in November 2015. She won in straight sets on an indoor hard court.
Overall results favour Pliskova in the last 12 months and also in 2018. She has won 74% of her matches this season compared to 66% for Sharapova. Both have been strong on clay and again Pliskova has a slight edge in the stats.
Pliskova had a tough match in the last round. Safarova served really well for 2 sets and gave Pliskova very few chances but Pliskova eventually wore her down. I really thought Safarova was going to win but a late break in set 2 gave the set to Pliskova and Safarova ran out of steam.
Sharapova’s serve has come under a lot of pressure this week. She faced 13 break points against Vekic in the last round and needed 3 sets against 134th ranked Richel Hogenkamp.
We have some value on Pliskova. There is a good chance of 3 sets. Lay Sharapova if she breaks. It is not unusual for Pliskova to get broken early in what is expected to be a tight match.