Kontaveit won their only previous meeting. That was in New Haven, USA in August 2016. She won on a hard court in straight sets.
Much better results for Kontaveit this year. On clay they are more even. She has slightly better stats this year on clay.
Bertens’ recent results are a little better with both having 2 good weeks either side of the French Open.
Kontaveit has lost just 1 set this week and Bertens has won all her matches in straight sets. Kontaveit’s stats this week are better in every category other than service holds. She held 82% of her service games compared to Bertens’ 93% of service games held.
We have some value on Bertens to take a set but I see Kontaveit winning in 3. Lay Bertens if she breaks first