Starts at 2 am
V. Williams 2.22, Kasatkina 1.79
Head to heads are 1-1. They last met at Wimbledon in June 2016. Venus won in 3 very tight sets on grass. Kasatkina won on a hard court in Jan 2016, 3 sets.
Venus has better overall results in the last 12 months and also stronger stats this year. She has not lost a set so far in her 4 matches. A lot of players have had poor second serve stats in the tournament through trying to generate more speed on the slow courts. Venus has bucked that trend. At times she has had to work very hard for her service holds.
Kasatkina has also not lost a set. She beat Wozniacki and Kerber in the last 2 rounds. Both were poor but Kasatkina has lifted her game in this tournament. She has been playing by instinct. If she starts to think about how well she has done to get to this stage she may get tight. All stats favour her in this tournament.
I think we have a good chance of 3 sets. Kasatkina’s last 2 opponents played well below their normal levels. I’d favour Kasatkina to win in 3 sets as long as she can maintain her intensity on return.
Back Kasatkina above 2.00