Vondrousova 1.67, Sabalenka 2.44
Vondrousova won their only previous meeting. That was in April last year. She won on an indoor court in 3 sets.
Vondrousova has better overall results in the last 12 months though Sabalenka has the higher ROI. This week she beat Brengle in the first round and then beat Konta. Both wins were in straight sets.
Sabalenka has made a better start to 2018 and has won 10 of her 14 matches. Hard court results also favour Sabalenka. She has also not lost a set this week. She beat Lepchenko and last year’s runner up Kuznetsova.
Some value on Sabalenka and I expect her to take at least a set. Lay Vondrousova below 1.45 and remove or reduce liability at 1.90. we have a very good chance of 3 sets.
Update: Very poor performance from Sabalenka. Vondrousova won 6-2, 6-2.