Due to start at 2:30 pm
Kasatkina 1.67, Konta 2.46
Head to heads are 1-1. Their most recent meeting was in Dubai in February this year. Kasatkina won in 3 sets on a hard court. Konta won when they met in Sydney in January 2017 in 2 sets. That was also on a hard court.
Better results for Kasatkina in 2018. Her ROI is significantly higher. Both players have strong indoor records.
Kasatkina has a very good record in Moscow in recent years. She reached the final last season, quarter final in 2016 and the semi finals in 2015. Her second serve has looked vulnerable this week and that will be Konta’s best chance of putting her under pressure.
Kasatkina has been the more impressive this week. She beat Pavlyuchenkova in the last round in straight sets. Her second serve was dire in the second round against Cornet and she won just 4 of 23 points on it.
Konta has had some tough opponents this week and has been pre match favourite each time. She has served pretty well although in the quarter final against Sasnovich she faced 16 break points. She was only broken twice but I’d expect Kasatkina to convert more of those chances.
If Kasatkina improves her second serve points won percentage to be above her 33% from the last round then she wins. I do think she gets the win anyway but will probably need 3 sets if she doesn’t improve that second delivery.
Back Kasatkina around 2.00.