Watson 2.20, Mertens 1.81
This will be the first time they have met.
Better overall results for Mertens this year. She has won 64% of her matches in 2017 compared to 55% for Watson. Mertens wasn’t so impressive in the last round and lost the 2nd set 6-0 to Brengle. She faced 15 break points and was broken 7 times. She threw away an early lead in the third set but Immediately broke again and held on for the match.
Watson is having one of her rare weeks where her serve is working really well and that gives her confidence for the rest of her game. I thought Wickmayer would give her a lot more problems than she did but in the end Watson only lost 3 games in that match. Kontaveit would normally beat Watson but lost in 2 very tight sets.
Value on Watson to take at least a set. She has only been broken once in her 2 matches combined. Lay Mertens below 1.60 or wait for her to break before laying her.