Kerber has won all 3 of their previous matches. The last one was in September 2014. She has never lost a set to Strycova.
Kerber’s form suffered after her win at the Australian Open. That isn’t unusual. There will have been a lot of media and public attention surrounding her and that disrupts her concentration on tennis. She is the better player but her win today is far from certain.
Strycova reached the 4th round in Indian Wells and easily beat Friedsam in the last round this week. She also reached the 4th round in Melbourne and the final in Dubai.
I think this could easily go to 3 sets and there is a little value on Strycova.
Lay Kerber below 1.30