Due to start at 11:30 pm
Kvitova 1.65, Barty 2.52
Kvitova has won all 4 of their previous matches. The last time they met was in the quarter final of the Australian Open in January. She won in straight sets. Their last 2 matches were on hard courts.
Overall results are close but slightly favour Barty. Their hard court results are very even.
Kvitova has the higher ROI in 2019. She won the title in Sydney. She also reached the final of the Australian Open and Dubai. She was probably ready for a rest and losing her opening match in Indian Wells to Venus Williams gave her that break. In this tournament she needed 3 sets to get past Vekic and beat Garcia in straight sets in the last round.
Barty ended last season with the title in the Zuhai Championships. In 2019 she made the final in Sydney and the quarter finals at the Australian Open. She lost in 3 sets to Svitolina in Indian Wells in the fourth round. She was very comfortable against Yastremska and Stosur. She lost the opening set to Bertens in the last round but recovered to win in 3 sets.
We have a very good chance of 3 sets. Barty has won the first set in 2 of their last 3 matches. Lay Kvitova around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.80.
Back Kvitova around 1.90 or wait for her to lose set 1 before backing her.
Update: Kvitova got the first break of serve but was immediately broken back. Barty took the set in a tie break. Kvitova was 4-1 up in that tie break. Kvitova bounced straight back with a 3-0 lead in set 2 and she went on to take the set.
Barty took a 3-0 lead in set 3. Kvitova got the break back but did not hold serve for the rest of the set.
Barty won 7-6, 3-6, 6-2.