Svitolina has stronger results this year but Ostapenko will make her work hard.
Due to start at 6 pm
Ostapenko 3.75, Svitolina 1.35
Ostapenko won their only previous meeting. That was at Wimbledon last July. She won on grass in straight sets.
Much better overall results for Svitolina in the last 12 months and also in 2018. Hard court results also strongly favour her.
Ostapenko has not lost a set so far. Babos put her under a lot of pressure in the 2nd round. Haddad Maia had the fewest break chances on the Ostapenko serve but took 3 of her 4 break points. Ostapenko beat Kvitova in the last round. She was broken just once. The sets were close but she broke first in each one.
Svitolina has lost one set in the tournament. Gavrilova took their opening set in the third round. Svitolina was broken 3 times in that match but lost just 2 games in sets 2 and 3.
Stats for the tournament are remarkably similar. Svitolina has a slight edge in all the major categories. I think we will get 3 sets here. Some value on Ostapenko.
Back Svitolina after she gets broken.
Update: Svitolina came back from being a break down 3 times in the opening set but lost it in a tie break. There were also 6 break of serve in set 2 but it was Ostapenko who won 7-6, 7-6.