Better recent form from Sakkari but expect a tight match
Due to start at 6 pm.
Kontaveit 2.22, Sakkari 1.79
Head to heads are 2-2. They last met At the Australian Open last season. Sakkari won in straight sets on a hard court. Three of their matches were on hard courts. Sakkari won two of them.
Both players have won 46% of their matches this year. On hard courts Sakkari has the higher ROI and slightly better results. Her form picked up in the last 2 weeks and she made the 4th round in Indian Wells. She beat Vandeweghe and Barty in straight sets.
Kontaveit reached the 4th round at the Australian Open but has had some tough draws since.
I see some value on Kontaveit as underdog and I think she can take a set. I would give Sakkari a slight edge to win the match in 3 sets. Back her above 2.20.
Update: Sakkari was broken in the first game of the match.
She won 6-4, 6-1.