Due to start at 10:30 pm
Azarenka 1.67, Muguruza 2.44
Azarenka won their only previous meeting. That was on a hard court in Miami in March 2016. She won in 2 tie breaks.
Overall results favour Muguruza in the last 12 months and also in 2019. She has won 71% of her matches compared to 60% for Azarenka. Her hard court results are also better.
Azarenka has lost just 1 set so far which was in the semi final. Kerber took the second set from her but was outplayed in the deciding set. Pavlyuchenkova might have been expected to put her under more pressure than she did but was beaten in straight sets.
Muguruza has also lost just 1 set this week. Gasparyan took the tie break second set in their third round match. She was too strong for Rybarikova in the semi final.
Stats for the tournament favour Azarenka. She has also had tougher opponents. We have a good chance of seeing 3 sets.
I favour Azarenka to win. Back her around 1.90.