WTA New Haven, Quarter Final: Gavrilova v Flipkens, 6pm

Flipkens won their previous meeting. That was in Holland on grass in June 2012. She won in 2 very tight sets.

They have very similar overall results this year. On hard courts Flipkens has better results and her ROI is also higher.

Flipkens should be competitive today

Gavrilova has had 2 very tight matches this week. Her serve has come under a lot of pressure.

Flipkens has come through the qualifying rounds. Her toughest match was in the qualifying rounds against Maria. In the main draw she has not lost a set.

Some value on Flipkens as underdog. This looks like going to 3 sets. I give Flipkens a good chance of  winning the match.

Lay Gavrilova below 1.45 and remove or reduce liability if she then gets broken.

Update: Gavrilova won easily in 2 sets. Poor day on serve from Flipkens.

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