Muguruza won their only previous meeting. That was in this tournament last season and she won it in straight sets.
This is a big price on the French Open Champion but she has not been at her best this season. . She has played just 2 matches on clay this year,
losing to Bacsinszky in Madrid last week and to Kontaveit in Stuttgart. You would think she would want a couple of wins to take into the French Open.
Ostapenko has been playing reasonably well on clay. She reached the final in Charleston on American clay and got through the qualifying rounds in Stuttgart before losing in 2 tie breaks to Vandeweghe in the main draw. She also made the semi finals in Prague. This week she has again come through the qualifying rounds and beat Shelby Rogers in the main draw.
I will back Muguruza at the start but don’t go crazy with stake size. Remove or reduce liability if she breaks serve