Muguruza has won all 3 of their meetings. All matches were in 2015 but none were on clay. Bacsinszky has better clay stats for 2016.
Suarez Navarro served for the match in set 2 against Bacsinszky but was broken. Bacsinszky took over after that and only lost another 2 games.
Muguruza looked unplayable against Makarova and also in the opening set against Ostapenko but went 1-4 down in the second set. She took the next 5 games.
I’d expect Muguruza to take this but Bacsinszky should make her work and force her price higher.
Back Muguruza if she gets broken first.