Vesnina has won both their previous meetings. The latest one was in New Haven, USA during August last year. She won in straight sets on a hard court. Their other match was also on a hard court in 2014 and that one was won in a third set tie break. They have never met on clay.
We have seen better recent results and stats on clay from Giorgi. She has come through the qualifying rounds this week. She came close to losing in her first qualifying match. She won 7-5 in the third set. She reached the quarter finals in Prague at the start of May.
Vesnina has reached the quarter finals in Strasbourg for the last 2 seasons. Her results on clay this year have been very poor.
This looks like being a 3 setter. Back Vesnina if she gets broken. \both players will struggle to close the match out if they get into a winning position.