WTA US Open, 3rd round: Sevastova v Vekic, 9:30pm

Sevastova 1.85, Vekic 2.10

Sevastova won their only previous meeting. That was in Kaohsiung in February 2016. She won on a hard court in 3 sets.

hey have very similar overall results this year. Sevastova won 63% of her matches in 2017. Vekic won 61%. Vekic has a higher ROI. On hard courts Vekic has the edge in results and stats.

Donna Vekic should take at least a set

Sevastova reached the third round in Cincinnati where she lost in straight sets to Halep. In this tournament she has not lost a set so far.  Her serve has come under pressure in both matches.

Vekic did well in the grass season and won the title in Nottingham.  Since the tour moved onto hard courts she has put in some respectable performances. She beat Bouchard in Toronto and also gave Kerber a good match that week. In this tournament she has won both matches very convincingly losing just 5 games in total.

Both have won their matches in straight sets. Vekic has been more impressive. The value is on Vekic to take at least a set and I favour her to win.

Lay Sevastova below 1.60.

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