Due to start at 5 pm
Bencic 1.61, Vekic 2.60
Bencic leads their previous matches 2-1. Their last match was at the French Open in May this year. Vekic won on clay in straight sets. Bencic won on a hard court in New Haven in August 2014. She won in 2 sets.
Overall results are close in the last 12 months and in 2019 but favour Bencic. Hard court results also favour her.
Bencic beat defending champion Naomi Osaka in the last round in 2 sets. She had a walkover in the 3rd round when Kontaveit pulled out. Alize Cornet took her to 3 sets in the 2nd round.
Vekic had a tough 3 set win over Goerges in the last round. She was a set and a break behind before fighting back. That was the only match that she lost a set in. She has been the pre match favourite in every round so far.
Stats for the tournament are close. There is a slight edge to Bencic on serve and a slight edge to Vekic on return. We have some value on Vekic as underdog. There is a good chance that this goes to 3 sets.
If Bencic breaks first, lay her. Back her around 1.90.
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