Pliskova leads their previous matches 2-1. They met twice last year on hard courts. Pliskova won in 3 sets in March and 2 sets in February. Muguruza won at the French Open in 2013.
Pliskova has served well this week. Her first serve has been effective but she hasn’t made enough of them. She got away with it against Kuznetsova but is more likely to get punished on her second serve today.
Muguruza hasn’t dropped a set so far. She has been broken twice in 3 matches. She saved all 3 of her break points against Babos in the last round.
I think this will be a great match and 3 sets seem likely. Muguruza should come through in the end.
Back Muguruza if she is broken first.