Barty 1.85, Garcia 2.16
This will be the first time they have played.
Ashleigh Barty has better overall results this year. Her ROI is also higher. Hard court results are stronger too. They have both won 8 of their last 10 matches on this surface.
Barty has an impressive list of wins this week. Konta, Radwanska, Pliskova and Ostapenko have all fallen to the Aussie. Konta and Pliskova were beaten in third set tie breaks.
Garcia has also had a decent week with wins over Kerber, Cibulkova and Makarova. Sakkari was poor in the semi final. Only Kerber was able to take a set from her and she has really raised her levels this week.
Stats this week are very even bt slightly favour Garcia although given the list of Barty’s opponents that could translate to a net lead for her
I have gone against Garcia in the last 2 rounds and I am doing so again. I favour Barty but it should be a real battle. We probably get quite a few breaks. Back Barty above 2.20
Update: Garcia won in 3 sets. Barty served for the match at 5-4 in the second set but was broken.