Due to start at 12 pm
Sabalenka 1.56, Kontaveit 2.76
This will be their first meeting.
Much stronger results for Sabalenka this year. She leads 73% v 55% matches won. Their win percentages on hard courts are also 73% and 55%.
Sabalenka has beaten Svitolina, Cibulkova and Barty in previous rounds. She has not dropped a set in her last 3 matches. Her serve came under a lot of pressure in the first two rounds. In those matches she faced 10 break points and was broken 3 times. Since then she has been much more solid from the service line. In the last round against Barty she faced 4 break points and was broken just once.
Kontaveit has also taken some decent scalps this week. She beat Stephens in 3 sets in the first round. Vekic and Siniakova have been in decent form and Siniakova in particular had played great tennis this week. In the last round Wang’s tough 2 weeks finally caught up with her and she retired.
It is hard to go against Sabalenka this week but this won’t be an easy match for her. Wait for 1.75 before backing her. Reduce your liability if she gets a break of serve.