WTA Wuhan Open: Vesnina v Mertens, 10am

Vesnina 1.81 ,Mertens 2.22

Mertens won their only previous meeting.  That was in April this year in a Federation Cup tie in Russia. Mertens won on clay in 3 sets.

Mertens has better overall results this season. Her ROI is higher too. On hard courts she also has a slight edge but there isn’t a huge gap between them. She has won 66% of her matches on this surface compared to 60% for Vesnina. They both have a very healthy ROI.

WTA Wuhan Open: Vesnina v Mertens, 10am 1
Elise Mertens

Mertens needed 3 sets to beat Naomi Osaka in the last round though she started the match as slight underdog She reached the quarter finals in Tokyo a couple of weeks ago and the semi finals in New Haven on August as a qualifier.

Vesnina won the title in Indian Wells in March but has struggled to find consistency on hard courts since other than a third round finish at the US Open in August. She beat Ying Ying Duan in straight set sin the last round but will need to serve better today. She hit 8 double faults in that match.

We have value on Mertens as market underdog to take at least a set. Lay Vesnina if she breaks first and remove liability if she then gets broken herself.

Update: Vesnina won in straight sets. She played well but Mertens was disappointing

Get the Trading Guide now

We are using cookies on this site

Please click "Accept" if you accept our tracking cookies. You can also decline the tracking, so you can continue to visit our website without any data being sent to third party services.