Ashleigh Barty 1.70, Aryna Sabalenka 2.40
Due to start at 9:30 am.
Head to head results are 2-2. The last time they met was in a Fed Cup tie in April this year. Barty won in straight sets on a hard court. All their matches were on hard courts. Both Sabalenka’s wins were in China.
Barty has stronger overall results in the last 12 months and also in 2019. Her hard court results are also better.
Sabalenka is the defending champion. I don’t know what she was doing in the 2nd set yesterday to lose it 6-0 to Rybakina. She then took the deciding set 6-1. That second set was the only one she has lost this week. She has faced some tough opponents who had very poor days.
Barty has had some tough opponents this week. Garcia and Martic both took her to 3 sets. Martic looked like she was going to beat her in the semi final. She took an early break lead in their 3rd set.
Stats for the tournament favour Sabalenka. We have a decent chance of seeing 3 sets but I favour Barty to win. Back her around 2.00.
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