Please note that this strategy is really aimed at people totally new to trading on Betfair. It is NOT intended to be used as anything except a training aid.

From my experience new traders can find it difficult to “pull the trigger” and actually place a trade. They don’t want to make a mistake and are unsure if they are doing the right thing. The 15-40 strategy helps a new trader to “take the plunge” and get involved in the market. 

This is based on a scalping method that doesn’t require live pictures.

It can be used by novice traders because I give you the exact entry point for the trade and the exact exit point. Also I have made the decision about when to exit the trade if things don’t go as we hope.

I have stripped it down to simple rules that will work for anyone.

I would advise using the ladder interface on your trading software as you can enter trades with one click. You can also see the hedge figure in the ladder interfaces.

You are looking for one of 2 scores…..either 15-40 or 0-40 (i.e. 2 or 3 break points) 15-40 is my favourite and also occurs more often. It offers a better price to enter the market.

If the receiving player has got himself to 40 there is a very good chance he or she will win one of the next 2 points. Once you see one of the qualifying scores you back the receiver (or lay the server). Green up when the break point is won. ( ie click the hedge tool on your trading software)

Your hedged profit should be approximately 5% of stake used although this varies depending on what stage in the match you are at. (Note, this is for an entry score of 15-40. If you enter at 0-40 you will get a profit of 2 or 3 ticks)

If the server pulls back to 40-40, hedge for a small loss (again, about 5% or smaller as long as these entry guidelines are followed)

During an average match you will get anywhere from 2 to 6 opportunities. Obviously more in 5 setters.

Rules:

15-40 or 0-40 are the ONLY entry points. DO NOT be tempted to gamble on 30-40.
Hedge up after the break

If the server pulls back to 40-40 hedge for the loss and wait for the next opportunity.

This method works best on clay court matches or on any women’s match.

For this method to be more effective there are certain circumstances which can be avoided as the potential downside of the server coming back to 40-40 makes the risk higher:

If the winner of the first set has 2 break points against them in the second set, be wary of entering the market. If the server comes back to 40-40 the loss could be greater than normal.

An unsuccessful trade in a deciding set can leave us with a larger loss. Avoid using the method in deciding sets!

Avoid using this method when the server has a big serve. They are more likely to be able to pull out a couple of aces to get back to 40-40. You can check a player’s service stats at www.atpworldtour.com

As a general guide this method works best in WTA (womens) matches. Ideally you need the favourite’s price to be 1.40 or higher.

This method can be used on ATP (mens’) matches on clay but as stated above avoid situations where the server has a big consistent serve.

You are advised not to use this method on ATP matches on hard courts or grass. The reason for this is that these courts are faster and the serve is much more of an important shot. Many of the top players are capable of serving aces to get themselves back to 40-40.

If the break points are earned by the favourite don’t back them if their price is below 1.20 unless they won the first set and are trying to go a break ahead in the second.

If there are large gaps between the unmatched bets on the ladder you are unlikely to be getting the best prices if you take the unmatched prices being offered. In this situation you should place your bet at a slightly better price than the one being offered. Your bet will show as unmatched on the ladder until another trader matches you. If you need more explanation of this please email me.

Simple!