WTA Miami Open: Kvitova v Barty

Due to start at 11:30 pm

Kvitova 1.65, Barty 2.52

Kvitova has won all 4 of their previous matches.  The last time they met was in the quarter final of the Australian Open in January. She won in straight sets.  Their last 2 matches were on hard courts.

Overall results are close but slightly favour Barty. Their hard court results are very even.

Kvitova has the higher ROI in 2019. She won the title in Sydney. She also reached the final of the Australian Open and Dubai. She was probably ready for a rest and losing her opening match in Indian Wells to Venus Williams gave her that break. In this tournament she needed 3 sets to get past Vekic and beat Garcia in straight sets in the last round.

Petra Kvitova

Petra Kvitova

Barty ended last season with the title in the Zuhai Championships. In 2019 she made the final in Sydney and the quarter finals at the Australian Open.  She lost in 3 sets to Svitolina in Indian Wells in the fourth round. She was very comfortable against Yastremska and Stosur. She lost the opening set to Bertens in the last round but recovered to win in 3 sets.

We have a very good chance of 3 sets. Barty has won the first set in 2 of their last 3 matches. Lay Kvitova around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.80.

Back Kvitova around 1.90 or wait for her to lose set 1 before backing her.

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ATP Miami Open: Tiafoe v Ferrer

Due to start at 11:30 pm

Tiafoe 2.04, Ferrer 1.94

This is their first meeting.

Ferrer has better overall results this season. He is a former top 3 player. His form has been well below his best for a couple of years. He looked like his old self in the last round in his 3 sets win over Alexander Zverev. He had lost to Zverev in Indian Wells in straight sets. He has had some great results in Miami in the past including reaching the final in 2013 when he lost in a third set tie break to Andy Murray.

David Ferrer

David Ferrer

Tiafoe had a good win over in form Kecmanovic in the last round.  He reached the quarter finals at the Australian Open. Since then his losses have all been as pre match favourite.  He hasn’t won back to back matches since Melbourne. In fact Melbourne was the only tournament that he won 2 matches at.

If Ferrer can maintain his form from the last match he wins. Back Ferrer around 2.10.

Update: Ferrer hit the entry price and got the first break of serve. He couldn’t hold on to it and Tiafoe pulled back to 4-4. A late break gave the set to Ferrer. He was not able to break the Tiafoe serve again.

Tiafoe won 5-7, 6-3, 6-3.

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