ATP Monte Carlo, Third Round: Norrie v Sonego

Due to start at 11:30

Norrie 2.62, Sonego 1.60

This will be their first meeting.

Overall results favour Sonego in the last 12 months and also in 2019. His ROI is a lot higher. Clay results also favour him.

Sonego has come through the qualifying rounds and then beat fellow Italian Andreas Seppi and Russian Karen Khachanov with identical 7-6, 6-4 scorelines.  He didn’t face a single break point against Seppi and was broken just once by Khachanov.

Lorenzo Sonego

Lorenzo Sonego

Norrie hasn’t lost a set so far. He beat Marton Fucsovics in the last round. I had expected a close match but Norrie really lifted his game and took more than the set I had predicted for him.

We have a decent chance of 3 sets but I give Sonego the edge. This is a tricky match to price up as Norrie can play above his average level when he’s in the mood. Back Sonego around 1.90.

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ATP Monte Carlo: Wawrinka v Cecchinato

Due to start at 2:15 pm

Wawrinka 1.69, Cecchinato 2.42

This will be their first meeting.

Overall results favour Wawrinka this season. Clay results favour Cecchinato in the last 12 months although Wawrinka missed most of last season.

Wawrinka beat Pouille in the last round. He was broken once in 2 sets.  He is a former champion in Monte Carlo. He won in 2014. He also reached the quarter finals in 2016. If he is injury free he is one of the best clay courters in the game.

Stan Wawrinka

Stan Wawrinka

Cecchinato only had to play 4 games in the last round as Dzumhur retired.  Last year he had to go through the qualifying rounds. He made it to the main draw and lost to Raonic in the second round.  Earlier this season he won the ATP title on clay in Buenos Aires. Last season he reached the semi finals at the French Open and won ATP titles in Budapest and Umag.

The sets should be tight but I favour Wawrinka. Back him around 1.85. We have a fair chance of 3 sets.

Update: Wawrinka won the first 8 games to take a set and a break lead. He held on to the break in set 2 and served for the match. He was broken, lost the set and lost the match in 3 sets. Cecchinato won 0-6, 7-5, 6-3.

 

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