WTA Seoul
Charaeva v Kenin 1.92
Due to start at 7 am
Confidence rating 6.5/10

1st meeting. Hard win %’s favour Charaeva.

Charaeva reached the Quarter finals in Sao Paulo 2026. CH semi in June.

Kenin reached the 2nd round last season.
She reached the 2nd round of the US Open 2026. 2nd round in Chennai 2026. Semi finals in Tokyo 2025.

12 month WTA stats favour Kenin on serve. Stats for their last 10 favour Kenin on serve.
Lay Charaeva around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Kenin in 3 sets.

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Update: At the start, Kenin had dropped to 1.74.

Kenin served first and held to 30.
0-1

Charaeva went 0-40 behind. I laid Kenin at 1.36. Charaeva recovered to hold. I removed my liability at 1.76, leaving the green on Kenin.
1-1

Kenin held to 0.
1-2

Charaeva went 15-40 behind. She saved 2 of the break points but was eventually broken.
1-3

Kenin held to 15. Charaeva held to 15.
1-4
2-4

Kenin was broken to 15.
3-4

Charaeva was broken after saving 2 break points.
3-5

Kenin served out the set after being taken to deuce. I hedged evenly at 1.26.
3-6

Stats for the set favour Kenin overall. Also, she faced 2 break points and Charaeva faced 9.

After the set, Kenin was priced at 1.25/1.26.

Charaeva served first in the second round. I let her have her serve before laying Kenin.

Charaeva held to 30 and I placed a small lay on Kenin at 1.34.
1-0

Kenin faced a break point but recovered to hold.
1-1

Charaeva saved 2 break points but faced another and was broken. I added to my lay of Kenin with a lay at 1.15. I had no liability due to the profit from the first set.
1-2

Kenin went 15-40 behind. She recovered to hold.
1-3

Charaeva held to 0
2-3

Kenin went 15-40 behind. I hedged evenly at 1.29. Kenin saved 5 break points before holding.
2-4

Charaeva held to 0. Kenin was broken to 15
3-4
4-4

The next 2 games were holds. Kenin was struggling on most service games.
5-4
5-5

Charaeva was broken to 30. I placed a risk free lay of Kenin at 1.12.
5-6

Kenin was broken to 15. I hedged evenly at 1.39.
6-6

They went into a tiebreak that Charaeva won 7-4.
7-6

Stats for the set weren’t great for either player but Kenin’s had dropped significantly from the first set.

After the set, Charaeva was priced at 1.95/1.96.

Kenin served first in the third set. She was broken to 30. I laid Charaeva at 1.43.
1-0

The next 2 games were holds.
2-0
2-1

Charaeva saved a break point but faced another and was broken. I hedged at 1.93.
2-2

The next 2 games were holds.
2-3
3-3

Kenin was broken to 15. I placed a small lay on Charaeva at 1.30.
4-3

Charaeva was broken straight back and I hedged again at 1.94.
4-4

Kenin was broken again after having a game point. I didn’t want to push my luck too much. As I had favoured Kenin in the pre match assessment, I felt I was obliged to lay Charaeva when she served for the match. I placed a tiny lay at 1.22.
5-4

Charaeva held to 0!
6-4

Charaeva won 3-6, 7-6, 6-4.

WTA Valencia Challenger
Linana 1.62 v Kabbaj
Due to start at 5:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Linana 1-0 (July 2023, clay, 2 sets). Clay win %’s favour Linana.

Linana lost in the qual rounds last year. This week, she had a 3 sets win as favourite in the 1st round. Easy win over Masarova in the 2nd round as underdog. Easy win in the q final.
She reached a CH semi last week. CH q final in July. Most of her matches are in ITF’s.

Kabbaj had an easy win as underdog in the 1st round. 3 sets win in the 2nd round as slight favourite. 2 sets win in the q final as favourite.
She reached a CH q final in July. CH q final in June. Quarter final in Rabat 2026.

12 month and 2026 stats favour Linana overall.
Back Linana around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Chance of 3 sets.

Match prediction: Linana in 3 sets.