ATP Kremlin Cup, Moscow, Semi Final: Mannarino v Seppi

Due to start at 1:30 pm

Mannarino 2.28, Seppi 1.76

Seppi leads their previous matches 4-3. They last met earlier this month in Shanghai, Seppi won in straight sets on a hard court.  Mannarino won their only indoor match back in 2008.

H2H info

Head to head info from Tennis Insight

Better results for Seppi this year. He leads 57% v 47% of matches won. His indoor results are also a little better at 67% of matches won compared to 54% for Mannarino.

Seppi has been really impressive this week and has beaten 3 very capable indoor opponents. Martin Klizan, Herbert and Krajinovic were all beaten in straight sets. He was pre match underdog in every round.

Andreas Seppi

Andreas Seppi

Mannarino struggled in the first round against local wild car Evgeny Karlovsky. He lost the opening set and eventually won the match in a third set tie break.  He was only broken twice in that match but was only able to convert 1 of 12 break points on his opponent’s serve. Since then he has not lost a set.  He was not broken in the last 2 rounds.

This should be a tight match but I have to favour Seppi who has really lifted his game this week. Back him around 1.85

WTA Kremlin Cup, Moscow: Kasatkina v Konta

Semi Final

Due to start at 2:30 pm

Kasatkina 1.67, Konta 2.46

Head to heads are 1-1. Their most recent meeting was in Dubai in February this year. Kasatkina won in 3 sets on a hard court. Konta won when they met in Sydney in January 2017 in 2 sets. That was also on a hard court.

Better results for Kasatkina in 2018. Her ROI is significantly higher. Both players have strong indoor records.

Kasatkina has a very good record in Moscow in recent years. She reached the final last season, quarter final in 2016 and the semi finals in 2015. Her second serve has looked vulnerable this week and that will be Konta’s best chance of putting her under pressure.

Kasatkina

Kasatkina

Kasatkina has been the more impressive this week. She beat Pavlyuchenkova in the last round in straight sets. Her second serve was dire in the second round against Cornet and she won just 4 of 23 points on it.

Konta has had some tough opponents this week and has been pre match favourite each time. She has served pretty well although in the quarter final against Sasnovich she faced 16 break points. She was only broken twice but I’d expect Kasatkina to convert more of those chances.

If Kasatkina improves her second serve points won percentage to be above her 33% from the last round then she wins. I do think she gets the win anyway but will probably need 3 sets if she doesn’t improve that second delivery.

Back Kasatkina around 2.00.

 

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