This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service. Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match. Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.
Parry lost in the 1st round last season. 2 sets win over Haddad Maia in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Paquet in the 2nd round. Walkover in the q final. 2nd round in Hamburg 2025. 2nd round in Strasbourg 2025.
Charaeva has come through the qual round. 2 sets win over Bejlek in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Korpatsch in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Sasnovich in the q final. CH q final in May. 2 CH q finals in March. CH final and semi final in Sep.
12 month WTA stats favour Charaeva overall. 12 month CH stats also favour her. Back Charaeva around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service. Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match. Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.
WTA Parma Challenger Osorio v Krejcikova 1.91 Due to start at 12:30 pm Confidence rating 6.5/10
1st meeting. Clay win %’s are even.
Osorio lost in the 1st round last season. This week she had an easy win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Bronzetti in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Salkova in the q final. 2nd round in Madrid 2026. 2nd round in Bogota 2026. Semis in Rabat 2025.
Krejcikova had an easy win in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Friedsam in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Golubic in the q final. 2nd round in Rome 2026.
Stats for the tournament favour Krejcikova on serve. Lay Osorio around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.
Update: Krejcikova started the match priced at 1.94.
Osorio served first. She saved 2 break points but was eventually broken. I laid Krejcikova at 1.61. 0-1
Krejcikova went 15-40 behind. I removed my liability at 1.84, leaving the green on Krejcikova. She saved the 2 break points and held. 0-2
The next 4 games were holds with no break points. 1-2 1-3 2-3 2-4
Osorio was broken to 15. 2-5
Krejcikova served out the set to 30. 2-6
Krejcikova was priced at 1.22 after the set.
Osorio’s stats in the first set weren’t all bad. She had a strong first serve percentage and a strong first serve points won percentage. However she lost all 8 of her second serve points. Krejcikova only won 59% of points on her first serve but won 73% of second serve points.
Osorio served first. She faced a break point at 30-40. I laid Krejcikova at 1.17. Osorio saved 2 break points but held. 1-0
Krejcikova went 15-40 behind. As my lay was risk free, I waited for the break. She saved the first break point but was broken on the second. I could have hedged at 1.49. I decided to give Osorio a chance to hold serve. 2-0
Osorio held to 30. I hedged at 1.57. 3-0
Krejcikova faced 2 break points but held. 3-1
Osorio held to 15. 4-1
Krejcikova was broken to 15. 5-1
Osorio faced a break point but successfully served out the set. 6-1
Stats for the set saw Osorio improve her second serve points won percentage. Krejcikova’s stats were weak in that set.
Krejcikova served first in the third set. They were priced around 2.00 at the start of the set. She was broken to 30. I laid Osorio at 1.48. In the WTA, the player who breaks first in a deciding set gets broken back around 50% of the time. So, if the price is decent, it can be an excellent entry. 1-0
Osorio went 0-40 behind and I hedged at 1.95 on Osorio’s ladder. She saved 2 of the break points but was broken. After the break, Osorio was priced at 2.04. 1-1
The next 3 games were holds with no break points. 1-2 2-2 2-3
Osorio faced a break point at 30-40 but recovered to hold. 3-3
Krejcikova faced and saved 4 break points and held serve. 3-4
The next 4 games were easy holds. 4-4 4-5 5-5 5-6
Osorio was broken to 15 to hand the set and the match to Krejcikova. 5-7
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