This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
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The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 5th August

WTA Toronto
Kostyuk 1.83 v Keys
Due to start at 7 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Keys 2-0. Most recent July 2024, grass, 2 sets. She won on grass in 2023, 2 sets. Hard win %’s favour Kostyuk.

Kostyuk reached the Quarter final last year. 2 sets win in the 2nd round as strong favourite.
Final in Brisbane 2026, 4th Round in Beijing 2025, 4th Round at the US Open 2025.

Keys reached the Quarter final last season. Easy win over Ruzic in the 2nd round.
4th Round at the Australian Open 2026, Quarter finals in Brisbane 2026, 4th Round in Cincinnati 2025.

12 month stats and 2026 stats favour Kostyuk.
Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Keys around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Kostyuk in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: After yesterday’s live stream, I needed a break and never made it back to my desk!

I’ll apply my trading rules to this match to show how I would have traded it.

Kostyuk served first. The first 2 games were easy holds.
1-0
1-1

Kostyuk went 15-40 behind. I’d have placed a small back on Kostyuk as I favoured her to win. Kostyuk saved 3 break points and held.
2-1

The next 2 games were holds.
2-2
3-2

Keys went 15-40 behind. I’d have removed the liability to leave the profit on Kostyuk. It would have left a small free bet on Kostyuk. Keys saved 1 break point but was then broken.
4-2

The next 3 games were holds although Kostyuk faced 3 break points when serving for the set.
5-2
5-3
6-3

Stats for the set were actually better overall for Keys. She only faced 2 break points (broken once). Kostyuk faced 6 break points and saved them all.

Keys served first in the second set so I would have waited for her to have her service game. She was broken to 0. I would have laid Kostyuk which would either have been risk free or would have given me a small liability.
1-0

Kostyuk held to 30.
2-0

Keys was broken to 30. There wouldn’t be much point exiting at this stage of the match. I’d have left it to run, especially if the lay was risk free.
3-0

Kostyuk faced a break point but held serve.
4-0

Keys held after being taken to deuce 3 times. Kostyuk then faced 3 break points but held.
4-1
5-1

Keys was broken again.
6-1

Kostyuk won 6-3, 6-1. I can’t say I’m sorry that I missed this one!

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 3rd August

WTA Toronto
Rakhimova v Siniakova 1.52
Due to start at 10 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Siniakova 2-1. Most recent Oct 2023, hard, Siniakova in 3. Rakhimova won on hard in Feb 2023, 3rd set tie break. Siniakova won on hard in 2022, 2 sets. 12 month hard win %’s favour Siniakova. They are even in 2026.

Rakhimova reached the 2nd round as qualifier last year. 2 sets win over V. Williams in the 1st round
2nd round in Miami 2026. 2nd round in Indian Wells 2026. 2nd round of the US Open 2025.

Siniakova reached the 4th Round in Indian Wells 2026, Quarter finals in Wuhan 2025, Semi finals in Seoul 2025.

12 month stats favour Siniakova overall. Stats for their last 10 favour Rakhimova overall.
Chance of 3 sets. 2026 stats on all surfaces favour Siniakova on serve.
Back Siniakova around 1.95 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.

Match prediction: Siniakova in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: At the start of the match, Siniakova was priced at 1.56.

Rakhimova served first. She had to save a break point but she held serve.
1-0

Easy hold for Siniakova.
1-1

Rakhimova was broken to 0. I laid Siniakova at 1.35.
1-2

Siniakova was taken to deuce twice before holding.
1-3

Rakhimova was broken again after having a game point. I could have taken the red but decided to add to the lay at 1.19.
1-4

Siniakova was broken. I removed a little liability at 1.28.
2-4

Rakhimova held to 15.
3-4

Siniakova was broken to 30. I hedged at 1.63 on Siniakova.
4-4

Rakhimova was taken to deuce 3 times but held.
5-4

Siniakova went 15-40 behind but recovered to hold.
5-5

Rakhimova was broken to 15. Siniakova was broken to 15!
5-6
6-6

Siniakova easily won the tie break 7-1.

Stats for the set were better for Siniakova although she only won 23% of her second serve points.
Siniakova was priced at 1.20/1.21 after the set.

Siniakova served first in the second set. I laid her at 1.21. She was broken. I had a small liability after the lay so I removed that at 1.34, leaving the profit on Rakhimova.
1-0

Rakhimova held to 30.
2-0

Siniakova was broken again. I hedged evenly at 1.70. That was enough for me. I did not trade the rest of the match.
3-0

Siniakova didn’t win a game in the second set.
6-0

Stats were terrible for Siniakova. She wasn’t looking comfortable in the early part of the second set. 2 from 12 on second serve.

Siniakova served first in the third set. She was broken. She broke straight back but was then broken herself for the 6th time in a row.
1-0
1-1
2-1

The next 3 games were holds
3-1
3-2
4-2

Siniakova was broken again and retired.
5-2

Rakhimova won 6-7, 6-0, 5-2(ret)