Trading Tip – WTA Washington, Eala v Zheng

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 27th July

WTA Washington
Eala v Zheng 1.75
Due to start at 6 pm

Confidence rating 6.5/10

1st meeting. Hard win %’s favour Eala.

Eala reached the 4th Round in Miami 2026, 4th Round in Indian Wells 2026, Quarter finals in Dubai 2026, Quarter finals in Abu Dhabi 2026, Semi finals in Auckland 2026, Quarter finals in Sao Paulo 2025.

Zheng reached the Quarter final in Athens 2026. Quarter finals in Athens 2026, 4th Round in Miami 2026, 3rd Round in Doha 2026.

12 month hard stats favour Zheng on serve. 2026 stats also favour her. Recent form on all surfaces favours Eala.
Lay Zheng around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.95.

Match prediction: Eala in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: When the match started, Zheng was priced at 1.83

Eala served first. She was taken to deuce but held.
1-0

Zheng was broken to 15. I expected the match to be tight with 3 sets. I laid Eala at 1.62.
2-0

Eala went 40-0 ahead but was broken! I removed liability by backing Eala at 1.98, leaving the green on her.
2-1

The next 3 games were all holds with no break points although Zheng was taken to deuce twice in both her service games.
2-2
3-2
3-3

Eala went 0-40 behind. She saved 2 of the break points but was broken. I stuck with the free bet on Eala. If she lost the first set, I planned on laying Zheng anyway.
3-4

Zheng was taken to deuce twice in her next service game but the remaining 3 games of the set were all holds.
3-5
4-5
4-6

Stats for the set were average for Eala. Zheng won 88% of points on her first serve but had a low first serve percentage of 45%. She was only winning 33% of points on second serve.

At the end of the set, Zheng was priced at 1.37/1.38.

Set 1 stats

So, I went into set 2 with a free bet on Eala.

Eala served first in the second set. The first 2 games were holds.
1-0
1-1

Eala went 0-40 behind. I laid Zheng at 1.24. Eala recovered to hold. I could have removed the small liability but chose to wait for a better price if Eala got her nose in front.
2-1

Zheng went 15-40 behind. I backed Zheng at 1.65 to remove the liability and increase my free bet on Eala. Zheng also recovered to hold.
2-2

The next 2 games were holds.
3-2
3-3

Eala was broken to 0. Maybe Zheng was going to get a straight sets win. I try to stay with my pre match assessment for as long as I can. Zheng had only managed one easy hold in the set. I laid Zheng at 1.12.
3-4

Zheng was broken to 0! I removed liability at 1.40 on Zheng’s ladder, this time leaving some green on Zheng and the larger green on Eala. I was pushing my luck now. At 4-4, Eala could not afford to be broken. I didn’t want to come out of the match with zero.
4-4

Eala held to 30. The pressure shifted to Zheng!
5-4

Zheng was broken to 30 to give the set to Eala.
6-4

Zheng was priced at 2.06/2.08. I placed a small back on Zheng at 2.06 to move some more of the profit onto her. I still had a larger profit on Eala.

In that set, both players were struggling to find first serves. Eala was doing much better when she did manage to land a first serve.

Set 2 stats

Eala served first in the third set. She held to 15.
1-0

Zheng was broken to 15. I was tempted to lay her but I was already green with the larger profit on my favoured player.
2-0

Eala held to 30 and then broke Zheng again.
3-0
4-0

The next 2 games were both breaks and then Eala served out the match to 30.
4-1
5-1
6-1

Sonmez won 4-6, 6-4, 6-1.

Trading Tip - WTA Washington, Eala v Zheng 1

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Trading Tip – ATP Estoril, Blockx v Darderi

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 24th July

ATP Estoril
Blockx v Darderi 1.59
Due to the start at 7 pm

Confidence rating 7.5/10

1st meeting. 12 month clay win %’s are even.

Blockx had a 3rd set tie break win over Jacquet in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Burruchaga in the q final.
He reached the 3rd Round in Rome 2026, Semi finals in Madrid 2026, 3rd Round in Monte Carlo 2026.

Darderi had an easy win in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Faria in the q final.
He reached the Final in Bastad 2026, Quarter finals in Hamburg 2026, Semi finals in Rome 2026, Semi finals in Marrakech 2026, Title in Santiago 2026, Final in Buenos Aires 2026, Title in Umag 2025.

12 month ATP stats favour Blockx on serve. Return stats are significantly better for Darderi.
Back Darderi around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Darderi in in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Darderi served first. He was broken to 0. I backed Darderi at 2.20.
1-0

Blockx was broken to 30. I removed liability at 1.67, leaving the green on Darderi.
1-1

Darderi held to 15.
1-2

Blockx saved 2 break points but was broken. I hedged at 1.29.
1-3

Darderi saved a break point but was broken.
2-3

The next 3 games were holds with no break points.
3-3
3-4
4-4

Darderi was broken to 0. Blockx would served for the set. I placed a small back on Darderi at 2.74.
5-4

Blockx was broken to 15. I hedged at 1.69.
5-5

Darderi held to 15.
5-6

Blockx saved 2 break points but was eventually broken to give Darderi the set.
5-7

What a mess! Weak stats for both players.

set 1 stats

Darderi served first in set 2. I didn’t really want to go against him as he had ended the first set slightly better than Blockx.

The first 3 games were holds with no break points.
0-1
1-1
1-2

Blockx was broken to 30. I laid Darderi at 1.06. The price was attractive and I had a decent profit from the first set.
1-3

The next 4 games were holds to love.
1-4
2-4
2-5
3-5

Darderi was broken to 30. I hedged at 1.19.
4-5

The next 3 games were easy holds and they went to a tie break.
5-5
5-6
6-6

Blockx easily won the tie break 7-1.
7-6

I did not trade the third set.

Blockx served first and was broken. The next 6 games were holds with just 1 break point.

Darderi was broken. They ended up in another tie break.
Darderi took a 4-0 lead in the tie break but managed to lose is 5-7!

Blockx won 5-7, 7-6, 7-6.

Trading Tip - ATP Estoril, Blockx v Darderi 2

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