This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
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Download link: Trading Tips 21st July

ATP Kitzbuhel
Molcan 1.79 v Altmaier
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Confidence rating 7.5/10

Molcan 2-0. Most recent July 2026, grass, 4 sets. He won on clay in Apr 2026, 2 sets. Clay win %’s favour Molcan.

Molcan had a 2 sets win over Ofner in the 1st round.
He reached the Semi finals in Umag 2026, Semi finals in Munich 2026, Quarter finals in Bucharest 2026.

Altmaier had a 2 sets win over Collignon in the 1st round as underdog.
He reached the 2nd round in Bastad 2026. Quarter final in Hamburg 2026. Quarter final in Bucharest 2026.

12 month clay stats favour Molcan
Back Molcan around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.75.

Match prediction: Molcan in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Molcan served first. The first 2 games were holds with no break points.
1-0
1-1

Molcan was broken to 15. I laid Altmaier at 1.64 (the same as 2.56 on the Molcan ladder)
1-2

Altmaier went 0-40 behind. I removed liability by laying Molcan at 1.93 using a stake equal to the red on Altmaier.
2-2

The next 3 games were holds with no break points.
3-2
3-3
4-3

Altmaier was broken after being taken to deuce. I hedged evenly at 1.29 on Molcan.
5-3

Molcan served out the set to 30.
6-3

Molcan was priced at 1.24/1.25 at the end of the set.

Stats for the set favour Molcan overall. He had the lower first serve percentage at 66% compared to Altmaier’s 79% but Molcan was winning a higher percentage of points on first serve. Altmaier won 47% of first serve points.

Altmaier served first in the second set. I laid Molcan at 1.25. If it had been a WTA match, I would have waited for the set loser to have their service game before laying. Altmaier held after being taken to deuce.
0-1

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
1-1
1-2

Molcan was broken to 15. My lay of Molcan was risk free so I waited to see if Altmaier could hold.
1-3

Altmaier held to 0. I hedged evenly at 1.75 on Molcan’s ladder.
1-4

Molcan was broken again, this time to 30.
1-5

Altmaier was broken to 15.
2-5

The next 2 games were holds and Altmaier took the set.
3-5
3-6

Stats for the second set were much stronger for Altmaier.
After the set, Molcan was priced at 1.85.

Molcan served first in the third set.
There were no breaks in the first 5 games although Molcan had to save 4 break points when he served at 1-1.
3-2

Altmaier was broken after saving 3 break points. I placed a small lay of Molcan at 1.15.
4-2

Molcan went 0-40 behind and I hedged at 1.54.
4-3

The next 4 games were holds with no break points.
4-4
5-4
5-5
6-5

Altmaier saved 3 match point but was eventually broken.
7-5

Molcan won 6-3, 3-6, 7-5.

 

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 14th July

WTA Athens
Hontama v Parks 1.66
Due to start at 6:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

H2H 1-1. Most recent July 2025, hard, Parks in 2 sets. Hontama won on hard in 2021, 2 sets. Hard win %’s favour Hontama.

Hontama had a surprise win over Linette in the 1st round.
Her best results are in ITF’s. ITF semis in June and April.

Parks had a tight 2 sets win in the 1st round as 1.06 favourite.
She reached the 3rd Round in Miami 2026, Quarter finals in Jiujiang 2025, Semi finals in Monterrey 2025.

12 month hard stats favour Parks on serve. return stats are much stronger for Hontama.
Chance of 3 sets. In the last round, Parks hit 13 double faults and was broken 5 times.
Lay Parks around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.85. Lay set 1 winner.

Match prediction: Hontama in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Parks served first. She saved a break point but held serve.
0-1

Hontama was taken to deuce before being broken. I laid Parks at 1.38.
0-2

Parks held to 0.
0-3

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.

1-3
1-4

Hontama was broken to 0. If Parks took the set, I intended laying her so I added to my lay of Parks at 1.18. The price would not go much lower than this at the end of the set.
1-5

Parks served for the set. She went 0-40 behind. The price only moved to 1.22 so I did not remove any liability. I would take the lay into the second set. Parks saved 2 of the break points but was broken.
2-5

Hontama held to 30.
3-5

Parks was broken to 30. I removed the liability at 1.47, leaving the green on Hontama.
4-5

Hontama held to 30. I hedged at 1.71.
5-5

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
5-6
6-6

In the tie break, Parks took a 4-0 lead. I laid her at 1.31.
Hontama took the next 5 points to lead 5-4 and I hedged at 2.12.
She also took the next 2 points to win the set!
7-6

Stats for the set favoured Hontama overall. She had a lower first serve points won % but Parks was only getting 51% of her first serves into play.

Even though I had predicted 3 sets, I felt Parks would be pretty disappointed to lose that set after leading 5-1 before the tie break and also leading 4-0 in the tie break. I did not lay Hontama.

Hontama served first and held to 30.
1-0

Parks saved a break point but was then broken. I laid Hontama at 1.18.
2-0

Hontama was broken to 30. As the lay of Hontama was risk free due to the profit from the first set, I let the lay run.
2-1

Parks held to 30.
2-2

Hontama was broken to 30.
2-3

Parks held to 15.
2-4

Hontama was broken for a third time in the set. I hedged at 1.60 on Parks’ ladder (the same as 2.68 on Hontama’s ladder).
2-5

Parks served for the set. She was taken to deuce twice but held.
2-6

Stats were (obviously) much better for Parks in that set. 1 point from 9 on second serve for Hontama.

I did not trade the third set as England’s match had just started.

Parks took a 4-0 lead. Hontama recovered to 4-4.

Hontama then held to lead 5-4. In the next game she had a break point / match point but couldn’t take it. Parks held.

Parks broke her in the next game to lead 6-5. She easily served out the match to 15.

Parks won 6-7, 6-2, 7-5.