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ATP Munich
Blockx 1.91 v Hanfmann
Due to start at 3 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Hanfmann 1-0 (Oct 2023, indoors, 2 sets). Clay win %’s are fairly even.

Blockx reached the 3rd Round in Monte Carlo 2026.

Hanfmann reached the 2nd round last season.
Quarter finals in Marrakech 2026, Final in Santiago 2026, Quarter finals in Kitzbuhel 2025.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Hanfmann on serve.
Lay Blockx around 1.55 and remove liability at 2.00.
Chance of 3 sets.

Match prediction: Hanfmann in 3 sets.

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Update: They started priced at 2.00. Blockx served first. The first 3 games were holds with no break points. Hanfmann served at 1-2 and went 15-40 behind. I laid Blocks at 1.56. Hanfmann recovered to hold. I removed all liability at 1.95, leaving the green on Hanfmann.

The next 3 games were holds. Before Hanfmann served at 3-4, he had a medical time out to deal with a cut on his knee which was caused by a fall. The Blockx price dropped from 1.71 to 1.51 because of the medical timeout. I placed a small lay at 1.51 Despite Hanfmann holding serve to get to 4-4, the market didn’t bounce back as he seemed to be struggling.

The next 2 games were holds. The market remained low on Blocks. My liability was low so I waited for a chance to get out at a better price. I would probably have been wiser to hedge for the profit that I had from the earlier trade.

Blocks served at 5-5, Blocks was taken to deuce and his price hit 1.75. I hedged. He was taken to deuce twice but did not face a break point.

Hanfmann then held to 0 to take the set into a tie break. Blockx took a 5-0 lead in the tie break and won it 7-2.

I wasn’t really interested in the second set. I would not have laid Blockx at the start of the second set anyway but when Hanfmann was broken tin the first game, I left the match alone after that.

Hanfmann wasn’t really competitive in the set. His best effort was taking Blockx to deuce in the second game. Blockx got a late break to get to 5-2 and easily served out the match.

Blockx won 7-6, 6-2.

 

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WTA Linz
Andreeva 1.27 v Potapova
Due to start at 1 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Andreeva 2-1. Most recent Aug 2025, hard, Andreeva in 2. She won on grass in 2023, 2 sets. Potapova won on hard in 2022, 3 sets. Clay win %’s are even.

Andreeva had a 2 sets win over Stephens in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Cirstea in the q final. Easy win in the semi final as strong favourite.
She reached the Quarter finals at the French Open 2025, Quarter finals in Rome 2025, Quarter finals in Madrid 2025.

Potapova reached the Quarter final last year (indoors). 2 sets win over Zhang in the 1st round. Very easy win over Korpatsch in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Tagger in the q final. Easy win over Vekic in the semi final.
4th Round in Madrid 2025.

12 month clay stats favour Andreeva overall. Stats for their last 10 also favour her.
Stats for the tournament favour Potapova overall.
Lay Andreeva around 1.20 and remove liability at 1.40. Back Andreeva around 1.80 or if she loses set 1.

Match prediction: Andreeva in 2 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Andreeva served first and was broken. Her price moved to 1.41. I didn’t want to back her at that price so I waited.

The next 2 games were holds. Potapova served at 2-1. She faced a break point but recovered to hold. In the following game, Andreeva was broken to 15. I placed a part stake back on Andreeva at 2.06.

Potapova held to lead 5-1. Andreeva was then broken for a third time to lose the set.

A disappointing set from Andreeva. Her first serve percentage was good at 69%. First serve points won were not terrible at 61% but she won 1 of her 8 second serve points.

I try to stay with my pre match assessment but she wasn’t making it easy!

Potapova served first in the second set. I added to my position by laying her at 1.59. She held to 0. Andreeva was taken to deuce in the next game but managed to hold serve.

In the next game, Potapova was broken to 0. I removed liability by laying Andreeva at 1.97, leaving the profit on Andreeva.

in the next game, Andreeva was broken to 15! Well, at least I was risk free! Potapova was broken in the next game after saving a break point. The remaining games in the set were all very easy holds.

In the third set, the first 4 games were holds. Potapova did face a single break point in the first game. Potapova served at 2-2 and was broken after saving 2 break point. I hedged at 1.22.

I did consider laying Andreeva after that break as there was a 53% chance that there would be a break back. I did not lay. Potapova broke back in the next game!

Andreeva took the next 3 games with 2 breaks and a hold of serve.

Andreeva won 1-6, 6-4, 6-3.