Free Tennis Tips

Free tips from the Tennis Trading Tips service.

Trading Tip – WTA Ningbo, Sasnovich v Sonmez

Get Trading Tips for every main draw ATP and WTA match, 7 days a week https://blog.tradesharktennis.com/tennis-trading-tips/

WTA Ningbo
Sasnovich 1.83 v Sonmez
Due to start at 10:30 am

Confidence rating 7/10

Sonmez 2-1. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, Sasnovich in 2. Sonmez won on clay in 2024, 3 sets. She won on hard in 2 sets in Dec 2023. Hard win %’s are better for Sonmez.

Sasnovich has come through the qual rounds. 3rd round in Beijing.

Sonmez has come through the qual rounds. 3rd round in Beijing. Quarter finals in Merida 2025, Title in Merida 2024.

12 month stats favour Sonmez. 2025 stats are much more even. Stats for their last 10 on hard favour Sasnovich.
Back Sasnovich around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.. Lay set 1 winner.

Update: Sonmez got the first break to lead 2-0. I backed Sasnovich. In the next game, Sonmez went 0-40 behind and I removed some of my liability. Sasnovich broke to 30.
Sasnovich had to save 2 break points in the next game but recovered to hold. She then broke Sonmez again to leads 3-2. I removed almost all my liability, leaving the profit on Sasnovich. Sasnovich took the next 3 games to win the set.

I used small amount of my profit to lay Sasnovich but waited until Sonmez had held serve in the first game of set 2.
There would be just 1 break point, which was on Sasnovich’s serve, in the first 11 games of the second set. I have a rule that if I have laid the set winner, I exit if the score reaches 4-4. Over the years, that has saved me a lot of times. I did exit at 4-4 and hedged evenly.

A late break for Sonmez gave her the set.

In the third set, Sonmez was broken in the first game. I laid Sasnovich. In the WTA, a player broken first in set 3 will be broken back around 50% of the time. Sonmez would break back to get to 2-2 and I again Hedged evenly. Sonmez got another break to lead 5-3 and she successfully served for the match.

Sonmez won 2-6, 7-5, 6-3.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

Trading Tip – WTA Ningbo, Sasnovich v Sonmez Read More »

Trading Tips – WTA Challenger, Mallorca – Sierra v Garcia

Get Trading Tips for every main draw ATP and WTA match, 7 days a week https://blog.tradesharktennis.com/tennis-trading-tips/

WTA Challenger Mallorca
Sierra 1.46 v Garcia
Due to start at 11:30 am
Confidence rating 7.5/10

1st meeting. Clay win %’s are better for Sierra.

Sierra had an easy win in the 1st round. 2 close sets win in the 2nd round as favourite. Slow start in the q final but easily took sets 2 and 3. CH q final in June. CH title in April.

Garcia beat Zidansek in 2 sets as underdog in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Semenistaja as underdog in the 2nd round. Walkover in the q final when Bejlek pulled out. CH semi in Sep. She plays mostly ITF’s.

12 month and 2025 stats are stronger for Sierra. Garcia will be competitive.
Back Sierra around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.55.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

Trading Tips – WTA Challenger, Mallorca – Sierra v Garcia Read More »

We are using cookies on this site

Please click "Accept" if you accept our tracking cookies. You can also decline the tracking, so you can continue to visit our website without any data being sent to third party services.