Daily match picks

Pablo Andujar 2.12, Albert Ramos 1.87

Due to start around 8 pm

Andujar leads their previous matches 8-3. They last played was in the Gstaad semi final in July 2019. Ramos won on clay in straight sets.

Overall results are quite even. Andujar has the better clay results in the last 12 months. Longer term clay results are even. They have both won 31 of their last 50 (62%).

Andujar won 78% of his clay matches in the last year. He played a mix of ATP and Challenger tournaments. Last year he lost in the first round to Italian Lorenzo Sonego. This week he beat Filip Horansky in straight sets.

Ramos has made a decent start to the season on hard courts. He reached the quarter finals in Adelaide. Last year he won 68% of his clay matches. He also played a mix of ATP and Challenger tournaments. Last year he made the second round by beating Lucky Loser Hugo Dellien in 3 sets. Thus week he was up against qualifier Facundo Bagnis in 2 very close sets.

We have some value on Andujar. There is a decent chance that this goes to 3 sets. Ramos played well in the last round but his first serve will need to find the court more often today. Lay Ramos around 1.50 and remove the liability at 2.00. Lay the set 1 winner. I favour Andujar to win.

   

Vasek Pospisil 2.88, Denis Shapovalov 1.51

Due to start around 8 pm

Shapovalov has won both their previous matches. Their last match was in Auckland in January. He won on a hard court in 2 tight sets. Their other meeting was also on a hard court back in 2017 in a Challneger in Mexico. He also won that one in straight sets.

Pospisil has a better win percentage in the last 12 months. He also had better indoor results but was playing weaker opponents on the Challenger tour. He ended 2019 really strongly with 2 hard court Challenger titles in October. He also reached the third round in the ATP Shanghai Masters as a qualifier.

Shapovalov also ended 2019 strongly winning the ATP indoor title in Stockholm in October. He reached the final in at the Paris Masters in October/November, also indoors and performed well at the Davis Cup. He started 2020 indecent form at the ATP Cup but will have been disappointed to go out of the Australian Open in the first round to Fucsovics. He reached the quarter finals of this tournamnt last season although that only required a single win as he had a bye through the first round.

These two Canadians will know each other’s games well We have some value on Pospisil. Lay Shapovalov around 1.35 and remove the liability at 1.70. Back Shapovalov around 1.85 to 1.95.