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WTA Cincinnati
Kostyuk v Andreeva 1.83
Due to start at 6 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Kostyuk 2-1. Most recent June 2026, clay, Andreeva in 2. Kostyuk won on clay in May 2026, 2 sets. She won on hard in Jan 2026, 2 sets. Hard win %’s slightly favour Andreeva.

Kostyuk reached the 3rd round last year. 3 sets win over Kostyuk in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Stephens in the 3rd round.
Final in Brisbane 2026, 4th Round in Beijing 2025, 4th Round at the US Open 2025.

Andreeva had a very easy win over Oliynykova in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Tjen in the 3rd round.
She reached the 4th Round in Miami 2026, Quarter finals in Dubai 2026, 4th Round at the Australian Open 2026, Title in Adelaide 2026, Quarter finals in Brisbane 2026, 4th Round in Beijing 2025, 3rd Round at the US Open 2025.

12 month and 2026 stats favour Andreeva on serve. Stats for their last 10 favour Kostyuk overall.
Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Andreeva around 1.50 and remove liability at 1.95.

Match prediction: Kostyuk in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Andreeva started the match priced at 1.73.

Kostyuk served first. She was broken to 15. I laid Andreeva at 1.50.
0-1

The next 5 games were holds with no break points.
0-2
1-2
1-3
2-3
2-4

Kostyuk had not been close to breaking back. I reduced my position by backing Andreeva at 1.36 to reduce my liability by half.

Kostyuk faced a break point but recovered to hold.
3-4

The next 3 games were all easy holds.
3-5
4-5
4-6

Andreeva was priced at 1.29/1.30 after the set.

Stats for the set were better for Andreeva. Kostyuk had a low first serve percentage at 48% but she was above average on points won on second serve.

I had favoured Kostyuk to win. She had only been broken once in the first set. She was serving first. I decided to lay half my stake at the start of the second set and I would lay the other half after her service game. I laid Andreeva at 1.30

Kostyuk was taken to deuce but held serve. I laid the rest of my stake at 1.38.
1-0

Andreeva was broken to 15. I removed some of my liability at 1.71.
2-0

Kostyuk held to 0.
3-0

Andreeva was broken again. I hedged at 2.14 on Andreeva’s ladder.
4-0

Kostyuk held to 15 and then broke Andreeva to 30 to take the set.
5-0
6-0

That was an awful set from Andreeva! Kostyuk lost just 4 points on serve.

Kostyuk was priced at 1.68/1.69 after the set.

Kostyuk served first. I was hoping that Andreeva would get the first break. Kostyuk held to 15.
1-0

Andreeva also held to 15.
1-1

Kostyuk held to 30.
2-1

Andreeva was broken to 15. I placed a small lay on Kostyuk at 1.18. It was risk free as I had some profit.
3-1

Kostyuk faced a break point at 30-40. I hedged at 1.32. She recovered to hold.
4-1

The next 2 games were holds.
4-2
5-2

Kostyuk broke Andreeva to take the set and the match.
6-2

Kostyuk won 4-6, 6-0, 6-2.