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WTA Charleston
Jovic v Kalinskaya 1.85
Due to start at 7 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

1st meeting. Clay win %’s favour Jovic.

Jovic had an easy win over Parks in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Kenin in the 3rd round.
She reached the 2nd round of the French Open 2025 2nd round in Bogota 2025. ITF title in Apr 2025.

Kalinskaya reached the Quarter final last season. 2 sets win over Tomova in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Badosa in the 3rd round.
Quarter finals in Strasbourg 2025. 3rd round in Madrid 2025.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Kalinskaya on serve.
Lay Jovic around 1.50 and remove liability at 1.95.

Match prediction: Kalinskaya in 3 sets.

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Update: Kalinskaya started at 1.81. Jovic served first and held to 15. In the next game, Kalinskaya was broken to 30. I laid Jovic at 1.65.

The next 4 games were holds. Jovic served at 4-2 and went 0-40 behind. As we were potentially close to the end of the set, I hedged at 1.94. Jovic was broken. In the next game, Kalinskaya was broken again. Jovic served for the set and was taken to deuce twice but held.

Stats for the set were better for Jovic. Kalinskaya had a low first serve percentage of 55% and won just 3 of her 14 second serve points.

At the end of the first set, Jovic was priced at 1.41. Kalinskaya served first in the second set. I waited for her to have her service game. She was broken to 15. I laid Jovic at 1.23.

In the next game, Jovic was broken to 30. my current position was risk free due to having some profit in the first set so I let the lay run.

The next 3 games were easy holds. Jovic served at 2-3 and was broken to 15. I hedged at 2.10 on Jovic’s ladder.

Kalinskaya was broken in the next game. In fact, she would not win another game.

Jovic won 6-3, 6-4.