This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
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Download link: Trading Tips 9th July

WTA Contrexeville, Challenger
Jeanjean 1.57 v Tubello
Due to start at 4:30 pm
Confidence rating 7.5/10

Jeanjean 1-0 (July 2020, clay, 2 sets). Clay win %’s favour Tubello.

Jeanjean lost in the 1st round last season. This week, she had a 2 sets win as strong favourite in the 1st round. 3 sets win over defending champ Jones in the 2nd round.
2nd round in Rome 2026 as qualifier. 2nd round in Madrid 2026 as qualifier. CH semi in Dec. CH final in Nov.

Tubello had a 3 sets win as favourite in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Werner as slight favourite in the 2nd round.

12 month CH stats favour Jeanjean on serve.
Back Jeanjean around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.

Match prediction: Jeanjean in 2 sets.

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Update: I was not able to trade this match. I have a set of rules that I use when trading and I will apply those to this match as if I HAD traded it. I will not have the price information.

Tubello served first. The first 4 games were holds with no break points.
2-2

Tubello saved 3 break points but held serve.
2-3

Jeanjean saved a break point but held.
3-3

Tubello saved 2 break points but recovered to hold.
3-4

Jeanjean was broken to 15. As Tubello had faced break points in her 2 previous service games, I would have placed a small back of Jeanjean.

Stats for the set were a little more consistent for Tubello. If Jeanjean could improve her first serve percentage in the next set, she had a great chance of recovering.

I would already have a small position on Jeanjean. She served first in the second set, so I would have waited for her to have her service game before laying Tubello.

Jeanjean held to 30 and I would have laid Tubello.
1-0

Tubello was taken to deuce twice and was broken.
2-0

I would have removed some of my liability. Jeanjean then held to 0.
3-0

The next 2 games were holds.
3-1
4-1

Tubello saved 3 break points but was eventually broken. I would have removed my remaining liability to leave a free bet on Jeanjean.
5-1

Jeanjean saved 2 break points but was broken.
5-2

Tubello held after being taken to deuce.
5-3

Jeanjean served out the set to 15.
6-3

Stats for the set show that Jeanjean really improved her first serve percentage from 58% in the first set to 77%.

Tubello served first in set 3. She was broken to 15.
1-0

Jeanjean held to 0.
2-0

Tubello was broken again. I would have hedged.
3-0

Jeanjean was broken after saving 2 break points. The next 6 games were holds with only 1 break point (on Jeanjean’s serve).
6-4

Jeanjean won 3-6, 6-3, 6-4

 

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 8th July

WTA Contrexeville, Challenger
Jones 1.95 v Jeanjean
Due to start at 4:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Jones 1-0 (March 2025, clay, 3 sets). 12 month clay win %’s favour Jones.

Jones won the title last year. 2 sets win in the 1st round.
2nd round of the French Open 2026. CH q final in May. CH title in July.

Jeanjean lost in the 1st round last season. This week, she had a 2 sets win as strong favourite in the 1st round.
2nd round in Rome 2026 as qualifier. 2nd round in Madrid 2026 as qualifier. CH semi in Dec. CH final in Nov.

12 month CH stats favour Jones overall.
Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Jeanjean around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Jones in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: When the match started, Jeanjean was price at 1.90.
Jones served first and held to 0.
1-0

Jeanjean saved a break point at 30-40 but faced another and was broken. I placed a small lay of Jones at 1.53.
2-0

The next 3 games were holds with no break points.
3-0
3-1
4-1

Jones was priced at 1.39/1.40. Another break now would mean the set was almost over. I decided to hedge for the loss and wait for set 2. I hedged at 1.39.
Jeanjean was broken again, this time to 30.
5-1

Jones served for the set. She went 15-40 behind but recovered to hold.
6-1

Jones was priced at 1.27/1.28
Stats for the set slightly favoured Jones for first serve percentage and first serve points won. Jeanjean was terrible on second serve, winning 1 of 8 points.

Jeanjean served first in set 2. I waited for her to have her service game before thinking about laying Jones. Jeanjean went 15-40 behind. She saved the break points and held serve. That didn’t fill me with confidence, especially as I favoured Jones to win in the pre match assessment.
0-1

Jones held to 15.
1-1

Jeanjean again went 15-40 behind. She saved one of the break points but was broken. Jones was now a set and a break ahead. A much better value chance to lay her. I laid Jones at 1.13.
2-1

The next 4 games were holds with no break points.
3-1
3-2
4-2
4-3

Jones was broken to 30. I removed most of the liability at 1.29, leaving the green on Jeanjean.
4-4

Jeanjean held to 0
4-5
Jones went 0-40 behind. I hedged at 2.02 on Jones’ ladder. She saved 2 of the break points but was broken to give the set to Jeanjean.
4-6

After the set, they were back to start prices. Jeanjean was 1.89/1.90.

Stats for that set were quite even. Jeanjean had the better 1st serve percentage.

Jeanjean served first in set 3. She was broken to 0. Jones was priced at 1.45/1.46. I would have wanted a better price to lay my favoured player in the 3rd set.
1-0

Jones held to 15.
2-0

Jeanjean faced a break points at 30-40. I laid Jones at 1.26 using some of the profit. Jeanjean saved 2 break points and eventually held.
2-1

Jones held to 15.
3-1

Jeanjean went 15-40 behind. She saved one of the break points but was broken. I left my position as it was. A small green on Jones and a larger green on Jeanjean. I wished that I had stayed away from the third set!
4-1

Jones was broken to 15! Jones was priced at 1.20/1.21.
4-2

The next 3 games were holds of serve with no break points.
4-3
5-3
5-4

Jones served for the match at 5-4. She was broken to 15! I hedged at 2.02 on Jones’ ladder.
5-5

Jeanjean held to 30.
5-6

Jones was broken to 15.
5-7

Jeanjean won 1-6, 6-4, 7-5.