This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 3rd August

WTA Toronto
Rakhimova v Siniakova 1.52
Due to start at 10 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Siniakova 2-1. Most recent Oct 2023, hard, Siniakova in 3. Rakhimova won on hard in Feb 2023, 3rd set tie break. Siniakova won on hard in 2022, 2 sets. 12 month hard win %’s favour Siniakova. They are even in 2026.

Rakhimova reached the 2nd round as qualifier last year. 2 sets win over V. Williams in the 1st round
2nd round in Miami 2026. 2nd round in Indian Wells 2026. 2nd round of the US Open 2025.

Siniakova reached the 4th Round in Indian Wells 2026, Quarter finals in Wuhan 2025, Semi finals in Seoul 2025.

12 month stats favour Siniakova overall. Stats for their last 10 favour Rakhimova overall.
Chance of 3 sets. 2026 stats on all surfaces favour Siniakova on serve.
Back Siniakova around 1.95 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.

Match prediction: Siniakova in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: At the start of the match, Siniakova was priced at 1.56.

Rakhimova served first. She had to save a break point but she held serve.
1-0

Easy hold for Siniakova.
1-1

Rakhimova was broken to 0. I laid Siniakova at 1.35.
1-2

Siniakova was taken to deuce twice before holding.
1-3

Rakhimova was broken again after having a game point. I could have taken the red but decided to add to the lay at 1.19.
1-4

Siniakova was broken. I removed a little liability at 1.28.
2-4

Rakhimova held to 15.
3-4

Siniakova was broken to 30. I hedged at 1.63 on Siniakova.
4-4

Rakhimova was taken to deuce 3 times but held.
5-4

Siniakova went 15-40 behind but recovered to hold.
5-5

Rakhimova was broken to 15. Siniakova was broken to 15!
5-6
6-6

Siniakova easily won the tie break 7-1.

Stats for the set were better for Siniakova although she only won 23% of her second serve points.
Siniakova was priced at 1.20/1.21 after the set.

Siniakova served first in the second set. I laid her at 1.21. She was broken. I had a small liability after the lay so I removed that at 1.34, leaving the profit on Rakhimova.
1-0

Rakhimova held to 30.
2-0

Siniakova was broken again. I hedged evenly at 1.70. That was enough for me. I did not trade the rest of the match.
3-0

Siniakova didn’t win a game in the second set.
6-0

Stats were terrible for Siniakova. She wasn’t looking comfortable in the early part of the second set. 2 from 12 on second serve.

Siniakova served first in the third set. She was broken. She broke straight back but was then broken herself for the 6th time in a row.
1-0
1-1
2-1

The next 3 games were holds
3-1
3-2
4-2

Siniakova was broken again and retired.
5-2

Rakhimova won 6-7, 6-0, 5-2(ret)

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 1st August

WTA Toronto
Sramkova 1.85 v Blinkova
Due to start at 8:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Blinkova 1-0 (Jan 2022, indoors, 2 sets). Hard win %’s favour Sramkova.

Sramkova lost in the 2nd round last year. This year she has come through the qual round.
Quarter finals in Osaka 2025, Quarter finals in Monterrey 2025.

Blinkova reached the 2nd round last season.
2nd round in Miami 2026. 2nd round in Indian Wells 2026. Title in Jiujiang 2025.

12 month stats and 2026 stats favour Sramkova overall.
Lay Blinkova around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match Prediction: Sramkova in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: I was stuck in another match so could not trade this one. I will apply my trading rules to this match to show what I would have done.

Sramkova served first. She had to save a break point but recovered to hold.
1-0

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
1-1
2-1

Blinkova went 15-40 behind. I would have laid Sramkova at break point. Blinkova saved 2 break points but faced another and was broken.
3-1

Sramkova was broken to 0. I would have removed liability, leaving the profit on Sramkova.
3-2

Blinkova was broken again.
4-2

The next 3 games were holds with no break points.
5-2
5-3
6-3

Stats for the set weren’t great for Sramkova. First serve percentage was 54%. Points won on first serve was 47%. What saved her was the fact that her second serve points won percentage was 69%. Blinkova had a similar first serve percentage of 55%. Unfortunately for her, she was winning just 31% of points on her second serve.

Blinkova served first in the second set. I would still have had the free bet on Sramkova. I would have waited for Sramkova to go a set and a break up so I could lay her at a much better price.

Blinkova saved a break point but held.
0-1

Sramkova held to 30.
1-1

Blinkova was broken to 15. I’d have laid Sramkova. The position would be risk free because of the free bet.
2-1

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
3-1
3-2

Sramkova was broken to 15. I’d have backed Sramkova with the same stake used for the lay. This would give me a bigger free bet on Sramkova.
3-3

Blinkova was broken to 30.
4-3

Sramkova held to love. Blinkova was broken after saving a break point.
5-3
6-3

Sramkova won 6-3, 6-3.