Daily match picks

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
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The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Trading Tips download link: 15th May

WTA Paris Challenger
Parry v Charaeva 1.59
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Parry 1-0 (June 2025, grass, 2 sets). Clay win %’s favour Charaeva.

Parry lost in the 1st round last season. 2 sets win over Haddad Maia in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Paquet in the 2nd round. Walkover in the q final.
2nd round in Hamburg 2025. 2nd round in Strasbourg 2025.

Charaeva has come through the qual round. 2 sets win over Bejlek in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Korpatsch in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Sasnovich in the q final.
CH q final in May. 2 CH q finals in March. CH final and semi final in Sep.

12 month WTA stats favour Charaeva overall. 12 month CH stats also favour her.
Back Charaeva around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Charaeva in 3 sets.

Update: Charaeva was priced at 1.68 at the start of the match.

Parry served first. She was broken to 0. I laid Charaeva at 1.41.
0-1

Charaeva went 15-40 behind. The price moved to 1.60. I wanted more of a price move so I waited for the break. I removed the liability after the break at 1.67, leaving the green on Charaeva.
1-1

Parry was broken to 30. I laid Charaeva at 1.44.
1-2

Charaeva faced a break point at 30-40. The price moved to 1.54. Again, I waited for the break. She was broken and I removed the liability at 1.68, increasing the free bet on Charaeva.
2-2

The next 6 games were holds of serve with no break points.
3-2
3-3
4-3
4-4
5-4
5-5

Parry was broken to 30. Charaeva had already immediately given back a break twice in the set. I placed a small lay on her at 1.32.
5-6

Charaeva served for the set and went 30-40 behind. I hedged at 1.46. She was broken and they went to a tie break.
6-6

Parry took a 5-1 lead in the tie break. Charaeva got back to 6-6 but Parry won the tie break 8-6.
7-6

Stats in the set were a little better for Parry. The higher points won on second serve percentage gave her the small edge.

As I favoured Charaeva pre match, I intended laying Parry. Charaeva served first in the second set. I laid Parry with half stake at the start of the set at 1.53. Charaeva held to 15. I laid the other part of my stake at 1.68.
0-1

The next 7 games were holds with no break points. When I have laid the set 1 winner, and the score reaches 4-4, I exit. I hedged at 1.48. I had profit on both players.
1-1
1-2
2-2
2-3
3-3
3-4
4-4

The next 2 games were holds.
4-5
5-5

Charaeva faced and saved 3 break points. She eventually held serve.
5-6

Parry held to 15.
6-6

Charaeva had 3 set points in the tie break at 6-3. Parry won the next 5 points to win the tie break 8-6!
7-6

Parry won 7-6, 7-6.

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link – Trading Tips 14th May

WTA Parma Challenger
Osorio v Krejcikova 1.91
Due to start at 12:30 pm
Confidence rating 6.5/10

1st meeting. Clay win %’s are even.

Osorio lost in the 1st round last season. This week she had an easy win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Bronzetti in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Salkova in the q final.
2nd round in Madrid 2026. 2nd round in Bogota 2026. Semis in Rabat 2025.

Krejcikova had an easy win in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Friedsam in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Golubic in the q final.
2nd round in Rome 2026.

Stats for the tournament favour Krejcikova on serve.
Lay Osorio around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Krejcikova in 3 sets.

Update: Krejcikova started the match priced at 1.94.

Osorio served first. She saved 2 break points but was eventually broken. I laid Krejcikova at 1.61.
0-1

Krejcikova went 15-40 behind. I removed my liability at 1.84, leaving the green on Krejcikova. She saved the 2 break points and held.
0-2

The next 4 games were holds with no break points.
1-2
1-3
2-3
2-4

Osorio was broken to 15.
2-5

Krejcikova served out the set to 30.
2-6

Krejcikova was priced at 1.22 after the set.

Osorio’s stats in the first set weren’t all bad. She had a strong first serve percentage and a strong first serve points won percentage. However she lost all 8 of her second serve points. Krejcikova only won 59% of points on her first serve but won 73% of second serve points.

Osorio served first. She faced a break point at 30-40. I laid Krejcikova at 1.17. Osorio saved 2 break points but held.
1-0

Krejcikova went 15-40 behind. As my lay was risk free, I waited for the break. She saved the first break point but was broken on the second. I could have hedged at 1.49. I decided to give Osorio a chance to hold serve.
2-0

Osorio held to 30. I hedged at 1.57.
3-0

Krejcikova faced 2 break points but held.
3-1

Osorio held to 15.
4-1

Krejcikova was broken to 15.
5-1

Osorio faced a break point but successfully served out the set.
6-1

Stats for the set saw Osorio improve her second serve points won percentage. Krejcikova’s stats were weak in that set.

Krejcikova served first in the third set. They were priced around 2.00 at the start of the set. She was broken to 30. I laid Osorio at 1.48. In the WTA, the player who breaks first in a deciding set gets broken back around 50% of the time. So, if the price is decent, it can be an excellent entry.
1-0

Osorio went 0-40 behind and I hedged at 1.95 on Osorio’s ladder. She saved 2 of the break points but was broken. After the break, Osorio was priced at 2.04.
1-1

The next 3 games were holds with no break points.
1-2
2-2
2-3

Osorio faced a break point at 30-40 but recovered to hold.
3-3

Krejcikova faced and saved 4 break points and held serve.
3-4

The next 4 games were easy holds.
4-4
4-5
5-5
5-6

Osorio was broken to 15 to hand the set and the match to Krejcikova.
5-7

Krejcikova won 6-2, 1-6, 7-5.