Daily match picks

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Download link: Trading Tips 13th June

WTA London
Vekic v Raducanu 1.77
Due to start at 1:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

1st meeting. Grass win %’s favour Raducanu.

Vekic lost in the 1st round last season. This week, she lost in the qual rounds. 2 sets win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Bouzkova in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Pliskova in the q final as underdog. Easy win over Boulter in the semi final.

Raducanu reached the Quarter final last year. Easy win over Blinkova in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Cirstea in the 2nd round. Straight sets win over Rakhimova in the q final. Easy win over Jovic as underdog in the 2nd round.
3rd Round at Wimbledon 2025.

12 month grass stats favour Vekic on serve. Return stats are much better for Raducanu.
Raducanu struggled a little against Rakhimova in the q final. She raised her game against Jovic who wasn’t 100% and had an early mto.
Vekic was superb on serve against Boulter who suffered a let down after her performance against Rybakina in the previous round.
2 matches yesterday for Raducanu will affect her energy level today. if Vekic continues to serve well, she has the edge.
Lay Raducanu around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.90. Good chance of 3 sets.

Match prediction: Vekic in 3 sets.

Update: Vekic served first and held to 15.
1-0

Raducanu was broken to 15. I laid Vekic at 1.57.
2-0

Vekic held to 15.
3-0

Raducanu went 0-30 behind. I was concerned that she would be low on energy having played 2 matches the previous day. I hedged for the loss at 1.35. Raducanu got back to 30-30 but was broken.
4-0

Vekic was taken to deuce 3 times but held.
5-0


Raducanu had a medical timeout to have the strapping/ patch adjusted on her leg.
Raducanu was broken to 30.
6-0

Terrible stats for Raducanu. She won just 5 points on serve. It actually isn’t unusual for a player with so few points in the first set to recover in the second set, as long as they were expected to be competitive.

Vekic was priced at 1.15/1.16 after the set. I did not want to lay her until I had seen some improvement from Raducanu.

Vekic served first and held to 15.
1-0

Raducanu held to 0. I laid Vekic at 1.28.
1-1

Vekic went 15-40 behind. Her price moved to 1.40. I waited for the hold. She saved the break points but faced another one and was broken. I removed some liability at 1.47.
1-2

Raducanu held to 30. I hedged at 1.58.
1-3

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
2-3
2-4

Vekic was broken to 30. Raducanu would serve for the set. I placed a small back of Vekic at 1.98.
2-5

Raducanu went 0-40 behind. I hedged at 1.78. She saved 3 break points but was eventually broken.
3-5

Vekic held to 30.
4-5

Raducanu was broken after 2 deuces.
5-5

Vekic held to 15.
6-5

Raducanu went 15-40 behind. She saved 3 match points in the game but managed to hold. they went into a tie break.
6-6

Raducanu saved another 2 match points in the tie break but Vekic took the tie break 8-6.
7-6

Vekic won 6-0, 7-6.