Daily match picks

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Download link: Trading Tips 7th June

WTA London
Boulter 1.96 v Fernandez
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Confidence rating 6.5/10

Boulter 2-1. Most recent Nov 2024, Boulter in 2 sets. Fernandez won on hard in 2023, 2 sets. Boulter won on hard in 2018, 3 sets. Grass win %’s favour Boulter.

Boulter reacted the 2nd round last year.
She reached the 2nd round at Wimbledon 2025. Quarter finals in Nottingham 2025.

Fernandez lost in the 1st round last season.
Quarter finals in Nottingham 2025.

12 month stats favour Fernandez overall. 2026 stats on all surfaces favour Fernandez on serve.
Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Boulter around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.00.

Match prediction: Fernandez in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: The start was delayed by rain. Fernandez served first and held to 0
0-1

The next 2 games were easy holds.
1-1
1-2

Boulter was broken to 15. I placed a small lay of Fernandez at 1.50. I was concerned about further rain delays so held back some of my stake.
1-3

The next 5 games were holds with no break points. Fernandez took the set. She was priced at 1.35/1.36.
3-6

Even though there was only 1 break point in the set, There were signs that Boulter’s serve may be vulnerable in the next set. Her first serve percentage was on the low side at 53%. Fernandez had very strong serve stats, losing just 3 points on serve.

I decided to leave the small lay to run into the second set. Boulter served first. She faced a break point at 30-40 but recovered to hold.
1-0

The next 4 games were holds with no break points.
1-1
2-1
2-2
3-2

Fernandez faced a break point at 40-A. I hedged for a small green at 1.69. This wasn’t the most exciting match ever!. Fernandez saved the break point and held.
3-3.

I would have exited if the score reached 4-4. However, the match was then suspended due to rain. They will resume on Tuesday.

Fernandez led 6-3, 3-3.