Daily match picks

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
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The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link – Trading Tips 23rd May

WTA French Open
Baptiste 1.79 v Krejcikova
Due to start at 12:00
Confidence rating 7/10

H2H 1-1. Most recent Oct 2024, hard, Baptiste in 2. Krejcikova won on clay in 2019, 3 sets. Clay win %’s favour Krejcikova.

Baptiste reached the 4th round last year.
3rd round in Rome 2026. Semi finals in Madrid 2026. 2nd round in Rouen 2026.

Krejcikova reached the 2nd round last season.
CH final in May. 2nd round in Rome 2026.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Baptiste on serve. Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Krejcikova around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Baptiste in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: At the start of the match, Baptiste was priced at 1.83.

Krejcikova served first. The first 8 games were holds with no break points.
4-4

Krejcikova faced a break point at 30-40. She recovered to hold.
4-5

The next 3 games were holds with no break points.
6-6

Even the tie break was tight! Baptiste had a set point but didn’t take it. Krejcikova won the tie break 9-7
6-7

Stats for the set were pretty even overall. Baptiste had the lower first serve percentage but had the better second serve points won percentage. You won’t see a much tighter set in WTA.
Krejcikova was priced at 1.46/1.47 after the set.

Baptiste served first in the second set. She had not faced a break point in the first set. I laid Krejcikova at 1.47 with half stake. I would enter the rest of my stake after her service game. Baptiste was broken from 40-0. I laid the rest of my stake at 1.27.
0-1

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
0-2
1-2

Krejcikova went 0-40 behind. Her price moved to 1.57. I removed half my liability. I removed the rest of the liability at 1.70 when she was broken, leaving the green on Baptiste.
2-2

The next 7 games were holds with no break points!
6-5

Krejcikova faced 2 break points but recovered to hold serve. They went into another tie break.
6-6

I took my Baptiste free bet onto the tie break. Krejcikova had 2 match points but could not take them. Baptiste had 1 set point at 7-6 which she took.
7-6

Stats for the second set arguably favoured Krejcikova overall. Baptiste only faced 1 break point.

Baptiste was priced at 1.48/1.49. I laid Baptiste at 1.49 to move a small amount of green to Krejcikova. Krejcikova was serving first in the 3rd set. She was broken and I hedged at 1.22.
1-0

Baptiste held to 15.
2-0

Krejcikova was broken again after saving 2 break points.
3-0

There were no more breaks although Baptiste faced 2 break points when serving at 4-1.
6-2

Baptiste won 6-7, 7-6, 6-2.

 

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link for Trading Tips file: 21st May

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WTA Rabat
Teichmann v Marcinko 1.51
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Marcinko 1-0 (Aug 2023, hard, 2 sets). Clay win %’s favour Marcinko.

Teichmann lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Grabher as slight underdog in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Parks in the 2nd round. 3rd set tie break win over Kabbaj in the q final.
Final in Iasi 2025. 2nd round of the French Open 2025.

Marcinko had an easy win in the 1st round. She needed a 3rd set tie break as 1.10 favourite in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Maneiro in the q final.
She reached the 2nd round in Madrid 2026. CH semi in April. CH title and semi in July.CH semi in June.

12 month stats favour Teichmann overall. 206 stats also favour her. Stats for the tournament favour Marcinko on serve.
Back Marcinko around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.60.

Match prediction: Marcinko in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Marcinko served first. She saved a break point before holding.
0-1

Teichmann also faced a break point at 30-40 and held serve.
1-1

Marcinko held to 15. Teichmann went 15-40 behind. I laid Marcinko at 1.25. She took the first break point. The price dropped another 4 ticks.
1-2
1-3

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
1-4
2-4

Marcinko faced a break point at 30-40. The price barely reacted. Marcinko was now at 1.19. I waited. Marcinko was broken. Her price moved at 1.27. I decided to stay with the lay and to give Teichmann the chance to hold serve.
3-4

Teichmann held to 30. I removed most of my liability at 1.39, leaving the profit on Marcinko.
4-4

The next 4 games were holds with no break points. They went into a tie break. Marcinko was priced at 1.44.
4-5
5-5
5-6
6-6

The tie break was quite one sided and Marcinko took it 7-2
6-7

Stats for the set were fairly even. Teichmann had the better first serve percentage and Marcinko had the better first serve points won percentage.
Marcinko was priced at 1.12 after the set. I hedged at 1.13.

Teichmann served first in the second set. I waited for her to have her service game before entering. She was broken to 30. I laid Marcinko at 1.07. Because of the profit from the first set, the lay was risk free.
0-1

Marcinko went 0-40 behind. I hedged at 1.14. She was broken to 30.
1-1

Teichmann was broken to 30. I placed a small lay on Marcinko at 1.08. There was a chance that Teichmann may fade away in this set so I didn’t want to use much of my profit on the lay.
1-2

Marcinko held to 0.
1-3

Teichmann was broken for a third time in the set. Marcinko was priced at 1.02. There was no point exiting. I had green on Marcinko and a larger green on Teichmann.
1-4

Marcinko held to 15.
1-5

Teichmann faced a match point but she saved it and eventually held.
2-5

Marcinko served for the match and was broken to 15. Marcinko was priced at 1.02/1.03.
3-5

Teichmann was broken to give Marcinko the match.
3-6

Marcinko won 7-6, 6-3.