Daily match picks

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
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The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link>> Trading Tips 29th May

ATP French Open
JM Cerundolo 1.81 v Landaluce
Due to start at 12:30 pm
Confidence rating 7.5/10

1st meeting. Clay win %’s favour Cerundolo. Clay win %’s favour Cerundolo.

Cerundolo reached the 2nd round as qualifier last season. 3 sets win over Fearnley in the 1st round. 5 sets win over Sinner in the 2nd round.
Quarter finals in Rio de Janeiro 2026, Final in Gstaad 2025.

Landaluce lost in the qual rounds last year. 5 sets win over Angelo in the 1st round. 5 sets win over Kopriva in the 2nd round.
Quarter finals in Rome 2026.

12 month stats, 2026 stats and stats for their last 10 favour Cerundolo on serve.
Back Cerundolo around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.75. 4 sets.

Match prediction: Cerundolo in 4 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: A VERY tight match! Cerundolo served first. In the first 8 games there was just 1 break point which was on Landaluce’s serve at 1-2.
4-4

Cerundolo faced 5 break points. All were at 40-A. On the 3rd break point, his price hit 1.93. On the 5th break point, his price hit 2.00. Not enough value from a 1.83 start price. He eventually held serve.
5-4

Landaluce was taken to 40-40 3 times. he then faced a break point which Cerundolo won to take the set.
6-4.

After the set, Cerundolo’s price was 1.33/1.34.

Stats for the set show that Cerundolo had a low first serve percentage at 50%. Landaluce’s stats were pretty solid and he faced fewer break points.

Cerundolo served first in set 2. I laid him at 1.34. He held to 15.
1-0

Landaluce was broken to 0! I added to my lay at 1.16.
2-0

Cerundolo held to 30.
3-0

Landaluce faced a break point at 30-40. Landaluce managed to hold.
3-1

Cerundolo faced a break point but held.
4-1

Easy hold for Landaluce.
4-2

Cerundolo was broken to 30. I hedged at 1.29.
4-3

The next 4 games were holds with no break points.
6-5

Landaluce went 15-40 behind. He saved the break points and took the set into a tie break.
6-6

In the tie break, Cerundolo had a set point but didn’t take it. Landaluce took the tie break 9-7.
6-7

Stats for the set slightly favoured Landaluce. Cerundolo had a low but improved first serve percentage of 57%. His second serve points won % dropped from 60% in the first set to 40% in the second set. That’s a bad combination.

After the set, Cerundolo was priced at 1.85.

Landaluce served first in the third set. He held to 30.
0-1

Cerundolo was broken after saving one break point. I laid Landaluce at 1.64.
0-2

Landaluce was broken to 15. I removed liability at 2.00, leaving the profit on Cerundolo.
1-2

The next 9 games were holds. They went into another tie break.
6-6

Cerundolo won the tie break 7-4. He was now 2 sets to 1 ahead.
7-6

Cerundolo slightly improved his stats in that set. His first serve percentage was still low which was making life harder for him.

Cerundolo started set 4 priced at 1.27-1.28. I laid him at 1.28.

Cerundolo served first. The first 4 games were holds.
2-2

Cerundolo went 15-40 behind. I hedged evenly at 1.54. He recovered to hold serve.
3-2

The next 2 games were holds.
4-3

Landaluce saved 4 break points. He was broken on the 5th break point. I laid Cerundolo at 1.05. It was risk free as I had profit to “play” with.
5-3

Cerundolo was broken to 15. I hedged evenly at 1.28.
5-4

Easy hold for Landaluce. Cerundolo faced 2 break points but recovered to hold.
5-5
6-5

Landaluce held to 30 to take them into yet another tie break.
6-6

Landaluce took the tie break 7-4.
6-7

The match had been going for 4.75 hours. I needed a break and did not trade the final set.

Landaluce served first in the fifth set. He held to 15. Cerundolo was then broken to 30.
0-1
0-2

The next 2 games were holds.
0-3
1-3

Landaluce was broken to 15.
2-3

The next 7 games were holds with no break points.
6-6

The tie break was very tight. Cerundolo twice went a mini break up but could not hold the lead.
Landaluce then went a mini break up at 8-6 (it is the first to 10 points in the final set in slams). However, he lost both his service points and Cerundolo served at 9-8. He won the tie break 10-8.
7-6

Cerundolo won 6-4, 6-7, 7-6, 6-7, 7-6.

 

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 26th May

WTA French Open
Teichmann v Frech 1.67
Due to start at 4 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Frech 1-0 (June 2023, grass, 3 sets). Clay win %’s favour Teichmann.

Teichmann reached the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Samsonova as underdog in the 1st round.
Semi final in Rabat 2026. Final in Iasi 2025.

Frech reached the 2nd round last year. In the 1st round, Ruse retired in set 2.
2nd round in Strasbourg 2026.

12 month stats and 2026 stats favour Teichmann overall.
Lay Frech around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.80. Chance of 3 sets.

Match prediction: Teichmann in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Teichmann served first and held to 0.
1-0

Frech was taken to deuce 7 times and had to save 2 break points but managed to hold serve.
1-1

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
2-1
2-2

Teichmann was broken to 30. I laid Frech at 1.39.
2-3

The next 3 games were holds with no break points.
2-4
3-4
3-5

Teichmann went 0-40 behind. As I was favouring her in the pre match assessment and would therefore be laying Frech after she took the set, I laid Frech at 0-40 at 1.16. Teichmann saved the 3 break points and went on to hold serve. Frech’s price reached 1.25.
4-5

Frech served for the set and went 0-40 behind. I removed liability at 1.52, leaving the green in Teichmann. Frech was broken to 15.
5-5


Teichmann held serve to 30. Frech was then broken to 30 to give the set to Teichmann. I hedged at 1.54 on Teichmann’s ladder (2.86 on Frech’s ladder).
6-5
7-5

Stats for the set were fairly even. Teichmann had the stronger second serve points won percentage. Set winners often (not always) have the better 2nd serve points won percentage.

Teichmann served first in the second set. I laid her at 1.55. She faced a break point at 40-A. I backed her at 1.73 using the same stake that I had used to lay. This increased my green on Teichmann. She recovered to hold.
1-0

Frech Held to 0
1-1

Teichmann again faced break point at 40-A. Again, she recovered to hold.
2-1

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
2-2
3-2

Frech went 0-40 behind. I laid Teichmann at 1.22. The lay was risk free due to the existing profit. Frech saved 2 of the break points but was broken to 30.
4-2

Teichmann was broken to 15. I hedged at 1.44.
4-3

Frech was broken to 0. I laid Teichmann at 1.11. She would be serving for the match. I didn’t use much of my profit to cover the lay liability. If Teichmann started the next game well, there would be no chance to exit.
5-3

Teichmann was broken to 30. I hedged at 1.36.
5-4

Frech was broken again to give Teichmann the set.
6-4

Teichmann won 7-5, 6-4.

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