ATP Wimbledon Final

Sinner to beat Zverev in 4 sets.

Sinner won their last 9 matches. The last 6 were in straight sets. They never met on grass.

Grass stats for the last year favour Zverev on serve.

 

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Download link: Trading Tips 9th July

WTA Contrexeville, Challenger
Jeanjean 1.57 v Tubello
Due to start at 4:30 pm
Confidence rating 7.5/10

Jeanjean 1-0 (July 2020, clay, 2 sets). Clay win %’s favour Tubello.

Jeanjean lost in the 1st round last season. This week, she had a 2 sets win as strong favourite in the 1st round. 3 sets win over defending champ Jones in the 2nd round.
2nd round in Rome 2026 as qualifier. 2nd round in Madrid 2026 as qualifier. CH semi in Dec. CH final in Nov.

Tubello had a 3 sets win as favourite in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Werner as slight favourite in the 2nd round.

12 month CH stats favour Jeanjean on serve.
Back Jeanjean around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.

Match prediction: Jeanjean in 2 sets.

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Update: I was not able to trade this match. I have a set of rules that I use when trading and I will apply those to this match as if I HAD traded it. I will not have the price information.

Tubello served first. The first 4 games were holds with no break points.
2-2

Tubello saved 3 break points but held serve.
2-3

Jeanjean saved a break point but held.
3-3

Tubello saved 2 break points but recovered to hold.
3-4

Jeanjean was broken to 15. As Tubello had faced break points in her 2 previous service games, I would have placed a small back of Jeanjean.

Stats for the set were a little more consistent for Tubello. If Jeanjean could improve her first serve percentage in the next set, she had a great chance of recovering.

I would already have a small position on Jeanjean. She served first in the second set, so I would have waited for her to have her service game before laying Tubello.

Jeanjean held to 30 and I would have laid Tubello.
1-0

Tubello was taken to deuce twice and was broken.
2-0

I would have removed some of my liability. Jeanjean then held to 0.
3-0

The next 2 games were holds.
3-1
4-1

Tubello saved 3 break points but was eventually broken. I would have removed my remaining liability to leave a free bet on Jeanjean.
5-1

Jeanjean saved 2 break points but was broken.
5-2

Tubello held after being taken to deuce.
5-3

Jeanjean served out the set to 15.
6-3

Stats for the set show that Jeanjean really improved her first serve percentage from 58% in the first set to 77%.

Tubello served first in set 3. She was broken to 15.
1-0

Jeanjean held to 0.
2-0

Tubello was broken again. I would have hedged.
3-0

Jeanjean was broken after saving 2 break points. The next 6 games were holds with only 1 break point (on Jeanjean’s serve).
6-4

Jeanjean won 3-6, 6-3, 6-4