This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 7th August

WTA Toronto
Pegula 1.42 v Shnaider
Due to start at 7 pm
Confidence rating 7.5/10

Pegula 4-0. Most recent Aug 2026, hard, 2 sets. She won on clay in Apr 2026, 3 sets. She won on hard in Sep 2024, 2 sets. 2 sets win on hard in Aug 2024. Hard win %’s favour Pegula.

Pegula reached the 3rd round last year. She needed 3 sets against Frech in the 2nd round. Easy win over Rakhimova in the 3rd round.
She reached the Final in Washington 2026, Quarter finals in Miami 2026, Quarter finals in Indian Wells 2026, Title in Dubai 2026, Semi finals at the Australian Open 2026, Semi finals in Brisbane 2026, Final in Wuhan 2025, Semi finals in Beijing 2025, Semi finals at the US Open 2025.

Shnaider lost in the 2nd round last season. 3 sets win over Sramkova in the 2nd round. Easy win over a poor Kalinskaya in the 3rd round.
Semi finals in Washington 2026, 3rd Round at the Australian Open 2026, Semi finals in Adelaide 2026, Semi finals in Ningbo 2025, Title in Monterrey 2025.

12 month stats and stats in their last 10 favour Pegula overall.
Back Pegula around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.60.

Match prediction: Pegula in 2 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Shnaider served first. She held to 0. The first 4 games were holds.
2-2

Shnaider saved a break point before holding.
2-3

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
3-3
3-4

Pegula was broken to 30. As Shnaider had only faced 1 break point, I waited for set 2.
3-5

Shnaider served out the set to 30.
3-6

Shnaider was priced at 1.77/1.78 after the set.

Stats for the set were good for both players. Shnaider had a much better second serve points won percentage.

Update: Pegula served first in the second set. As she had only faced 1 break point in the first set, I laid Shnaider at the start of the set at 1.78 but kept stake small as the price wasn’t great.

Pegula held to 15.
1-0

Shnaider faced a break point at 40-A and I removed liability by laying Pegula at 1.67. I left the green on Pegula.
Shnaider saved 2 break points in the game and held serve.
1-1

Pegula was broken. I laid Shnaider at 1.53.
1-2

Shnaider was broken to 15. I hedged at 2.02 on Shnaider’s ladder.
2-2

Pegula went 0-40 behind. I laid Shnaider at 1.51. Neither player was serving well in this set.
Pegula saved the 3 break points and held. I hedged again at 2.20 on Shnaider’s ladder.
3-2

Easy hold for Shnaider.
3-3

Pegula was broken again. I placed a small lay on Shnaider at 1.25. The left me with green on Shnaider and a bigger green on Pegula.
3-4

Easy hold for Shnaider.
3-5

Pegula saved a break point. She had been 40-15 ahead. She then faced another break point which Shnaider won.
3-6

Shnaider won 6-3, 6-3.

Not Pegula’s best match!

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 5th August

WTA Toronto
Kostyuk 1.83 v Keys
Due to start at 7 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Keys 2-0. Most recent July 2024, grass, 2 sets. She won on grass in 2023, 2 sets. Hard win %’s favour Kostyuk.

Kostyuk reached the Quarter final last year. 2 sets win in the 2nd round as strong favourite.
Final in Brisbane 2026, 4th Round in Beijing 2025, 4th Round at the US Open 2025.

Keys reached the Quarter final last season. Easy win over Ruzic in the 2nd round.
4th Round at the Australian Open 2026, Quarter finals in Brisbane 2026, 4th Round in Cincinnati 2025.

12 month stats and 2026 stats favour Kostyuk.
Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Keys around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Kostyuk in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: After yesterday’s live stream, I needed a break and never made it back to my desk!

I’ll apply my trading rules to this match to show how I would have traded it.

Kostyuk served first. The first 2 games were easy holds.
1-0
1-1

Kostyuk went 15-40 behind. I’d have placed a small back on Kostyuk as I favoured her to win. Kostyuk saved 3 break points and held.
2-1

The next 2 games were holds.
2-2
3-2

Keys went 15-40 behind. I’d have removed the liability to leave the profit on Kostyuk. It would have left a small free bet on Kostyuk. Keys saved 1 break point but was then broken.
4-2

The next 3 games were holds although Kostyuk faced 3 break points when serving for the set.
5-2
5-3
6-3

Stats for the set were actually better overall for Keys. She only faced 2 break points (broken once). Kostyuk faced 6 break points and saved them all.

Keys served first in the second set so I would have waited for her to have her service game. She was broken to 0. I would have laid Kostyuk which would either have been risk free or would have given me a small liability.
1-0

Kostyuk held to 30.
2-0

Keys was broken to 30. There wouldn’t be much point exiting at this stage of the match. I’d have left it to run, especially if the lay was risk free.
3-0

Kostyuk faced a break point but held serve.
4-0

Keys held after being taken to deuce 3 times. Kostyuk then faced 3 break points but held.
4-1
5-1

Keys was broken again.
6-1

Kostyuk won 6-3, 6-1. I can’t say I’m sorry that I missed this one!