Daily match picks

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Download link for Trading Tips file: 21st May

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WTA Rabat
Teichmann v Marcinko 1.51
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Marcinko 1-0 (Aug 2023, hard, 2 sets). Clay win %’s favour Marcinko.

Teichmann lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Grabher as slight underdog in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Parks in the 2nd round. 3rd set tie break win over Kabbaj in the q final.
Final in Iasi 2025. 2nd round of the French Open 2025.

Marcinko had an easy win in the 1st round. She needed a 3rd set tie break as 1.10 favourite in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Maneiro in the q final.
She reached the 2nd round in Madrid 2026. CH semi in April. CH title and semi in July.CH semi in June.

12 month stats favour Teichmann overall. 206 stats also favour her. Stats for the tournament favour Marcinko on serve.
Back Marcinko around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.60.

Match prediction: Marcinko in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Marcinko served first. She saved a break point before holding.
0-1

Teichmann also faced a break point at 30-40 and held serve.
1-1

Marcinko held to 15. Teichmann went 15-40 behind. I laid Marcinko at 1.25. She took the first break point. The price dropped another 4 ticks.
1-2
1-3

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
1-4
2-4

Marcinko faced a break point at 30-40. The price barely reacted. Marcinko was now at 1.19. I waited. Marcinko was broken. Her price moved at 1.27. I decided to stay with the lay and to give Teichmann the chance to hold serve.
3-4

Teichmann held to 30. I removed most of my liability at 1.39, leaving the profit on Marcinko.
4-4

The next 4 games were holds with no break points. They went into a tie break. Marcinko was priced at 1.44.
4-5
5-5
5-6
6-6

The tie break was quite one sided and Marcinko took it 7-2
6-7

Stats for the set were fairly even. Teichmann had the better first serve percentage and Marcinko had the better first serve points won percentage.
Marcinko was priced at 1.12 after the set. I hedged at 1.13.

Teichmann served first in the second set. I waited for her to have her service game before entering. She was broken to 30. I laid Marcinko at 1.07. Because of the profit from the first set, the lay was risk free.
0-1

Marcinko went 0-40 behind. I hedged at 1.14. She was broken to 30.
1-1

Teichmann was broken to 30. I placed a small lay on Marcinko at 1.08. There was a chance that Teichmann may fade away in this set so I didn’t want to use much of my profit on the lay.
1-2

Marcinko held to 0.
1-3

Teichmann was broken for a third time in the set. Marcinko was priced at 1.02. There was no point exiting. I had green on Marcinko and a larger green on Teichmann.
1-4

Marcinko held to 15.
1-5

Teichmann faced a match point but she saved it and eventually held.
2-5

Marcinko served for the match and was broken to 15. Marcinko was priced at 1.02/1.03.
3-5

Teichmann was broken to give Marcinko the match.
3-6

Marcinko won 7-6, 6-3.

 

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link, Trading Tips file: 20th May

WTA Strasbourg
Mboko 1.63 v Fernandez
Due to start at 4:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Mboko 1-0 (Nov 2025, hard, 3 sets). Clay win %’s favour Mboko.

Mboko had a 2 sets win over Boisson in the 2nd round.
She reached the 3rd round of the French Open 2025. She had played just 1 clay match in 2026.

Fernandez lost in the 1st round last season. 2 sets win over Jeanjean in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Frech in the 2nd round.
Quarter finals in Madrid 2026, Quarter finals in Stuttgart 2026.

12 month stats favour Mboko overall. Stats for their last 10 favour Fernandez on serve.
Chance of 3 sets.
Fernandez hit 9 d faults in the previous round.
Back Mboko around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Mboko in 3 sets

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Fernandez served first and held to 0.
0-1

Mboko held to 15.
1-1

Fernandez went 15-40 behind. I could have laid Mboko at 1.48 but I wanted a better price. She was broken and I laid Mboko at 1.40.
2-1

Mboko held to 0.
3-1

Fernandez was broken again to 15. I added to my lay at 1.19.
4-1

Mboko held to 15. Fernandez held to 30.
5-1
5-2

Mboko faced a break point at 40-A. The price only moved at 1.22. I waited. Mboko saved the break point but faced another and was broken. I removed some liability at 1.27.
5-3

Fernandez had to save 2 break points but held serve. I hedged at 1.32 for a small profit.
5-4

Mboko served out the set to 15.
6-4

Stats for the set were stronger for Mboko although her first serve percentage was just 45%.

Fernandez served first in the second set and was broken after saving 1 break point. She was not looking good. I did not lay Mboko and waited to see if Fernandez could improve.
1-0

Mboko held to 15.
2-0

Fernandez was then broken again, this time to 0. Mboko was now priced at 1.03. Pre match, I had thought it could be tight. I laid.
3-0

Mboko was broken to 0. Her price moved to 1.06. I waited.
3-1

Fernandez had to saved 3 break points but she eventually held. I hedged at 1.09.
3-2

The next 4 games were holds with no break points.
4-2
4-3
5-3
5-4

Mboko served out the set and the match to 30.
6-4

Mboko won 6-4, 6-4.