Trading Tip – WTA Cincinnati, Bejlek v Alexandrova

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

WTA Cincinnati
Bejlek v Alexandrova 1.94
Due to start at 9:30 pm

Confidence rating 6.5/10

Bejlek 1-0 (Feb 2026, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %’s favour Bejlek.

Bejlek had an easy win over Pliskova in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Krejci ova in the 2nd round as underdog.
She reached the 2nd round in Toronto 2026, Quarter finals in Prague 2026, Quarter finals in Athens 2026, Title in Abu Dhabi 2026.

Alexandrova reached the 4th round last season. 3 sets win over Blinkova in the 2nd round.
Quarter final in Toronto 2026. Final in Abu Dhabi 2026, Final in Ningbo 2025, 3rd Round in Wuhan 2025, Final in Seoul 2025, 4th Round at the US Open 2025, Final in Monterrey 2025.

12 month and 2026 stats favour Alexandrova on serve. Return stats favour Bejlek.
Alexandrova has had a poor season by her standards. She has only recently started to show better form.
Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Bejlek around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Alexandrova in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: At the start of the match, Alexandrova was priced at 2.04.

Bejlek served first. She was broken to 0. I laid Alexandrova at 1.66.
0-1

Alexandrova held serve after being taken to deuce.
0-2

Bejlek faced a break point at 40-A. I added a little to the position with a lay at 1.45. Bejlek saved 3 break points before holding serve.
1-2

Alexandrova faced a break point at 30-40. I removed the liability at 1.82, leaving the green on Alexandrova.
She recovered to hold serve.
1-3

The next 3 games were holds.
2-3
2-4
3-4

Alexandrova was broken to 30.
4-4

Bejlek was immediately broken back to 30.
4-5

Alexandrova served out the set to 15. I hedged at 1.26.
4-6

Stats for the set were a little better for Alexandrova. They both had low first serve percentages (53% and 50% respectively). Alexandrova had a higher first serve points won percentage.
After the set, Alexandrova was priced at 1.25/1.26.

Set 1 stats

Bejlek served first in the second set. I waited for her to have her serve before laying Alexandrova.
Bejlek held after being taken to Deuce. I laid Alexandrova at 1.41.
1-0

The next 2 games were hold.
1-1
2-1

Alexandrova was broken from 40-0 up. I removed liability at 1.71, this time, leaving the bigger green on Bejlek.
3-1

Bejlek held to 30.
4-1

Alexandrova was broken to 0. I hedged evenly at 2.24 on Alexandrova.
5-1

Bejlek served out the set to 15.
6-1

Stats for the set were terrible for Alexandrova. Bejlek’s stats were pretty solid and she did not face a break point.
After the set, Bejlek was priced at 1.67/1.68.

Set 2 stats

Alexandrova did not look happy in the second set. She was getting very frustrated with herself. I had favoured her to win but it was not looking likely. In the third set, I wanted to lay Alexandrovna if she got the first break.

Alexandrova served first. The first 2 games were holds.
0-1
1-1

Alexandrova was broken to 30. Bejlek then held to 0. I decided to take the profit and run.
2-1

Alexandrova was broken again. The remaining 3 games were holds.
3-1
4-1
5-1
5-2
6-2

Bejlek won 4-6, 6-1, 6-2.

Trading Tip - WTA Cincinnati, Bejlek v Alexandrova 1

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Trading Tip – WTA Cincinnati, Cirstea v Kalinskaya

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

WTA Cincinnati
Cirstea 1.90 v Kalinskaya
Due to start at 5:30 pm

Confidence rating 7.5/10

Cirstea 2-1. Most recent Aug 2023, hard, Cirstea in 2. She won on hard in March 2022, 3 sets. Kalinskaya won on hard in 2020, 2 sets. Hard win %’s favour Cirstea.

Cirstea reached the 4th round last year. 2 sets win over Bartunkova in the 2nd round.
4th Round in Miami 2026, 3rd Round in Indian Wells 2026, 3rd Round in Dubai 2026, 3rd Round in Brisbane 2026, Quarter finals in Hong Kong 2025, Semi finals in Osaka 2025, Title in Cleveland 2025.

Kalinskaya reached the Quarter final last season. 2 sets win over McNally in the 2nd round.
Quarter finals in Washington 2026, Quarter finals in Doha 2026, 3rd Round at the Australian Open 2026, Quarter finals in Hong Kong 2025, Quarter finals in Tokyo 2025, 3rd Round at the US Open 2025.

12 month stats favour Cirstea overall. 2026 stats favour her on serve.
Lay Kalinskaya around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Cirstea in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: The players started the match priced at 2.00.

Cirstea served first. The first 5 games were holds with no break points. There was a rain delay for over an hour when the score was at 2-2.
1-0
1-1
2-1
2-2
3-2

Kalinskaya was broken after saving a break point. I laid Cirstea at 1.48.
4-2

Cirstea was broken to 30. I removed liability at 1.89, leaving the green on Cirstea.
4-3

Kalinskaya was broken to 30. I laid Cirstea at 1.44.
5-3

Cirstea served for the set. She was broken to 30. I hedged evenly at 1.79.
5-4

The next 3 games were easy holds. They went into a tie break.
5-5
6-5
6-6

Kalinskaya took the tie break 7-4
6-7

The match was then suspended due to rain.

Stats for the set favoured Kalinskaya. Kalinskaya was priced at 1.31/1.32 after the set.

Set 1 stats

I did not feel like sitting around through another long rain delay so I took my profit.

That was a shame as I would have laid Kalinskaya at 1.32.

Kalinskaya served first in the second set. The first 2 games were holds.
0-1
1-1

Kalinskaya was broken after saving 2 break points. I would have removed any liability and left the green on Cirstea.
2-1

Cirstea held to 30. She then broke Kalinskaya to 15. I would probably have hedged at this point.
3-1
4-1

Cirstea held and then broke Kalinskaya again to take the set.
5-1
6-1

In the third set, Cirstea took a 5-0 lead and Kalinskaya retired.

Cirstea won 6-7, 6-1, 5-0 (ret)

Trading Tip - WTA Cincinnati, Cirstea v Kalinskaya 2

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