Daily match picks

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
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The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link – Trading Tips 14th May

WTA Parma Challenger
Osorio v Krejcikova 1.91
Due to start at 12:30 pm
Confidence rating 6.5/10

1st meeting. Clay win %’s are even.

Osorio lost in the 1st round last season. This week she had an easy win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Bronzetti in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Salkova in the q final.
2nd round in Madrid 2026. 2nd round in Bogota 2026. Semis in Rabat 2025.

Krejcikova had an easy win in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Friedsam in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Golubic in the q final.
2nd round in Rome 2026.

Stats for the tournament favour Krejcikova on serve.
Lay Osorio around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Krejcikova in 3 sets.

Update: Krejcikova started the match priced at 1.94.

Osorio served first. She saved 2 break points but was eventually broken. I laid Krejcikova at 1.61.
0-1

Krejcikova went 15-40 behind. I removed my liability at 1.84, leaving the green on Krejcikova. She saved the 2 break points and held.
0-2

The next 4 games were holds with no break points.
1-2
1-3
2-3
2-4

Osorio was broken to 15.
2-5

Krejcikova served out the set to 30.
2-6

Krejcikova was priced at 1.22 after the set.

Osorio’s stats in the first set weren’t all bad. She had a strong first serve percentage and a strong first serve points won percentage. However she lost all 8 of her second serve points. Krejcikova only won 59% of points on her first serve but won 73% of second serve points.

Osorio served first. She faced a break point at 30-40. I laid Krejcikova at 1.17. Osorio saved 2 break points but held.
1-0

Krejcikova went 15-40 behind. As my lay was risk free, I waited for the break. She saved the first break point but was broken on the second. I could have hedged at 1.49. I decided to give Osorio a chance to hold serve.
2-0

Osorio held to 30. I hedged at 1.57.
3-0

Krejcikova faced 2 break points but held.
3-1

Osorio held to 15.
4-1

Krejcikova was broken to 15.
5-1

Osorio faced a break point but successfully served out the set.
6-1

Stats for the set saw Osorio improve her second serve points won percentage. Krejcikova’s stats were weak in that set.

Krejcikova served first in the third set. They were priced around 2.00 at the start of the set. She was broken to 30. I laid Osorio at 1.48. In the WTA, the player who breaks first in a deciding set gets broken back around 50% of the time. So, if the price is decent, it can be an excellent entry.
1-0

Osorio went 0-40 behind and I hedged at 1.95 on Osorio’s ladder. She saved 2 of the break points but was broken. After the break, Osorio was priced at 2.04.
1-1

The next 3 games were holds with no break points.
1-2
2-2
2-3

Osorio faced a break point at 30-40 but recovered to hold.
3-3

Krejcikova faced and saved 4 break points and held serve.
3-4

The next 4 games were easy holds.
4-4
4-5
5-5
5-6

Osorio was broken to 15 to hand the set and the match to Krejcikova.
5-7

Krejcikova won 6-2, 1-6, 7-5.

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link for Trading Tips file 11th May

WTA Rome
Gauff v Andreeva 1.87
Due to start at 6 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Gauff 4-0. Most recent May 2025 (Rome), clay, 2 sets. She won on clay in Apr 2025, 2 sets. 2 sets win on hard in 2023. 3 sets win on clay in 2023. Clay win %’s are even.

Gauff reached the Final last year. 2 sets win over Valentova in the 2nd round. She needed 3 sets against Sierra in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Jovic in the 4th round.
4th Round in Madrid 2026, Title at the French Open 2025.

Andreeva reached the Quarter final last season. Very easy win over Ruzic in the 2nd round. She needed 3 sets against Golubic in the 3rd round as 1.06 favourite. Easy win over Mertens in the 4th round.
Final in Madrid 2026, Semi finals in Stuttgart 2026, Title in Linz 2026, Quarter finals at the French Open 2025.

12 month stats, 2026 stats and stats for their last 10 favour Andreeva on serve. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Gauff around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Andreeva in 3 sets.

Update: Pre match, Andreeva drifted from 1.87 to 1.98.

Gauff served first. The first 2 games were holds.
1-0
1-1

Gauff went 15-40 behind. I could lay Andreeva at 1.67 but decided to wait for the break. Gauff saved one of the break points but was broken on the second one. I laid Andreeva at 1.62.
1-2

Andreeva then held to 0.
1-3

Gauff went 15-40 behind. I added to my lay of Andreeva at 1.33. Gauff recovered to hold.
2-3

Andreeva went 0-40 behind. I hedged at 2.06 on Andreeva. She was broken.
3-3

Gauff was immediately broken again to 15. I decided to wait for set 2.
3-4

The next 3 games were holds to 0 and Andreeva took the set.
3-5
4-5
4-6

Very strong stats from Andreeva in that set. Gauff’s stats weren’t terrible.

Gauff served first in the second set. I laid Andreeva at 1.33 with half stake. She faced a break point but recovered to hold. I laid the other part of my stake at 1.43.
1-0

Andreeva was broken to 15. My position was risk free so I gave Gauff the chance to hold serve.
2-0

Gauff held to 30. I hedged at 1.91.
3-0

The next 4 games were holds. Each player faced a break point.
3-1
4-1
4-2
5-2

Andreeva was broken to 15 to give Gauff the set.
6-2

Gauff improved on her stats from the first set. Andreeva’s level dropped dramatically in the second set.

Gauff started the set priced at 1.65. She served first in the third set. She was broken to 15. I laid Andreeva at 1.66.
0-1

Andreeva was taken to deuce and was broken. I hedged at 2.42 on Andreeva.
1-1

Gauff held to 30
2-1

Andreeva saved 3 break points but was eventually broken. I laid Gauff at 1.23
3-1

Gauff faced a break point at 30-40. I hedged at 1.35. Gauff saved 2 break points and held serve.
4-1

Andreeva saved 2 break points but was eventually broken. I laid Gauff at 1.02. I had a decent profit at this stage so could place a good sized lay at this price. You never know!
5-1

Gauff served for the match and was broken to 30. I could have hedged at 1.05 but stayed with the lay.
5-2

Andreeva faced and saved a break point before holding. I could have hedged at 1.10. I didn’t.
5-3

Gauff served for the match for a second time. She had a match point but didn’t take it and was broken. I hedged at 1.34 as Andreeva was very likely to get broken after recovering 2 breaks.
5-4

In a very long game, Andreeva saved 2 match points. She faced a 3rd match point which Gauff took.
6-4

Gauff won 4-6, 6-2, 6-4.