Daily match picks

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
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The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 30th May

WTA French Open
Svitolina 1.59 v Bencic
Due to start at 11:30 am
Confidence rating 7.5/10

Svitolina 4-2. Most recent Feb 2026, hard, Svitolina in 3. She won on hard in March 2025, 2 sets. She won indoors in 2019, Bencic retired in set 3. Svitolina won on hard in 2019, 2 sets. Bencic won on hard in Feb 2019, 3rd set tie break. 3 sets win on clay in 2014, 3 sets. Clay win %’s slightly favour Svitolina.

Svitolina reached the Quarter final last year. She needed a 3rd set tie break against Bondar in the/e 1st round. 2 sets win in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Korpatsch in the 3rd round.
Title in Rome 2026, Semi finals in Stuttgart 2026.

Bencic had an easy win over Kraus in the 1st round. 2 sets win over McNally in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Stearns in the 3rd round.
She reached the 3rd round in Rome 2026, 4th Round in Madrid 2026, Quarter finals in Charleston 2026.

12 month stats are fairly close but favour Svitolina. 2026 stats favour Svitolina overall.
Fair chance of 3 sets.
Back Svitolina around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Svitolina in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Svitolina’s price dropped from 1.59 to 1.55 before the match.

Svitolina served first. The first 4 games were holds with no break points.
2-2

Svitolina went 15-40 behind. Her price was 1.61. She was broken to 30. Her price reached 1.68. Often, if my favoured player gets broken but their price doesn’t quite reach my target price, I will still back them but use a reduced stake. In this case, we were miles away from my minimum entry price of 2.10. I waited for a better price.
2-3

Bencic held to 0. Svitolina’s price hit 1.95. I p[laced a small back on her.
2-4

Svitolina faced a break point at 30-40. Her price reached 2.08. Still not quite at my minimum target price. As I already had a small back on her, I waited for the break. She was broken to 30. I added to my back of Svitolina at 2.40.
2-5

Bencic was broken to 0. I removed liability at 2.00. I left the green on Svitolina.
3-5

Svitolina then held to 30.
4-5

Bencic served for the set. She faced a break point at 30-40. I hedged evenly at 1.63 on Svitolina. Bencic saved the break point and would save another before holding to take the set.
4-6

After the first set, Bencic was priced 1.84/1.85.

Stats for the set favour Bencic overall. Good first serve %, 64% of first serve points won. She hit the tour average for second serve points won percentage. Svitolina’s stats weren’t terrible though her 36% for points won on second serve would need to improve.

Svitolina served first in the second set. I placed a back on her at 2.18. She held to 30.
1-0

Bencic held to 15. Svitolina faced a break point at 40-A. I added to my position by laying Bencic at 1.59. Svitolina saved the break point and held serve.
1-1
2-1

Bencic was broken to 15. I hedged at 1.67 on Svitolina.
3-1

Svitolina held to 15. Bencic saved 4 break points but recovered to hold.
4-1
4-2

The next 2 games were holds. Svitolina was broken to 15 when serving for the set. Bencic was then broken straight back to to give the set to Svitolina.
5-2
5-3
5-4
6-4

Stats for the set improved overall for Svitolina. Her first serve percentage went up to 75% from 59%. Her points won on first serve percentage dropped from 75% to 58% but she improved her second serve points won percentage from 36% to 63%.
Bencic’s numbers dropped slightly on the 3 main stats.

Svitolina was priced at 1.47/1.48 after the second set.

Svitolina served first in the third set. I intended to wait for Bencic to go a break ahead in the set so I could lay her.

Svitolina went 15-40 behind. She was priced at 1.82. Even if I was looking to back her, the price was awful. She recovered to hold.
1-0

Bencic was broken to 30. I decided to take the profit and run.
2-0

Bencic had an awful third set and didn’t win a game.
6-0

Svitolina won 4-6, 6-4, 6-0.

 

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link>> Trading Tips 29th May

ATP French Open
JM Cerundolo 1.81 v Landaluce
Due to start at 12:30 pm
Confidence rating 7.5/10

1st meeting. Clay win %’s favour Cerundolo. Clay win %’s favour Cerundolo.

Cerundolo reached the 2nd round as qualifier last season. 3 sets win over Fearnley in the 1st round. 5 sets win over Sinner in the 2nd round.
Quarter finals in Rio de Janeiro 2026, Final in Gstaad 2025.

Landaluce lost in the qual rounds last year. 5 sets win over Angelo in the 1st round. 5 sets win over Kopriva in the 2nd round.
Quarter finals in Rome 2026.

12 month stats, 2026 stats and stats for their last 10 favour Cerundolo on serve.
Back Cerundolo around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.75. 4 sets.

Match prediction: Cerundolo in 4 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: A VERY tight match! Cerundolo served first. In the first 8 games there was just 1 break point which was on Landaluce’s serve at 1-2.
4-4

Cerundolo faced 5 break points. All were at 40-A. On the 3rd break point, his price hit 1.93. On the 5th break point, his price hit 2.00. Not enough value from a 1.83 start price. He eventually held serve.
5-4

Landaluce was taken to 40-40 3 times. he then faced a break point which Cerundolo won to take the set.
6-4.

After the set, Cerundolo’s price was 1.33/1.34.

Stats for the set show that Cerundolo had a low first serve percentage at 50%. Landaluce’s stats were pretty solid and he faced fewer break points.

Cerundolo served first in set 2. I laid him at 1.34. He held to 15.
1-0

Landaluce was broken to 0! I added to my lay at 1.16.
2-0

Cerundolo held to 30.
3-0

Landaluce faced a break point at 30-40. Landaluce managed to hold.
3-1

Cerundolo faced a break point but held.
4-1

Easy hold for Landaluce.
4-2

Cerundolo was broken to 30. I hedged at 1.29.
4-3

The next 4 games were holds with no break points.
6-5

Landaluce went 15-40 behind. He saved the break points and took the set into a tie break.
6-6

In the tie break, Cerundolo had a set point but didn’t take it. Landaluce took the tie break 9-7.
6-7

Stats for the set slightly favoured Landaluce. Cerundolo had a low but improved first serve percentage of 57%. His second serve points won % dropped from 60% in the first set to 40% in the second set. That’s a bad combination.

After the set, Cerundolo was priced at 1.85.

Landaluce served first in the third set. He held to 30.
0-1

Cerundolo was broken after saving one break point. I laid Landaluce at 1.64.
0-2

Landaluce was broken to 15. I removed liability at 2.00, leaving the profit on Cerundolo.
1-2

The next 9 games were holds. They went into another tie break.
6-6

Cerundolo won the tie break 7-4. He was now 2 sets to 1 ahead.
7-6

Cerundolo slightly improved his stats in that set. His first serve percentage was still low which was making life harder for him.

Cerundolo started set 4 priced at 1.27-1.28. I laid him at 1.28.

Cerundolo served first. The first 4 games were holds.
2-2

Cerundolo went 15-40 behind. I hedged evenly at 1.54. He recovered to hold serve.
3-2

The next 2 games were holds.
4-3

Landaluce saved 4 break points. He was broken on the 5th break point. I laid Cerundolo at 1.05. It was risk free as I had profit to “play” with.
5-3

Cerundolo was broken to 15. I hedged evenly at 1.28.
5-4

Easy hold for Landaluce. Cerundolo faced 2 break points but recovered to hold.
5-5
6-5

Landaluce held to 30 to take them into yet another tie break.
6-6

Landaluce took the tie break 7-4.
6-7

The match had been going for 4.75 hours. I needed a break and did not trade the final set.

Landaluce served first in the fifth set. He held to 15. Cerundolo was then broken to 30.
0-1
0-2

The next 2 games were holds.
0-3
1-3

Landaluce was broken to 15.
2-3

The next 7 games were holds with no break points.
6-6

The tie break was very tight. Cerundolo twice went a mini break up but could not hold the lead.
Landaluce then went a mini break up at 8-6 (it is the first to 10 points in the final set in slams). However, he lost both his service points and Cerundolo served at 9-8. He won the tie break 10-8.
7-6

Cerundolo won 6-4, 6-7, 7-6, 6-7, 7-6.