26 Oct 2013 – Russians to fight it out in 3 sets

Our first match of the day is potentially one of the most exciting. However Li Na v Kvitova has been previewed for the SHARK TIPS  service so it wouldn’t be fair to subscribers to do the same here. I won’t be trading today as we have family stuff going on but I will try to make time to watch this one. Once again 3 sets would seem likely.

Update: Li Na won @ 1.90 so another winner for the service. She won 6-4, 6-2.

 

In Basel Del Potro starts at 1.07 against Roger-Vasselin.

The Frenchman does have a win over Del Potro although it was back in 2009. Their only more recent meeting was at least year’s French Open where Del Potro came back from losing the opening set to take the match in 4.

Vasselin has a chance to keep the opening set close so 1.07 is worth laying. The courts aren’t the fastest which helps him a little but a set is the most he can hope for.

I still favour Del Potro in straight sets.

Update: Vasselin managed to nick the second set but Del Potro won 6-4, 4-6, 6-2.

 

Both semi finals in Valencia see fellow countrymen go toe to toe.

Youzhny and Tursunov have been impressive this week.  Youzhny has had slightly higher calibre opponents in Kohlschreiber and Nieminen and produced 2 quality performances.

Tursunov hasn’t had it easy either. Bautista Agut can be a  tricky opponent and Chardy had taken out John Isner in the previous round. Tursunov came through both in straight sets.

Youzhny starts as slight favourite at 1.70 which looks about right but this is likely to have very close sets with just a few important points deciding the winner. There is a high chance of it going to 3 sets and I’d expect Youzhny to make the better start and for him to come through to reach the final.

Update: Youzhny won 6-2, 6-4.

 

Jankovic had a great win over Azarenka but I was surprised to see her lose in straight sets against Errani. Williams has efficiently gone about her business so far with straight sets wins over Kerber and Kvitova.

They have played 3 times in the last 2 seasons with two being this year. Jankovic managed just 1 set in those 3 matches and just 4 games in the only hard court meeting. That was just a few weeks ago in Beijing.

It is difficult to come up with an argument for backing Jankovic other than the fact  that Williams is worth a lay at 1.06 .

Update: Ok I couldn’t watch this one but what the hell? Jankovic couldn’t take a set from Errani but took one from Serena? Maybe Williams was trying to conserve energy having taken the opening set?

Williams won 6-4, 2-6, 6-4.

 

Back to Basel and Federer dealt with the young pretender as predicted here in two close sets. Today he faces another up and coming player in Canada’s Pospisil.

They have played once two years ago and Federer won in straight sets. Pospisil was a wild card entry that day in his home country.

Pospisil has improved a great deal since then with experience of playing the top players. He is unlikely to be overawed by the occasion.

Pospisil’s serve, if it is at its very best, can keep him in the match but even when he isn’t playing at his best level Federer is one  of the best on the tour at reading and dealing with big serves.

The fact that he is on his home court will give Federer any extra motivation and inspiration that he needs but I think he will have a tough afternoon.

A tie break is likely and that is Pospisil’s best hope of taking a set but Federer will take his place in tomorrow’s final.

Update: Everything was going as expected. Federer broke early and held on for the set. He won a later break in set 2 and served for the match at 5-4 but was broken. Pospisil got his tie break and didn’t waste the opportunity.

In the third set Pospisil broke first and a shock was looking possible. Federer broke straight back and won another late break to serve for the match again at 6-5. He manged to hold it together this time.

Federer won 6-3, 6-7, 7-5.

 

 

 

 

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