WTA Charleston
Kenin 1.93 v Kalinskaya
Due to start at 7 pm
In the last couple of days, I have managed to favour players who had absolute nightmare matches, even though there were successful early trades in both matches. Both Kenin and Kalinskaya have performed well this week and it should be a tight match.
This will be their first meeting. Clay win %’s are better for Kenin.
Kenin lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Pera in the 1st round. 2 sets win over a poor Bencic in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Kasatkina as underdog in the 3rd round. 3rd round of the French Open. 3rd round in Rome.
Kalinskaya had an easy win over McNally in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Keys in the 3rd round. She reached the 2nd round of the French Open.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Kenin on serve.
Lay Kalinskaya around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay the set 1 winner.
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Info for using the Trading Tip
Keep stakes low while learning the tennis markets.
The prices I give are where I suggest we enter the market. I am looking for the price to hit during set 1, and hopefully early in the set to give us time to get our exit price.
I will often say to lay Player A “around 1.25”. If the price gets close to that price we can enter. In this example we might enter at 1.27.
We are then looking for our exit price. I will post to remove liab or liability/risk/red at a particular price. I will often remove at least some of the liability if our player gets a break point and then remove any remaining liability when the break is complete. It can be frustrating if our player gets break points but doesn’t break. By removing some liability, we improve our break even price so if they don’t get the break of serve, we are still in profit.
If the advice is to lay the set 1 winner: If I am expecting the match to go to 3 sets, I want to lay whoever takes the first set. However, if the player who lost the set is serving first in set 2, it can be a good idea to wait for them to have their service game before laying. Even if they get broken, we can lay after that first service game. Laying a player when they are a set and a break ahead is a solid entry as the leading player will often relax and allow the other player back into the set.
As a general guide, until you are experienced enough to make your own choices and trading decisions, I recommend exiting the trade if your player gets broken AFTER you backed them. There will, of course be situations when they do recover but it’s best to protect your confidence as much as you should protect your bank.
