TradeShark Diary, 6th July 2020

So the pubs reopened on Saturday. I must admit I don’t understand the “desperation” to get back to the pub and even less so to get back to the pub on a Saturday night. It can’t be just to see your mates again as that has been possible for a while. Judging by some of the photo’s and videos from the weekend the bulk of those desperate to get back to the pub just wanted to get pissed. It’s not the same doing that at home. If you get a bit angry about something you don’t want to smash your own property up do you? I can’t remember the last time I went into town on a Saturday. There are always fights, stabbings and god knows what else. It’s like the Purge UK.

I was pleasantly surprised that our local was very quiet on both nights. I had expected that when I took the dogs out we would be stepping over puke and maybe even the pukers but we hardly saw a soul. I suppose if the pub has had lockins during lockdown the regulars didn’t feel the same desperation as drunks elsewhere.

Diary

On Friday I had an offer of some help with my site’s SEO. Nat has many years of experience in SEO and had just joined TradeShark Tennis. She made some good suggestions. Some of them didn’t make total sense although it is wise to listen to people with more experience than yourself. She was pretty insistent that it needed a header image. I had purposely done away with the header image when I redesigned the site as I wanted it look different and have a clean look. I had replaced it with, in my mind, something similar but I gave in and added a header image so people knew it was my site and exactly what the subject is. I named the image with the keyword that I was trying to rank for. I don’t know if that made the difference or whether it also had something to do with increased traffic due to me posting some match tips but by Saturday morning the site had moved from number 2 to number 1. That in turn increased organic traffic to the site (traffic from google). Thanks Nat!

I have had one of the laziest weekends on record. I aim to post some advice for selected exhibition matches until the season starts on the 3rd of August. It doesn’t look like there is much to look at today though. Betfair have been a little sluggish to react to requests to get markets up for some of the matches.

I barely touched the laptop yesterday evening. We decided that we were going to have a pizza and film night in bed. I took the dogs out at 9 pm rather than the usual 10:30 to 11:30 start time. I ordered the food when I got back. They normally deliver in about 30 minutes even though you get given a 1 hour delivery time. Not last night. 11:15! I did get an email saying they were running a little late but when it got to 11 pm I rang them. They must have been short of drivers but to be fair they waited to cook the food so that it arrived hot. By 11 pm we had only just settled on what film we were going to watch. It was the Conjuring which we thought we had seen before but neither of us remembered it. The food was worth waiting for. A “Jack Daniels” pizza, onion rings and chicken dippers. We had also ordered cheesy chips to get it over the £15 minimum order. The first time I ordered the JD pizza it was because I was curious as to whether it would taste of Jack Daniels. It doesn’t but is very tasty and has meatballs on it!

I don’t have a great deal planned for today. One of my members made a suggestion for an addition to the trading guide which I will be looking into today.

The offer of 1 month of free trading tips emails will end on the 14th. It seems a bit of a random date but I just went for a date halfway through July! With the tennis coming back properly from August there will be more interest in the site anyway so I won’t need a promo. A LOT of people have signed up in the last few weeks.

Stay safe.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

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ATP All American Cup, 5th July 2020

At least Betfair have these markets up already. The Friendship Cup matches were added half way through the second set of the first match.

These are exhibition matches so you are advised to use reduced stakes.

Matches are the best of 3 sets. If a 3rd set is required it will be a tie break (First to 10 points).

Querrey (1.22) v King (4.2)

Due to start at 5 pm

First meeting.

Querrey has been serving fairly well though his return game still needs some work. He beat Tommy Paul in the last match in 3 sets after losing to Covid-19 positive Frances Tiafoe.

King has had a good 12 months on the Challenger tour. He has played a lot of tennis during the pandemic. He has played mostly very low ranked opponents but has beaten Donald Young twice and also beat Chris Eubanks in May. He has won 13 of his 15 matches so his confidence should be high. He lost easily to John Isner yesterday.

King’s best hope is to take the sets to tie breaks. We can try a small lay on Querrey around 1.15 and remove liability around 1.35 to 1.40. Back Querrey if he loses set 1.

Isner (1.24) v Eubanks (4.3)

Due to start around 6:30 pm

First meeting.

Isner easily beat Kevin King in his last match. He beat Taylor Fritz in his first match this week.

Eubanks beat in form Sandgren in straight sets. Eubanks only faced 4 break points in the match. All those break points were in the same game.

We could try a lay on Isner between 1.15 and 1.20 and remove liability around 1.30 to 1.35. I expect Isner to win in straight sets.

Sandgren (2.0) v Fritz (2.0)

Due to start at 11 pm

Fritz won both their previous matches. Both were in August 2017 on hard courts. He won both in straight sets.

Sandgren has better overall results in the last 12 months and also in 2020. He has a slight edge on hard courts.

Fritz is playing his first event since March. He has lost to Steve Johnson in 3 sets and John Isner in 2.

Sandgren has played 5 matches already this week. Was he tired in his last match which he lost in 2 sets to Christopher Eubanks? His return game was a little below par.

This is a tough one to predict. I give Fritz a slight edge. Sandgren’s match fitness is unlikely to be at the level it would normally be at mid season and his 5 matches will have sapped his energy. Fritz should be fresher.

Lay Sandgren around 1.60 to 1.70 and remove liability around 2.30 to 2.40.

Johnson (1.74) v Paul (2.2)

Due to start at 12:30 am.

Johnson won their only previous meeting which was in August 2018. It was in Winston Salem, USA on a hard court and he won in 2 sets.

Their 12 month results favour Johnson but they are more even in 2020. They are closely matched on hard courts.

Paul has played 5 matches during the pandemic and has lost them all. Four of his matches went to 3 sets and he won the opening set in 3 of those 4 matches.

Johnson had not won a match in lockdown until this week. He has beaten Reilly Opelka and Taylor Fritz in 3 sets.

I give a slight edge to Steve Johnson tonight but it does look likely to go to 3 sets. We can back him around 2.20 in set 1 or wait to lay the set 1 winner.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

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