Miomir Kecmanovic 2.14, Kyle Edmund 1.86

Due to start around 9pm

This will be their first meeting.

Slightly better overall results for Kecmanovic in the last 12 months. His ROI is also higher. Edmund has better indoor results in the same period.

Kecmanovic has won 2 of his 3 matches as underdog. American Tommy Paul was beaten in straight sets in the first round. Paolo Lorenzi didn’t put up too much of a fight in the next round. Kecmanovic’s toughest test came in the quarter final against Ugo Humbert. He had to come back from losing the opening set and the deciding set was tight.

Edmund has been pre match favourite in every round. He was only broken once in each of his first 2 matches but in the quarter final was up against Soon Woo Kwon. I had expected Kwon to give him a few problems and that proved to be the case. He beat Kwon in a third set tie break.

Stats for the tournament all favour Kecmanovic. The value is on him. Lay Edmund around 1.60 and remove all or some of your liability at 2.30. Lay the set 1 winner. I think Kecmanovic takes this.