Another year another anti-climax….

So Murray’s out.

At least he played some great tennis along the way. He seemed to have sorted out his frail mental state and progressed through the rounds looking assured and in control. The second set and particularly the third set against Gasquet saw him play some of the best tennis we have seen from him. Ljubicic was put in his place. He came through the quarter final against Lopez who had served more aces than any other player at these championships and won easily.

So we looked at his chances of beating the current world number 1 player in the semi final of the biggest tournament in the world. If he could maintain the aggressive style he had a great chance. If he could continue to serve well then he was in with a realistic shot of making it to the final. If he could stick to the game plan that had got him to the semi final we might just see a Brit in the final.

So the match starts with the crowd behind him and the words of his team ringing in his ears. Stick to the plan. Be aggressive. First set’s going well. Holding serve easily and putting pressure on Nadal’s serve. He gets the break and takes the first set!! He’s on his way. Nothing can stop him now!

Second set and he’s playing the same style. The game plan’s working great!

2-2 and Nadal’s service game……0-15…..15-15………15-30….cmon!! Murray plays a great point and Nadal puts up a high defensive shot…………Murray smashes it out of the court…….bollox!

He should have had 2 break points and kept the pressure on the Spaniard but now its 30-30……40-30…….game Nadal.

I commented in the chat room that Murray may regret that miss. I was spot on. That one shot caused the Scot ( yeah he’s Scottish now he’s out) to pretty much crumble. He was broken in the very next game and didn’t win another game in that set. He then went 2-0 down in the third set and Nadal wasn’t going to let him back into the match.

So why can 1 point effectively make him forget the plan and start to play worse? Well in the early games the words of his team are still fresh in his mind but once he is on the court he is on his own. The more pressure he is under the more the natural reaction is to revert to normal thoughts and behaviour. That missed smash reminded him that he really doesn’t believe he can get to the final never mind win the thing and secondly that he doesn’t believe he can beat Nadal at Wimbledon.Another year another anti-climax.... 1

Now lets keep it in perspective. He is a successful tennis player. Currently number 4 in the world and has briefly been ranked 2 in the world. He’s hardly a failure. Its hardly his fault that we can’t produce anyone to take some of the pressure off him. Who else will we pin our hopes on in the big tournaments? James Ward? Daniel Cox?

The bottom line is that in Britain we don’t breed champions in the numbers that the other nations do. Our kids are told that its not the winning but  the taking part that matters. You must learn to be a good loser. Its best to avoid competition as the losers will have their feelings hurt. So kids learn their excuses early. “My tummy hurts” , “I’m not feeling well”, “I’m not good at sport”, “can I watch TV?”.

Murray’s press conference was pathetic. “I tried my hardest. That’s all you can do”.

No disgrace to lose to Nadal at Wmbledon. However if he could lose and show some bollocks along the way we’d be happier.

Any Brits that succeed do so despite the system, not because of it. Health and safety morons stop kids taking any risks so we have a mass of youngsters who are wrapped up in cotton wool until they leave school. By that time they’re so bone idle that the thought of getting off their arses to play sports just doesn’t appeal to them.

But at least they’re safe. Safely at the bottom in just about every sport you can think of.

Great Britain? Don’t make me laugh.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

Another year another anti-climax…. Read More »

Fix!!

Anyone who has spent any time in trading chatrooms or forums is likely to have had experience of the cries of “fix!!” when a match or market seems suspect. Ofcourse a lot of the time all that’s happened is they are in a losing position but occasionally we see markets that are clearly not being affected purely by the match score. Sometimes its blatantly obvious that the result of the match has been arranged prior to the game starting.

You may remember the match between Chela and Shwank in Acapulco back in February where Chela started as underdog despite being priced at 1.50 in the hours before the match and being far superior to his opponent. He then went on the win the first set easily and it wasn’t until he was a break up in the second set that he became favourite on Betfair!  Chela led 5-1 in the second set and then allowed Shwank to come back. to 5-4. Chela was broken when serving for the match. He double faulted on break point. Schwank held serve for 6-5 and then Chela quit saying he was injured.

Very few are so blatant and it was surprising that no action seems to have been taken against Chela. The price movements show without any doubt that there were people with inside information and the retirement was agreed before the match. Chela can sue me if he wishes. Most of the time it is very difficult to prove that a player isn’t trying or is actively throwing the match. It can be a fine line between a brilliant passing shot and the ball landing in the tramlines.

Fix!! 2
Daniel Koellerer

The Tennis Integrity Unit have reportedly passed a list to the Wimbledon organisers of people who should be banned from certain areas which give them access to players. That includes the locker rooms, practice courts and some of the social areas. The people on this list are not players but are those who try to influence the outcome of matches. Only the top players make enough money from playing to make any bribes or incentives unattractive. As more and more money is attracted to the gambling aspects of tennis so more and more players will be given an offer too good to refuse. Making it more tempting for them is the fact that only 1 player has ever received a life ban for match fixing and that was Austrian Koellerer in May this year.

Fix!! 3

The TIU is run by a former Scotland Yard detective and was set up by the ITF, ATP and WTA to protect the sport from betting scandals. All players must sign up to the Uniform Tennis Anti-Corruption Programme.

In reality the vast majority of tennis matches are not fixed and the players are giving the best they can to get the win. You are still unlucky if you get caught out by an unexpected retirement ( although sometimes it works in our favour. Thanks Azarenka! ). Sensible bank management will ensure minimum damage to our trading accounts.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

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