Free Tennis Tips

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Download link for Trading Tips file 11th May

WTA Rome
Gauff v Andreeva 1.87
Due to start at 6 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Gauff 4-0. Most recent May 2025 (Rome), clay, 2 sets. She won on clay in Apr 2025, 2 sets. 2 sets win on hard in 2023. 3 sets win on clay in 2023. Clay win %’s are even.

Gauff reached the Final last year. 2 sets win over Valentova in the 2nd round. She needed 3 sets against Sierra in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Jovic in the 4th round.
4th Round in Madrid 2026, Title at the French Open 2025.

Andreeva reached the Quarter final last season. Very easy win over Ruzic in the 2nd round. She needed 3 sets against Golubic in the 3rd round as 1.06 favourite. Easy win over Mertens in the 4th round.
Final in Madrid 2026, Semi finals in Stuttgart 2026, Title in Linz 2026, Quarter finals at the French Open 2025.

12 month stats, 2026 stats and stats for their last 10 favour Andreeva on serve. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Gauff around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Andreeva in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Pre match, Andreeva drifted from 1.87 to 1.98.

Gauff served first. The first 2 games were holds.
1-0
1-1

Gauff went 15-40 behind. I could lay Andreeva at 1.67 but decided to wait for the break. Gauff saved one of the break points but was broken on the second one. I laid Andreeva at 1.62.
1-2

Andreeva then held to 0.
1-3

Gauff went 15-40 behind. I added to my lay of Andreeva at 1.33. Gauff recovered to hold.
2-3

Andreeva went 0-40 behind. I hedged at 2.06 on Andreeva. She was broken.
3-3

Gauff was immediately broken again to 15. I decided to wait for set 2.
3-4

The next 3 games were holds to 0 and Andreeva took the set.
3-5
4-5
4-6

Very strong stats from Andreeva in that set. Gauff’s stats weren’t terrible.

Gauff served first in the second set. I laid Andreeva at 1.33 with half stake. She faced a break point but recovered to hold. I laid the other part of my stake at 1.43.
1-0

Andreeva was broken to 15. My position was risk free so I gave Gauff the chance to hold serve.
2-0

Gauff held to 30. I hedged at 1.91.
3-0

The next 4 games were holds. Each player faced a break point.
3-1
4-1
4-2
5-2

Andreeva was broken to 15 to give Gauff the set.
6-2

Gauff improved on her stats from the first set. Andreeva’s level dropped dramatically in the second set.

Gauff started the set priced at 1.65. She served first in the third set. She was broken to 15. I laid Andreeva at 1.66.
0-1

Andreeva was taken to deuce and was broken. I hedged at 2.42 on Andreeva.
1-1

Gauff held to 30
2-1

Andreeva saved 3 break points but was eventually broken. I laid Gauff at 1.23
3-1

Gauff faced a break point at 30-40. I hedged at 1.35. Gauff saved 2 break points and held serve.
4-1

Andreeva saved 2 break points but was eventually broken. I laid Gauff at 1.02. I had a decent profit at this stage so could place a good sized lay at this price. You never know!
5-1

Gauff served for the match and was broken to 30. I could have hedged at 1.05 but stayed with the lay.
5-2

Andreeva faced and saved a break point before holding. I could have hedged at 1.10. I didn’t.
5-3

Gauff served for the match for a second time. She had a match point but didn’t take it and was broken. I hedged at 1.34 as Andreeva was very likely to get broken after recovering 2 breaks.
5-4

In a very long game, Andreeva saved 2 match points. She faced a 3rd match point which Gauff took.
6-4

Gauff won 4-6, 6-2, 6-4.

 

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Trading Tips download from 9th May

WTA Rome
Siegemund v Pliskova 1.94
Due to start at 6 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

H2H 1-1. most recent Jan 2020, hard, Pliskova in 2. Siegemund won on clay in 2017, 3 sets. Clay win %’s favour Pliskova.

Siegemund reached the 3rd round as lucky loser last year. 2 sets win over Bejlek as underdog in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Alexandrova in the 2nd round as underdog.
2nd round in Madrid 2026. 2nd round in Stuttgart 2026.

Pliskova had a 3 sets win over Maneiro in the 1st round. Tight 3 sets win over Cristian in the 2nd round.
She reached the Quarter finals in Madrid 2026. Quarter finals in Linz 2026.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Pliskova on serve.
Lay Siegemund around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Pliskova in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Pre match, Pliskova’s price moved from 1.94 to 1.84.

Pliskova served first and held to 30.
0-1

Siegemund faced a break point at 30-40. Pliskova’s price moved to 1.58. If I was going to lay Pliskova, I wanted a better price. I waited for a break. Siegemund saved the break point but faced another and was broken. I laid Pliskova at 1.46.
0-2

Pliskova faced a break point at 30-40. I removed some liability at 1.62. She saved the break point but faced another and was broken. I removed the rest of the liability at 1.78. I left the green on Pliskova.
1-2

Siegemund was broken again in the next game.
1-3

Pliskova held to 15. She then broke Siegemund again and then served out the set to 15.
1-4
1-5
1-6

Pliskova’s price hit 1.22 after the set.

Awful stats for Siegemund in that set. She won just 4 points on serve.

Siegemund served first in set 2. She was broken to 15. Laying a player who is a set and a break ahead is usually an excellent entry point. I needed to see if Siegemund could show some improvement before getting involved. I currently had a free bet on Pliskova.
0-1

Pliskova held to 0. Siegemund then held to 15. That was enough to tempt me in for a lay of Pliskova. It was risk free due to the profit from the first set. I laid Pliskova at 1.11.
0-2
1-2

Pliskova was broken to 15. I backed her at 1.23 using the same stake that I had used for the lay. This increased my free bet on Pliskova.
2-2

The next 2 games were holds. Pliskova had to save 2 break points in her service game.
3-2
3-3

Siegemund was broken to 15.
3-4

Pliskova held to 30.
3-5

Siegemund was serving to stay in the match. She saved 5 match points but recovered to hold.
4-5

Pliskova easily served out the set and the match.
4-6

Pliskova won 6-1, 6-4.