Free Tennis Tips

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
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The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 4th June

WTA Makarska Challenger
Lazaro Garcia 1.79 v Semenistaja
Due to start at 3 pm
Confidence rating 7.5/10

H2H 1-1. Most recent Oct 2025, clay, Garcia in 3 sets. Semenistaja won on hard in 2025, 3 sets. Clay win %’s favour Garcia.

Garcia had a 2 sets win as underdog over Samson in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Waltert as underdog in the 2nd round
She won a CH title in March. CH semi in Oct. CH semi in Sep.

Semenistaja reached the q final last season. 2 sets win in the 2nd round.
2 CH q finals in April. Quarter final in Bogota 2026. CH final and semi in Sep. CH semi in July.

12 month stats are quite even with a slight edge to Semenistaja.
2026 CH stats are stronger for Garcia overall.
Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Semenistaja around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Lazaro Garcia in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Pre match, Garcia’s price moved from 1.79 to 1.63.

Semenistaja served first and held serve after being taken to deuce.
0-1

Garcia was broken to 0. I backed Garcia at 2.14.
0-2

Semenistaja went 0-40 behind. I removed some liability at 1.82. She saved 2 break point but was broken.
1-2

Garcia held to 15.
2-2

Semenistaja was broken after being taken to deuce twice. I hedged evenly at 1.34 on Garcia’s ladder.
3-2

Garcia was broken to 15.
3-3

Semenistaja was broken after saving 3 break points. I laid Garcia at 1.33.
4-3

Garcia faced a break point at 30-40. I could have hedged at 1.40. I chose to wait for the break. She recovered to hold.
5-3

Semenistaja held to 30.
5-4

Garcia served for the set and went 0-40 behind. I hedged at 1.47. She saved 2 break point but was broken.
5-5

The next 2 games were holds and they went into a tie break.
5-6
6-6

Semenistaja took the tie break 7-4
6-7

Their stats for the set were fairly even. Both broken 3 times. Garcia had the better first serve percentage but the lower points won on first serve percentage.
Semenistaja was priced 1.88/1.89 after the set.

Garcia served first in the second set. I wanted to lay Semenistaja but waited for Garcia to have her service game.

Garcia was broken to 30. I laid Semenistaja at 1.54.
0-1

Semenistaja was broken to 0. I stayed with the lay of Semenistaja.
1-1

Garcia held to 30. Semenistaja was then broken to 15. I hedged at 1.51 on Garcia’s ladder (2.96 on Semenistaja’s ladder).
2-1
3-1

Garcia was broken to 15.
3-2

The next 2 games were holds.
3-3
4-3

Semenistaja was broken to 30. Garcia served out the set to 30.
5-3
6-3

Both players dropped their level in the second set. Semenistaja had the weakest stats on serve.

Garcia ended the second set priced at 1.39/1.40.

Semenistaja served first. She held serve after being taken to deuce. Garcia held to 15.
0-1
1-1

Semenistaja was broken after saving 2 break points. I laid Garcia at 1.22 using a third of the profit gained in the opening 2 sets.
2-1

The next 32 games were holds.
3-1
3-2

Garcia faced a break point at 40-A. I hedged evenly at 1.34. She saved 3 break points and held serve.
4-2

The next 3 games were holds with no break points.
4-3
5-3
5-4

Garcia was serving for the match and was priced 1.17/1.18. I used some of my profit to lay at 1.18.
She was broken to 15. I hedged at 1.76.
5-5

Semenistaja was broken to 0. I laid Garcia at 1.19.
6-5

Garcia was broken to 30! I hedged evenly at 1.73.
6-6

They went into a tie break. It was tight and Semenistaja won it 7-5.
6-7

Semenistaja won 7-6, 3-6, 7-6.

 

This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service.
Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match.
Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week.

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 30th May

WTA French Open
Svitolina 1.59 v Bencic
Due to start at 11:30 am
Confidence rating 7.5/10

Svitolina 4-2. Most recent Feb 2026, hard, Svitolina in 3. She won on hard in March 2025, 2 sets. She won indoors in 2019, Bencic retired in set 3. Svitolina won on hard in 2019, 2 sets. Bencic won on hard in Feb 2019, 3rd set tie break. 3 sets win on clay in 2014, 3 sets. Clay win %’s slightly favour Svitolina.

Svitolina reached the Quarter final last year. She needed a 3rd set tie break against Bondar in the/e 1st round. 2 sets win in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Korpatsch in the 3rd round.
Title in Rome 2026, Semi finals in Stuttgart 2026.

Bencic had an easy win over Kraus in the 1st round. 2 sets win over McNally in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Stearns in the 3rd round.
She reached the 3rd round in Rome 2026, 4th Round in Madrid 2026, Quarter finals in Charleston 2026.

12 month stats are fairly close but favour Svitolina. 2026 stats favour Svitolina overall.
Fair chance of 3 sets.
Back Svitolina around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Svitolina in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Svitolina’s price dropped from 1.59 to 1.55 before the match.

Svitolina served first. The first 4 games were holds with no break points.
2-2

Svitolina went 15-40 behind. Her price was 1.61. She was broken to 30. Her price reached 1.68. Often, if my favoured player gets broken but their price doesn’t quite reach my target price, I will still back them but use a reduced stake. In this case, we were miles away from my minimum entry price of 2.10. I waited for a better price.
2-3

Bencic held to 0. Svitolina’s price hit 1.95. I p[laced a small back on her.
2-4

Svitolina faced a break point at 30-40. Her price reached 2.08. Still not quite at my minimum target price. As I already had a small back on her, I waited for the break. She was broken to 30. I added to my back of Svitolina at 2.40.
2-5

Bencic was broken to 0. I removed liability at 2.00. I left the green on Svitolina.
3-5

Svitolina then held to 30.
4-5

Bencic served for the set. She faced a break point at 30-40. I hedged evenly at 1.63 on Svitolina. Bencic saved the break point and would save another before holding to take the set.
4-6

After the first set, Bencic was priced 1.84/1.85.

Stats for the set favour Bencic overall. Good first serve %, 64% of first serve points won. She hit the tour average for second serve points won percentage. Svitolina’s stats weren’t terrible though her 36% for points won on second serve would need to improve.

Svitolina served first in the second set. I placed a back on her at 2.18. She held to 30.
1-0

Bencic held to 15. Svitolina faced a break point at 40-A. I added to my position by laying Bencic at 1.59. Svitolina saved the break point and held serve.
1-1
2-1

Bencic was broken to 15. I hedged at 1.67 on Svitolina.
3-1

Svitolina held to 15. Bencic saved 4 break points but recovered to hold.
4-1
4-2

The next 2 games were holds. Svitolina was broken to 15 when serving for the set. Bencic was then broken straight back to to give the set to Svitolina.
5-2
5-3
5-4
6-4

Stats for the set improved overall for Svitolina. Her first serve percentage went up to 75% from 59%. Her points won on first serve percentage dropped from 75% to 58% but she improved her second serve points won percentage from 36% to 63%.
Bencic’s numbers dropped slightly on the 3 main stats.

Svitolina was priced at 1.47/1.48 after the second set.

Svitolina served first in the third set. I intended to wait for Bencic to go a break ahead in the set so I could lay her.

Svitolina went 15-40 behind. She was priced at 1.82. Even if I was looking to back her, the price was awful. She recovered to hold.
1-0

Bencic was broken to 30. I decided to take the profit and run.
2-0

Bencic had an awful third set and didn’t win a game.
6-0

Svitolina won 4-6, 6-4, 6-0.