WTA US Open
Jovic 1.91 v Eala
Due to start at midnight
Confidence rating 6.5/10

Jovic 2-0. Most recent June 2026, grass, 2 sets. She won on clay in May 2026, 2 sets. Hard win %’s are even.

Jovic reached the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Frech in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Jones in the 2nd round.
She reached the 3rd Round in Dubai 2026, Quarter finals at the Australian Open 2026, Final in Hobart 2026, Semi finals in Auckland 2026, Title in Guadalajara 2025.

Eala reached the 2nd round last season. Easy win in the 1st round. 2 sets win in the 2nd round.
She reached the 4th Round in Toronto 2026, Title in Washington 2026, 4th Round in Miami 2026, 4th Round in Indian Wells 2026, Quarter finals in Dubai 2026, Quarter finals in Abu Dhabi 2026, Semi finals in Auckland 2026, Quarter finals in Sao Paulo 2025.

12 month and 2026 stats favour Jovic overall.
Stats for their last 10 favour Eala overall.
Lay Jovic around 1.55 and remove liability at 1.95. 3 sets.

Update: Jovic started the match priced at 1.84.

Eala served first. The first 2 games were holds.
0-1
1-1

Eala was broken to 30. I laid Jovic at 1.49.
2-1

Jovic went 0-40 behind. I removed half my liability at 1.77. Jovic recovered to hold serve.
3-1

Eala was broken again. I added to my position with a lay of Jovic at 1.26.
4-1

Jovic was broken to 15. I decided to give Eala the chance to hold.
4-2

Eala held to 15. I removed half my liability at 1.48.
4-3

Jovic was broken after saving 2 break points. I hedged evenly at 1.94.
4-4

Eala was broken! I wanted to lay Jovic again but the price of 1.47 made it less tempting. I stayed out.
5-4

Of course, Jovic was broken!
5-5

Eala was broken for the fourth time in the set. This time, I was not tempted to lay. If a player is broken serving for the set and then earns the chance to serve for it again, they frequently make a much better job of it.
6-5

Jovic served out the set to 0.
7-5

Stats for the set were better for Jovic but her own stats weren’t great. She had a first serve percentage of 51%. Eala had a first serve percentage of 47% and she won 29% of her second serve points.

After the set, Jovic was priced at 1.29 to 1.30.

Eala served first in the second set. I waited for her to have her service game. She saved 2 break points but did hold serve. I laid Jovic at 1.44.
0-1

The next 2 games were holds.
1-1
1-2

Jovic saved a break point but faced another and was broken. I hedged at 1.67.
1-3

Eala went 0-40 behind. She saved 2 of the break points but the third was taken. I laid Jovic at 1.44.
2-3

Jovic was broken to 30. I hedged at 1.71.
2-4

Eala was broken to 15! This was turning into a real serving masterclass! I laid Jovic at 1.45. Was I being greedy?
3-4

Jovic went 15-40 behind. I felt that I was pushing my luck so hedged at 1.69. Jovic saved 2 break points but then faced another and was broken.
3-5

Eala served out the set to 30.
3-6

That set was a bit of a mess. Eala actually improved her stats from the first set. Her first serve percentage rose to a respectable 66%. Jovic’s numbers dropped for first serve points won and second serve points won.

After the set, Jovic was priced at 2.02/2.04.

Jovic served first in the deciding set. In WTA third sets, I am looking to lay the first player to break, as long as the price is decent.

Jovic was broken to 15. I laid Eala at 1.38.
0-1

The next 2 games were holds.
0-2
1-2

Eala saved 2 break points but faced another and was broken. I hedged at 2.10 On Eala’s ladder.
2-2

I was happy with the profit at that stage so I left the match alone.

Jovic was broken again
2-3

The next 2 games were holds although Jovic had to save 2 break points.
2-4
3-4

Eala was broken to 30.
4-4

The nest 3 games were holds.
5-4
5-5
6-5

Eala was broken to hand the set and the match to Jovic.
7-5


Jovic won 7-5, 3-6, 7-5.