Free Tennis Tips

WTA Guadalajara
Osorio v Rakhimova 1.96
Due to start at 1 am
Confidence rating 7/10

Osorio 4-0. Most recent May 2025, clay, 3 sets. She won on hard in Sep 2024 (this tournament), 2 sets. Hard win %’s are fairly even.

Osorio reached the semis last year. 5 WTA 2nd rounds in 2025 including the Aus Open.

Rakhimova reached the q finals last season. 2nd round of the US Open. 2nd round in Montreal. Quarter finals in Jiujiang 2024. Most of her WTA wins in the last year were in qual rounds.

12 month WTA stats are better for Rakhimova on serve. 2025 stats are stronger for Osorio. Fair chance of 3 sets.
Lay Rakhimova around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.00.

Update: Osorio was broken in the first game. I laid Rakhimova. Osorio immediately broke back and I removed my liability to leave profit on Osorio.
Osorio was broken again in the next game and I laid Rakhimova again. Osorio immediately broke back and I again removed liability leaving green on Osorio.
A late break for Osorio gave her the set.

In set 2, Osorio broke for a 2-0 lead and I hedged. I laid Osorio. Laying a player who is a set and a break ahead can be an excellent entry. Osorio was broken in the next game and I hedged evenly. I was not involved in the match any further.
They exchanged breaks in the next 2 games. Rakhimova then went a break ahead and served for the set. She was broken. Osorio won the next 2 games to take the match.

Osorio won 7-5, 7-5.

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WTA US Open
Osaka v Gauff 1.71
Due to start at 6:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Gauff 3-2. Most recent Oct 2024, hard, Gauff by retirement. She won on hard in Aug 2022, 2 sets. Osaka won on hard in 2021, 3 sets. Hard win %’s are fairly even.

Osaka reached the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Minnen in the 1st round. Easy win in the 2nd round. She needed 3 sets against Kasatkina in the 3rd round. Final in Montreal 2025, 4th Round in Miami 2025, 3rd Round at the Australian Open 2025, Final in Auckland 2025, 4th Round in Beijing 2024.

Gauff reached the 4th round last season. She needed 3 sets against Tomljanovic in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Vekic in the 2nd round. Easy win in the 3rd round. Quarter finals in Cincinnati 2025, 4th Round in Montreal 2025, 4th Round in Miami 2025, 4th Round in Indian Wells 2025, Quarter finals at the Australian Open 2025, Semi finals in Wuhan 2024, Title in Beijing 2024.

12 month and 2025 stats favour Osaka on serve. Stats for their last 10 on hard strongly favour Osaka. She has the higher ROI.
Lay Gauff around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.90. Good chance of 3 sets.

Update: Gauff was broken in the first game. I expected her to be competitive but she did not have a single break point in the match.
I laid Osaka after that first break. In her first 3 service games, Osaka lost just 1 point so I exited. Gauff was broken again when serving at 3-5. I did not enter in the second set.
Osaka won 6-3, 6-2.

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