Free Tennis Tips

Get Trading Tips for every main draw ATP and WTA match, 7 days a week https://blog.tradesharktennis.com/tennis-trading-tips/

WTA Brisbane
Muchova v Alexandrova 1.84
Due to start at 2:30 am
Confidence rating 7/10

Alexandrova 4-1. Most recent Feb 2025, indoors, Alexandrova in 2. She won on clay in Apr 2021, 3 sets. Muchova won indoors in 2019, 2 sets. Hard win %’s are better for Muchova.

Muchova needed a 3rd set tie break against Tomljanovic in the 2nd round.
She reached the Quarter finals in Tokyo 2025, 4th Round in Beijing 2025, Quarter finals at the US Open 2025, 4th Round in Montreal 2025, 4th Round in Indian Wells 2025, Semi finals in Dubai 2025.

Alexandrova lost in the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Kenin in the 2nd round.
Final in Ningbo 2025, 3rd Round in Wuhan 2025, Final in Seoul 2025, 4th Round at the US Open 2025, Final in Monterrey 2025, 4th Round in Cincinnati 2025, Semi finals in Doha 2025.

12 month WTA stats are a little better for Muchova on serve and favour Alexandrova on return. Stats for their last 10 favour Alexandrova on serve.

Lay Muchova around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.

Match prediction: Alexandrova in 3 sets.

 

Get Trading Tips for every main draw ATP and WTA match, 7 days a week https://blog.tradesharktennis.com/tennis-trading-tips/

WTA Brisbane
Fernandez 1.60 v Yastremska
Due to start at 1 am
Confidence rating 7.5/10

Fernandez 2-1. Most recent June 2025, grass, Yastremska in 2. Fernandez won on hard in Feb 2023, 3 sets. She won on hard in July 2021, 3 sets. Hard win %’s are better for Fernandez.

Fernandez reached the Semi finals in Hong Kong 2025, Title in Osaka 2025, 3rd Round at the US Open 2025, Title in Washington 2025, 3rd Round in Doha 2025, Quarter finals in Abu Dhabi 2025, 3rd Round at the Australian Open 2025.

Yastremska lost in the 1st round last year. 2 tie breaks win over Gibson as favourite in the 1st round.
4th Round in Montreal 2025, 3rd Round in Indian Wells 2025, 3rd Round in Dubai 2025, 3rd Round at the Australian Open 2025, Quarter finals in Hobart 2025.

12 month WTA stats are stronger for Fernandez. Return stats are fairly even. Stats for their last 10 on hard are stronger for Fernandez.
Back Fernandez around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Fernandez in 2 sets.

Update: Firstly, what on Earth was Fernandez doing?

Yastremska served first and held to 30. In the next game, Fernandez had a game point but couldn’t take it and was broken. I backed Fernandez.

In the next game, Yastremska went 0-40 behind and I removed almost all my liability. Yastremska recovered to hold and she led 3-0. The next 2 games were easy holds.

Fernandez served at 1-4 and was broken to 15! Yastremska easily served out the set.

In set 2, Fernandez served first. Her stats and performance in the first set were poor so I did not add to my position. I waited to see if she would improve in this set. In the first game, she went 0-40 behind. She recovered to hold. That was followed by a very easy hold for Yastremska. In the next game, Fernandez went 15-40 behind. Again, she recovered to hold but I had seen enough. I exited for virtually a scratch trade.

Another hold to 0 for Yastremska to get to 2-2. Fernandez didn’t win another game.

Yastremska won 6-1, 6-2.