This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service. Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match. Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week. Sign up HERE The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:
WTA Rome Paolini v Mertens 1.75 Due to start at 12:00 Confidence rating 7/10
Mertens 4-2. Most recent June 2024, grass, Mertens retired. Mertens won on hard in Oct 2023, 2 sets. 3 sets win on hard in Feb 2022. Paolini won on hard in 2021, 3 sets. Mertens won on clay in 2020 and 2018, 3 and 2 sets. Clay win %’s favour Paolini in the last year. Mertens leads in 2026.
Paolini won the title last year. She needed 3 sets against Jeanjean in the 2nd round. 4th Round at the French Open 2025.
Mertens reached the 4th round last season. 2 sets win over Udvardy in the 2nd round. 3rd round in Madrid 2026. 2nd round in Stuttgart 2026.
12 month stats favour Mertens on serve. 2026 stats favour her overall. Lay Paolini around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10. Chance of 3 sets.
This tip is taken from the Trading Tips service. Every day, I research all WTA and ATP matches and write notes with stats, info and a trading plan for each match. Get the Trading Tips emailed to you 7 days a week. Sign up HERE The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:
Trading Tips file 6th May>>
WTA Rome Bouzkova v Townsend 1.90 Due to start at 17:30 Confidence rating 7/10
Bouzkova 2-1. Most recent March 2026, hard, Townsend in 3 sets. Bouzkova won on hard in 2 tight sets in 2024. 3 sets win on hard in 2016. Clay win %’s favour Bouzkova.
Bouzkova reached the 3rd round last year. Title in Bogota 2026, 3rd Round at the French Open 2025.
Townsend has come through the qual rounds. Easy win in the 1st round. Limited success on clay.
12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Townsend on serve. Good chance of 3 sets. Recent results are better for Bouzkova. Lay Townsend around 1.55 and remove liability at 2.00.
Update: I was not able to trade this match. I have rules that I follow for most situations. I will apply these to the match as if I HAD traded it.
Townsend served first and held to 30. In the next game, Bouzkova was broken to 15. As I expected 3 sets, I would have laid Townsend after the break.
Townsend served at 2-0 and went 15-40 behind. I would have removed liability by backing Townsend with the same stake that I used for the lay. This would leave a free bet on Townsend. Townsend recovered to hold.
The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
Bouzkova served at 1-4 and went 15-40 behind. I would have hedged at this point, probably around 1.20. Bouzkova recovered to hold.
The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
Townsend served for the set at 5-3. She faced a break point but recovered to hold.
Stats for the set were actually quite even.
Bouzkova served first in the second set. I would normally either wait for the set loser to have their service game before laying, or I might lay half stake at the start of the set and add the rest after that first service game. In this situation, as the stats were even, I would probably have laid half at the start of the set. The price will have been around 1.20.
The first 3 games were holds with no break points. I would have added the rest of my lay stake after the first game.
Townsend served at 1-2 and faced a break point. Her price would have been around 1.35 and I would have backed her using the same stake that I had used to lay her. This would have given me a profit on Bouzkova and a slightly bigger profit on Townsend. Townsend recovered to hold serve.
The next 3 games were holds.
Townsend served at 3-4. She again faced a break point at 30-40 and again, she recovered to hold serve. 4-4
If I had not had the opportunity to exit the trade when the score reached 4-4, I would have hedged at roughly 1.27 / 1.29.
The next 2 games were holds.
Bouzkova served at 5-5 and was broken to 0. Townsend then served for the match. She was taken to deuce but held serve.
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