WTA Charleston Jovic v Kalinskaya 1.85 Due to start at 7 pm Confidence rating 7/10
1st meeting. Clay win %’s favour Jovic.
Jovic had an easy win over Parks in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Kenin in the 3rd round. She reached the 2nd round of the French Open 2025 2nd round in Bogota 2025. ITF title in Apr 2025.
Kalinskaya reached the Quarter final last season. 2 sets win over Tomova in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Badosa in the 3rd round. Quarter finals in Strasbourg 2025. 3rd round in Madrid 2025.
12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Kalinskaya on serve. Lay Jovic around 1.50 and remove liability at 1.95.
Update: Bondar served first and was broken to 30. I laid Frech at 1.67. This was not my target entry price so I kept the stake a little smaller.
In the next game, Bandar broke back and I removed most of my liability by backing Frech at 2.06.
In the next game, Bondar was broken again after saving one break point. I laid Frech at 1.68. She was immediately broken back to 30 and I removed my liability at 2.02.
Bondar faced and saved a break point in the next game. The next 2 games were holds to 30.
Frech served at 3-4. She was broken after being taken to deuce twice. I doubted that Bondar would easily serve out the set so I laid her at 1.44.
Bondar was broken to 15. I hedged evenly. in the next 2 games, the server saved 1 break point. Frech served at 5-6 and was broken to 30 to give the set to Bondar.
Not surprisingly, both players had poor serve stats in that set.
Bondar served first in set 2. I laid her at 1.41. She was broken to 15. I wanted to give Frech the chance to hold before I exited. Bondar’s price had gone to 1.69 after the break.
Frech faced a break point at 30-40. she saved the break point but then faced another. She saved that one too and I backed Bondar at 1.68 using the same stake that I had used for the lay. This gave me green on both players with a larger green on Bondar. Frech saved a third break point but was eventually broken.
The next 5 games were holds. Frech served at 3-4 and was broken. Bondar’s stats had improved from the first set so I stayed out. Bondar served out the set and the match to 15.
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