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ATP Metz
Tabur 1.87 v Sachko
Due to start at 6:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Tabur 1-0 (Nov 2025, indoors, 3 sets). Indoor win %’s are better for Tabur.

Tabur has come through the qual rounds. Easy win over Kovacevic in the 1st round as underdog. 3 tie breaks win as underdog in the 2nd round. CH q final in Oct. He plays few indoor tournaments.

Sachko lost in the qual rounds. 2 sets win over Perricard as lucky loser in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Bublik as huge underdog in the 2nd round. CH q final in Jan.

2025 indoor stats are stronger for Tabur.
Lay Sachko around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.

Match prediction: Tabur in 3 sets

Update: Tabur was broken in the first game of the match. I laid Sachko at 1.53. The next 5 games were comfortable holds of serve. Sachko was only taken to 30 once. I exited the trade at 1.47 and waited for the second set. There was only 1 point against serve for the remaining games in the set.

I laid Sachko at 1.38 at the start of the second set. Tabur started with an easy hold. In the next game, Sachko was broken to 15. I removed liability at 1.94.

In the next game Tabur saved 3 break points but held to lead 3-0. Sachko faced 2 break points when he served at 4-2 but he recovered. There were no more breaks in the set. I hedged evenly at 2.30 on Sachko’s ladder.

No more entries in the match. In the third set, Sachko faced 4 break points in the first game but recovered to hold. He faced a break point in his 2nd and 3rd service games. There were no breaks until Tabur served at 4-5. He was broken to 30.

Sachko won 6-4, 3-6, 6-4.

These tips are taken from the Tennis Trading Tips email. Get information, stats and tips on every main tour match 7 days a week. Every day, I research all the ATP and WTA matches and write trading notes for my own use. I refer to these notes during the trading session and will not trade a match until I have used the notes to remind me of my trading plan for that match.
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ATP Metz
Cazaux v Norrie 1.78
Due to start at 6:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Norrie 1-0 (Oct 2025, hard, 3rd set tie break). Indoor win %’s are better for Norrie.

Cazaux lost in the qual rounds last year. 2 sets win over Mannarino in the 11st round. 2nd round in Paris. 2nd round in Montpellier. 3rd round in Paris 2024 as lucky loser.

Norrie reached the Final last season. 3 sets win over Royer in the 1st round as slight favourite. 3rd round in Paris. 2nd rounds in Vienna and Dallas.

12 month and 2025 indoor stats are stronger for Norrie. very good chance of 3 sets.
Back Norrie around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match Prediction: Norrie in 3 sets.

Update: Norrie broke serve in the first game of the match. I laid Norrie at 1.42.

The next 2 games were holds. Norrie served at 2-1. He faced a break point at 30-40. I would have liked to remove some liability but the price was only 1.44 so I waited. Norrie recovered to hold. Cazaux then had an easy hold to get to 2-3. In the next game, Norrie went 15-40 down. I removed some liability at 1.68 and hedged after the break at 2.02.

There were no more breaks in the set and they went to a tie break that Cazaux won easily 7-1.

I laid Cazaux at 1.33 at the start of set 2. Norrie was serving first and held to 0. When Cazaux served, he went 30-40 behind and I removed all my liability to leave a free bet on Norrie. Cazaux recovered to hold. Cazaux faced another break point in his next service game but recovered again.

Norrie served at 4-4 and faced a break point at 30-40. He also recovered to hold. It was feeling like the set would go to another tie break. There were no more break points and they did go to a tie break. I was tempted to hedge but as I had a free bet on my pre match selection, I shut my eyes and prayed!

Cazaux was twice a mini break ahead and was 5-4 ahead and serving. Norrie recovered to take the tie break 9-7. I hedged at 2.16 on Cazaux’ ladder. I did not enter in the 3rd set. Norrie took it easily with 2 breaks of serve.

Norrie won 6-7, 7-6, 6-2.

These tips are taken from the Tennis Trading Tips email. Get information, stats and tips on every main tour match 7 days a week. Every day, I research all the ATP and WTA matches and write trading notes for my own use. I refer to these notes during the trading session and will not trade a match until I have used the notes to remind me of my trading plan for that match.
I will email you my notes 7 days a week.

Click here to sign up to get the emails from TODAY>>>