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Trading Tip – WTA Bad Homburg, Navarro v Ruse

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link: Trading Tips 24th June

WTA Bad Homburg
Navarro 1.69 v Ruse
Due to start at 2:30 pm

Confidence rating 7/10

Navarro 3-0. Most recent Feb 2026, hard, 2 sets. She won on hard in Sep 2025, 2 sets. 2 sets win on clay in 2024. Grass win %’s favour Ruse.

Navarro reached the Quarter final last season. She beat Lys in 2 sets in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Swiatek in the 2nd round.
Final in Nottingham 2026, 4th Round at Wimbledon 2025.

Ruse has come through the qual rounds. Easy win over Noskova as underdog in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Kalinskaya in the 2nd round.
Quarter finals Hertogenbosch 2026.

12 month grass stats favour Ruse on serve and favour Navarro on return.
2026 stats on all surfaces favour Navarro.
Chance of 3 sets. If Navarro is motivated to have another long week before Wimbledon, she has the edge.
Back Navarro around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Navarro in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Navarro served first. The first 2 games were holds of serve with no break points.
1-0
1-1

Navarro faced a break point at 30-40. I placed a small back of Navarro at 1.89. She saved the break points and held serve.
2-1

Ruse went 15-30 behind. I removed liability at 1.50. I left the profit on Navarro. Ruse went on to hold serve.
2-2

The next 2 games were holds of serve with no break points.
3-2
3-3

Navarro went 30-40 behind again. This time, I stayed out as we were potentially very close to the end of the set. She saved the break point but faced another and was broken.
3-4

The next 3 games were hold and Ruse took the set.
3-5
4-5
4-6

Stats for the set were fairly even, other than the fact that Navarro faced 3 break points and Ruse did not face any. Both had low first serve percentages.

After the set, Ruse was priced at 1.46/1.47.

Set 1 stats

I had been concerned that Navarro may not want another long week right before Wimbledon. I went into the second set with a free bet on her.

Navarro served first in the second set.
The first 4 games of the set were very easy holds.
2-2

Navarro was broken to 30. I could have taken a small profit at 1.19 but decided to let the free bet run.
2-3

Ruse held to 30.
2-4

Navarro was broken again to 30.
2-5

Ruse served out the match to 0.
2-6

Ruse won 6-4, 6-2.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

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Trading Tip – WTA Nottingham, Li v Golubic

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

Download link >> Trading Tips 18th June

WTA Nottingham
Li 1.79 v Golubic
Due to start at 4:30 pm

Confidence rating 7/10

H2H 1-1. Most recent June 2025, grass, Li in 3. Golubic won on hard in 2021, 2 sets. Grass win %’s favour Golubic.

Li had a 3 sets win over Blinkova in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Preston in the 2nd round.
She reached the 2nd round at Wimbledon 2025.

Golubic has come through the qual rounds. 3 sets win over Kenin in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Sonmez in the 2nd round.
CH semi in June 2025.

12 month grass stats favour Golubic overall.
2026 stats on all surfaces favour Li on serve. Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Li around 1.50 and remove liability at 1.95.

Match prediction: Golubic in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Li served first. The first 4 games were holds with no break points.
2-2

Li was broken to 15. I laid Golubic at 1.65.
2-3

Golubic went 0-40 behind. I remove liability at 1.96, leaving the green on Golubic.
Golubic recovered to hold.
2-4

The next 2 games were holds.
3-4
3-5

Li was broken again, this time to 15.
3-6

Stats for the set were pretty decent for both players. Good first serve percentages and above average stats for second serves.

After the set, Golubic was priced at 1.32/1.33.

Set 1 stats

Golubic served first in the second set. I laid her at 1.33 . She saved 5 break points but was eventually broken. My liability was low so I let the lay run.
1-0

Li faced 2 break points but she recovered to hold.
2-0

Golubic was broken to 30. I hedged at 1.92 on Golubic.
3-0

Li was broken. The following 2 games were holds.
3-1
3-2
4-2

Golubic was broken to 15. Li easily held serve to take the set.
5-2
6-2


Golubic struggled on her first serves in that set.

Set 2 stats

After the second set, Li was priced at 1.84/1.85.

Golubic served first in the third set. She saved one break point but was broken. I laid Li at 1.37.
1-0

Li was broken in the next game. As my lay was almost risk free, I removed the liability at 2.10 on Golubic’s ladder but did leave a little green on Li. I had a much larger green on Golubic.
1-1

Golubic held to 15.
1-2

Li was broken again.
1.3

The remaining 5 games were holds with no break points.
3-6

Golubic won 6-3, 2-6, 6-3.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

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