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Trading Tip – WTA Austin Challenger, Zakharova v Golubic

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WTA Austin Challenger
Zakharova 1.65 v Golubic
Due to start at 4 pm
Confidence rating 7.5/10

1st meeting. Hard win %’s favour Golubic.

Zakharova beat Stephens in the qual round.
2nd round in Indian Wells, 2nd round in Austin. Semi finals in Cleveland 2025.

Golubic reached the Semi finals in Jiujiang 2025, Quarter finals in Osaka 2025, Quarter finals in Cleveland 2025.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Rakhimova on serve. Chance of 3 sets.
Back Zakharova around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Zakharova in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

 
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Trading Tip – Austin Challenger, Lamens v Rakhimova

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WTA Challenger, Austin
Lamens v Rakhimova 1.57
Due to start at 5:30 pm

Confidence rating 7/10

Lamens 2-0. Most recent Feb 2025, hard, 3 sets. She won on hard in Dec 2024, 2 sets. Hard win %’s favour Rakhimova.

Lamens reached the Quarter finals in Seoul 2025, 3rd Round in Montreal 2025.

Rakhimova reached the 2nd round in Indian Wells. Most of her wins in 2026 ere in qual rounds.

12 month stats and stats for their last 10 favour Rakhimova.
Lamens has won 1 of her last 10.
Back Rakhimova around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.65.

Match prediction: Rakhimova in 2 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Rakhimova started at 1.45. Liquidity was very low at the start, (2100). She served first and was taken to deuce but held. In the next game, She broke Lamens to 0. I thought Lamens may be able to compete in 1 of the sets so laid Rakhimova at 1.22.

In the next game, Lamens broke back. I removed liability at 1.37, leaving the profit on Rakhimova. The next 2 games were holds.

Lamens served at 2-3 and was broken. I left the free bet to run. In the next game, Lamens again immediately broke back! It was a break to 15. The next 3 games were holds. The score was 5-5. I still had my free bet on Rakhimova.

Rakhimova served next and was broken after saving 1 break point. Lamens served for the set at 6-5. She faced a break point but held to take the set.

Neither player had amazing stats in that set. Low first serve percentage of 54% for Lamens and her second serve points won were a little low at 38%. That isn’t a good combination. Rakhimova had a decent first serve percentage of 65% but was only winning 57% of points on those first serves.

set 1 stats

Rakhimova served first in the second set. I waited for her to have her service game. The main options in this situation, where the set loser serves first in the next set are:
I could have laid Lamens at the start of the set.
I could lay half at the start of the set and add the other half after Rakhimova’s service game.
The third main option is to wait for her to have her service game before laying. Lamens could be laid at 1.55 after the first set.

Rakhimova saved 2 break points and had a game point but was broken. I laid Lamens at 1.36. A played who goes a set and a break ahead often relaxes a little and allows their opponent back into the set.

In the next game, Lamens was broken to 30. Rakhimova then held to 30. Lamens was then broken yet again and I hedged at 1.86 on Rakhimova’s ladder (2.10 on Lamens). Liquidity was still low at 32800 but enough traders were in the market. I was not going crazy with the stake size.

Lamens would be broken again and Rakhimova took the set 6-1. There was also a short rain delay towards the end of the set.

Rakhimova was at 1.48 after the second set.

In set 3, Rakhimova broke Lamens to 15 in the third game. Rakhimova’s price dropped at 1.30. Using some of the profit, I laid her.

3 games later, Lamens broke back to get to 3-3 and I hedged.

The next 2 games were holds. Lamens served at 4-5 and was broken to 0. Rakhimova successfully served out the set.

Rakhimova won 5-7, 6-1, 6-4.

 
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