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ATP Rio de Janeiro
Tabilo 1.71 v Buse
Due to start at 9:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Tabilo 2-0. Most recent Feb 2024, hard, 3 sets. He won on hard in Nov 2023, 2 sets. Clay win %’s are even.

Tabilo lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Nava in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Passaro in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Tirante in the q final.
Quarter final in Buenos Aires last week. 3rd Round in Monte Carlo 2025. CH final in Feb.

Buse had a 3 sets win over Marcondes in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Fonseca in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Berrettini as underdog in the q final.
He reached the 2nd round in Buenos Aires last week. CH final in Nov. Semi finals in Gstaad 2025. CH title in Sep.

12 month stats are close. Slight edge for Buse on serve and Tabilo leads on return. Same patter in the stats for their last 10.
Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Tabilo around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Tabilo in 3 sets.

 

These predictions are aimed at traders rather than punters. When assessing a match, I initially look for 2 things. Who do I think will win and how competitive will the other player be?
Use them for straight bets if you wish but please bear in mind that is not what they are intended for.

**For previous rounds, if predictions were correct, I have left them in blue. Corrections are in black.