SHARK TIPS Subscriptions

 

I have had several requests for yearly and 6 monthly subscriptions for the Shark Tips service.

The service is £20 per month

You can pay for the whole 2015 season for £160 or get the first 6 months for £100

 

Payment links and details of the service are at www.sharktips.co.uk   (including a results spreadsheet)

 

31st October 2014

ATP Paris Masters, 13:00 – Berdych v Anderson

Berdych has an 11-0 record over Anderson. The South African hasn’t shown any real form this season but last season he often took a break lead in the opening set but choked away the chance.  The only exception was at Wimbledon when Anderson took the opening set before losing in 4.

Anderson played well against Wawrinka in his last match but he benefited from a choke by the Australian Open champion who served for the match in the third set but was broken from 30-0.

Berdych has made hard work of his matches this week and needed three sets to beat Mannarino. In his match yesterday he was an early break up on Lopez but allowed the Spaniard back into the set. A late Berdych break won the set and he was more comfortable after that.

I think Berdych peaked too soon this season and he faded in the summer. His form has lifted again in recent weeks and I expect him to win today but not without a scare or two along the way.

Berdych starts at 1.29 which is likely to trade a fair bit higher.  If Anderson starts well on his own serve and is able to put pressure on  the Berdych serve then i will lay Berdych and switch to the Czech player if Anderson goes a break ahead.

 

 

 

ATP Paris Masters, 18:30 – Djokovic v Murray

Murray had a really tough task to qualify for the World Tour Finals but he has given everything to achieve it.  Two consecutive titles and his win over Dimitrov yesterday sealed his place.  Last season the year end finals came the week after Paris but this time there is a week between them for the top players to rest.  Now that Murray has achieved his goal will his motivation be a little decreased today? He has played a lot of tennis and he is only human. Of course he would love to end the season with three titles in a row but does he have enough in his energy reserves for a match against the world number one?

Djokovic’s place at the O2 Arena has obviously never been in doubt but he does have something to play for this week. Roger Federer is ending the season strongly and his title in Basel last week brought him to within 500 points of Djokovic. The Serb won’t give up his number one ranking without a fight.

Djokovic is the defending champion in Paris so nothing short of a defense of the title is good enough. Last season Federer reached the semi finals, losing to Djokovic, and is still in contention this week. Federer plays Raonic in his quarter final which he is expected to win with a 6-0 record over the big Canadian.

Murray is unquestionably playing his best tennis of the season. He didn’t play in Paris last year and I just don’t see him being able to avoid a huge sigh of relief that he has done what he needs to do and his body must be screaming out for rest.

I can see Murray coming into this match feeling he has little to lose and if Djokovic is nervous then Murray may take an early lead. Djokovic to win in 2 sets or perhaps 3 if Murray can take a tight opening set.

I will wait for a better price on Djokovic than his 1.38 SP.

 

 

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30th October 2014

A lot of matches this week are proving to be difficult to predict. It keeps it interesting!

 

ATP Paris Masters, 13:30 – Dimitrov v Murray

They have played twice this season and Dimitrov won both matches. Their last meeting was at Wimbledon and Dimitrov won in straight sets. There was clearly something that had upset Murray just before the match judging by a couple of angry outbursts aimed at his box where his mum, girlfriend and coach sat. No doubt he will be looking to get some revenge for that defeat today.

Murray is still pushing for a place at the World Tour Finals and has won his last two tournaments. I don’t know if he will have enough energy for a tough 3 set match with Dimitrov who has become more consistent this season.

Murray starts at 1.56 and given his hectic recent schedule that feels too low. He really needs to get off to a fast start but I think it is more likely that we will see a higher price on him during the early part of the match.

I have read that if Murray wins today he qualifies for the Finals at the O2. I think he has to go all out to get the win so he can relax a little. We will see if its enough. I will wait for a higher early price on Murray.

 

 

WTA Tournament of Champions, 15:45 – Pennetta v Muguruza

Both players performed better than I expected in their first match. Pennetta took full advantage of a poor performance by Cornet and Muguruza totally outplayed Makarova.

Muguruza didn’t face a single break point against Makarova. She had 7 break chances herself and broke 5 times.

Pennetta also didn’t face a break point and was able to take 5 of the 12 that she had on the Cornet serve.

This should be a good battle. All the matches so far have been won in straight sets which limits the trading opportunities although Cibulkova and Pironkova gave us a double break against the first set winner.

I think Muguruza showed better tennis and will come through a tight match. She starts at 1.70 . I will wait for a price above 2.00 .

 

 

 

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29th October 2014

ATP Paris Masters, 13:30 –  Querrey v Lopez

Lopez leads the head to heads 5-2 and has won both their matches in 2014.

Querrey pulled out of his doubles match giving an elbow injury as the problem. Querrey starts at 1.68 today.

Since he reached the semi finals in Shanghai Lopez hasn’t looked too interested in his matches. He has had a great season and is perhaps looking to the end of the season.

Querrey looks to be the more motivated and has come through two qualifying rounds before beating Janowicz in 3 sets in round one. Since he reached the third round at the US Open he hasn’t lost a match. He has won 3 consecutive Challenger titles.

I think Querrey’s withdrawal from the doubles was probably just precautionary step and as long as that is the case I’d expect him to win this one.

 

 

 

WTA Tournament of Champions, 15:45 – Petkovic v Pironkova

They have only played once before but that was 7 years ago. For the record Pironkova won in straight sets.

Petkovic started badly in her first match. She was handed a bagel by Suarez Navarro and was broken in the first game of set 2. She woke up a little after that and broke back. She kept the set close but couldn’t get the breakthrough.

Pironkova was up against Cibulkova in her first match. She was broken at the start of the match but fought back. She has break points to go a break ahead but when she failed to take them Cibulkova stepped up with 3 straight games to take the set. Pironkova broke serve at the start of the second set. Cibulkova broke straight back but was then broken yet again. Pironkova had a double break  lead in the set but was unable to take it and Cibulkova won in a tie break.

We saw last week that players’ form can vary greatly from one match to the next in a Round Robin format but if these two play like they did yesterday we should see a lot of price swings.

I think Pironkova will get her nose in front but after that second set against Cibulkova I wouldn’t have much confidence in her ability to close the match out.

I am favouring Petkovic to stagger over the finish line in this one. Hopefully whatever her problem was in her first set yesterday it has been worked on and sorted. She is the stronger hard court player.

 

 

 

WTA Tournament of Champions,  19:45 – Cibulkova v Suarez Navarro

Both players had a win in their first matches yesterday and will put themselves in a very strong position to reach the semi finals with another win today.

Their only previous meeting came in January at the Australian Open. Cibulkova won 6-1, 6-0 but it is highly unlikely that we see a repeat of that scoreline this evening. Cibulkova has had injury problems in recent months whereas Suarez Navarro has been very consistent on the hard courts.

If Cibulkova has gained some confidence not only in her game but in her foot injury from yesterday’s win then she can make life very difficult for Carla who starts the match at 1.70 .

Pre match I have to favour Suarez Navarro. Her serve will be a lot more consistent that Pironkova’s was so Cibulkova will have to work a lot harder to get the break back if she falls behind. I would prefer to back Carla at a price nearer evens.

 

 

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