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Wimbledon 2015 – Women’s Quarter Finals

13:00 – Sharapova v Vandeweghe

Sharapova wasn’t particularly impressive yesterday against Diyas. She won just 33% of points on 2nd serve. She hit more double faults than aces. There were 22 UE’s (unforced errors) to 25 winners.

It was another very strong serving match from Coco. She also had a lot of UE’s though matching Sharapova with 22 UE’s to 25 winners. Coco has taken out 3 huge scalps now. Pliskova, Stosur and Safarova.  It will be the best win of her career by far if she wins today but as long as the occasion doesn’t get to her then her serve can keep this tight.

Back Sharapova if she gets broken early. If this turns into a long battle  I favour Sharapova to win the mind games.

 

 

14:30 – S Williams v Azarenka

Serena leads their head to heads 17-3 (ouch). They played 3 times on grass in 2012 and 2009. Azarenka didn’t win a set. In the last 3 seasons they played 7 times. Five of them went to a deciding set. Their last meeting on grass was 2012.

Serena was impressive against sister Venus yesterday.  Really they should know each others game better than any other player on the tour which would give Venus an insight into how to beat her. She had won their previous meeting but Serena is on a mission in this tournament.

Azarenka was very impressive against Bencic and made her look very ordinary. There was a little pressure in the second set from you young Swiss player but it was quickly snubbed out.

If Azarenka can continue to serve well and keep her UE’s down she might just nick this one. She has come close in their last 2 meetings. Lay Serena when she is a break ahead in the early games. Alternatively, back Serena if Azarenka takes the opening set.

 

 

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Wimbledon 2015 – Monday, week 2

WTA Wimbledon, 13:00 – Serena Williams v Venus Williams

Serena leads their previous meetings 9-6. Venus won their only recent meeting. That was last year on a hard court.

Venus had a poor 2nd round match with a lot of UE. Putintseva shouldn’t have given her the problems she did.  She was better in the 3rd round. She Served really well and saved all 3 of her break points against Krunic.

Serena hasn’t had everything her own way. Her 1st round match started with her having to come back from a break behind and  Watson was a couple of points away from beating her when she served for the match. That could kick start her REAL form. She had already looked focused in the earlier rounds.

Venus served well in the last round and this could easily go to 3 sets but Serena will scrape through.  It is worth laying Serena around 1.15 . Back Serena if Venus takes the opening set.

 

 

 

 

ATP Wimbledon , 14:30 – Karlovic v Murray

Murray leads their previous matches 5-0. They haven’t played since 2012. They played once on grass which was at Wimbledon 2012. Murray won in 4 sets.Andy-Murray

Karlovic is averaging 45 aces per match. He is serving as well as he ever has. He has played 13 sets so far though a large number of the points were very short.

Murray looked comfortable in his first  2 matches. Against Seppi, the 3 sets he won were one sided but he had a problem with his shoulder and lost set 3. Losing the third set when 2 sets up isn’t at all unusual for Murray so perhaps we shouldn’t read too much into it but he hit a few more UE’s than he would have liked.

I will lay Murray at 1.11 . He is one of the best returners on the tour and if anyone can deal with Karlovic on grass he can but I don’t think he wins in straight sets.

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Wimbledon 2015 – Saturday, week 1

ATP Wimbledon, 13:30 -Tsonga v Karlovic

Head to heads are 1-1. Both matches were on grass. Karlovic won at Wimbledon in  2009 in 4 sets and Tsonga won in a Challenger in 2007 in 2 sets.

Tsonga struggled in the first round against another big server, Muller. He needed 5 sets. He was much more comfortable against Ramos in the last round.

Karlovic has been enjoying the grass this season. He beat Berdych and took Federer to 2 tie breaks in Halle. he beat Dolgopolov in the last round in 5 sets.

I expect Tsonga to be able to put his serve under more pressure today but if Karlovic has a top level day from the service line he is tough to beat. He does continue to struggle in tie breaks though! 4 from 10 on grass this year.

Back Tsonga if Karlovic takes set 1. This should be at least 4 sets.

 

 

 

ATP Wimbledon, 15:00 – Ward v Pospisil

Ward leads  1-0. That match was in 2011 on a hard court and he won in 2 sets.

Ward has taken advantage of Ferrer withdrawing. He wouldn’t have beaten the Spaniard. He has come through both rounds in 4 sets and was underdog in his last one.

Pospisil struggled against Millot and I thought he would have problems with his back after a 5 set match. Fognini was poor though in the second round and I knew my tip was doomed when he had a code violation after just 3 games. Pospisil served at a high level though to be fair.

I favour Pospisil for the win today but Ward will push him close. Ward only had 1 main draw win at Wimbledon before this week and he is in danger of getting a nose bleed if he makes the 4th round.

Back Pospisal if Ward goes an early break up or if Ward takes the opening set. Tie breaks looks Wards best hope.

 

 

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