WTA Wuhan Open, 3rd round: Wozniacki v Radwanska (13:00)

Wozniacki leads their previous matches 9-4. Their last match was just last week on a hard court in Tokyo and she won in 3 sets.

Wozniacki came under a lot of pressure from Siniakova yesterday and if Siniakova had been a little stronger from the service line it would probably have been a totally different story. It was a scrappy match with 10 breaks of serve.

Radwanska has been playing well on hard courts recent and won the title in New Haven before the US Open where she reached the 4th round. She had a very comfortable straight sets win over Makarova in the last roundradwanska-34 of this tournament.

I expect Radwanska to give Wozniacki a lot of problems today and to get some revenge for last week. Wozniacki was finally showing some signs of fatigue yesterday.

Wait for 2.00 on Radwanska. She starts around 1.75.

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WTA Wuhan Open, 3rd round: Kerber v Kvitova (12:00)

Kerber leads the head to heads 5-4. She has won their last 3 meetings including last month at the US Open.

New world number 1 Kerber lost the opening set to Mladenovic in the last round but fought back and won the match in a tight 3rd set. She served pretty well over all and was broken just twice.Angelique Kerber

Kvitova has been very comfortable in her 2 matches including against Svitolina in the last round. Svitolina was ready for a rest and didn’t put up too much of a fight.

I can see this going to 3 sets but have to favour Kerber to win. She starts around 1.60 but I would like at least 1.85 before backing.

 

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Today’s Trading Advice Email covered 42 matches!

Every day I research and give info and advice on all the main tour, main draw matches. If you sign up you get this info sent to your email inbox every day (7 days a week)

Take a look at today’s email.

27sep2016sd

 

The matches are listed in the order they will be played.

OC predict – This wasn’t meant to be in there! It is the prediction of a player’s chance of winning based on my unique settings in the Oncourt stats software

WaS – indicates the Wins a Set selection

Rank – player’s overall ranking

S Rank – player’s ranking on the specific surface

Pin – price on Pinnacle at the time of download. This is just for reference

BF – Betfair price at the time I did the advice document

TS – What I would price the player at based on my pricing model

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Comments – Stats, info and advice on trading the match
Some player s are in yellow and some in orange. The ones in orange will start at a price of 1.70
or higher on Betfair. I find it useful to spot decent prices quickly.

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The most important trade is the first one. If you can get the entry right then trading is so much easier. That is what I am trying to guide you to with the Trading Advice email.

For example the start price of a favourite rarely gives good value. So I may advise to back them if they get broken first. If we do this we are getting the stronger player at a much better price. This means we have more opportunities to take profit.
If they break back we can hedge for level green on each player. Or we can lay the favourite with the same stake as we backed with to leave a “free bet” on them. This means we have profit on the favourite and zero on the other player. I DO NOT recommend allowing a trade to run to the end of the match. Tennis matches can turn so quickly. If you are wanting to let it run longer then at least lay off some or all of your liability on the other player. Laying off part of the red/lability will improve your “break even” price. (ie the price where profit turns to loss. This allows you to stay in the trade longer but reduces the risk.

I can’t list advice for every scenario but if I get you a value entry trade then it makes your life that bit easier. By far the best way to limit losses is to get a strong entry price.

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