1st May 2015





WTA Grand Prix De SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, 12:00 – Mladenovic v Babos

Mladenovic leads the head to heads  2-0. The most recent was in  2013 on a hard court and she won in 3 sets. The o was in 2012 and also 3 sets on a hard court.

Both have played above their usual levels this week. Babos has played 3 set matches in the last 2 rounds. Pereira was on a long winning streak on clay and Pennetta played some decent tennis after a poor 1st set.

Mladenovic recovered from a 0-3 start against Muguruza to win in 2 tie breaks. Her serve has been strong all week and she continued that in the quarter final v Arruaberrena who pretty much gave up in the second set.

They look so closely matched today that value is on Babos but the fatigue factor could tip things towards Mladenovic. They are doubles partners and closely matched partners often give close matches as they know each others game so well.

If pushed I will go with Mladenovic for the win in 3. She starts around 1.90




ATP Estoril, 16:30 – Coric v Garcia Lopez

Coric had another 3 setter in the last round. he controlled the 3rd set well after some decisions went against him late in the 2nd.

Garcia Lopz has played a lot of tennis in the last 2 weeks and 32 is oldish for a tennis player. I think if Coric can serve well he has a chance to take this close. Garcia Lopez won’t want 3 sets today so the first set will be crucial. Be wary of Garcia Lopez either playing below par or actually retiring as he is likely to have a few injury niggles after so much tennis.

Garcia Lopez starts at 1.50 and should be worth a lay below 1.35 .


30th April 2015

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All main tour, main draw matches covered.



ATP BMW Open, 14:00 – Fognini v Thiem

Fognini reached the final last year. Maybe he was conserving energy in the second set against Trinker but shouldn’t have been taken to a tie break.

Thiem also took longer than expected in his first round match. He needed 3 sets against Pospisil who is usually very poor on clay.

Thiem is the sort of player that Fognini can lose to if his mind isn’t on the match. He has a lot of points to defend though. We haven’t seen the sort of form we saw from him last year and Thiem should be competitive here. As usual on clay this is Fog’s to win or lose. Not a terrible price on him. I will want a  higher entry price on Fognini

Fognini starts around 1.58



WTA Grand Prix De SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, 15:30 – Schmiedlova v Bacsinszky

Schmiedlova leads 1-0. That was at Wimbledon 2013 and she won in 3 sets.

Schmiedlova has won her last 9 matches. She struggled on serve a little in her last match. She hit 8 doubles faults and needed 3 sets as a 1.17 favourite.

Bacsinszky has won 19 of her last 20 matches. The only loss was to Serena. She has come through a couple of tricky matches in straight sets.

Schmiedlova really should be able to put her under more pressure than her previous opponents. 3 sets look a possibility.

I am favouring Bacsinszky for the win. She starts around 1.42 which looks low. Wait for her to go an early break behind.



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