Every day I research and give info and advice on all the main tour, main draw matches. If you sign up you get this info sent to your email inbox every day (7 days a week)
Take a look at today’s email.
The matches are listed in the order they will be played.
OC predict – This wasn’t meant to be in there! It is the prediction of a player’s chance of winning based on my unique settings in the Oncourt stats software
WaS – indicates the Wins a Set selection
Rank – player’s overall ranking
S Rank – player’s ranking on the specific surface
Pin – price on Pinnacle at the time of download. This is just for reference
BF – Betfair price at the time I did the advice document
TS – What I would price the player at based on my pricing model
Comments – Stats, info and advice on trading the match
Some player s are in yellow and some in orange. The ones in orange will start at a price of 1.70
or higher on Betfair. I find it useful to spot decent prices quickly.
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The most important trade is the first one. If you can get the entry right then trading is so much easier. That is what I am trying to guide you to with the Trading Advice email.
For example the start price of a favourite rarely gives good value. So I may advise to back them if they get broken first. If we do this we are getting the stronger player at a much better price. This means we have more opportunities to take profit.
If they break back we can hedge for level green on each player. Or we can lay the favourite with the same stake as we backed with to leave a “free bet” on them. This means we have profit on the favourite and zero on the other player. I DO NOT recommend allowing a trade to run to the end of the match. Tennis matches can turn so quickly. If you are wanting to let it run longer then at least lay off some or all of your liability on the other player. Laying off part of the red/lability will improve your “break even” price. (ie the price where profit turns to loss. This allows you to stay in the trade longer but reduces the risk.
I can’t list advice for every scenario but if I get you a value entry trade then it makes your life that bit easier. By far the best way to limit losses is to get a strong entry price.