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ATP Monte Carlo, Third round: Raonic v Cilic

Cilic should be stronger on clay but we need a better price

Due to start at 2:30 pm

Raonic 2.88, Cilic 1.52

Cilic leads their previous matches 2-1. They last met in May last year in the final of the clay tournament in Istanbul. Cilic won in 2 sets. That was their only clay match.

h2h

Head to head info from Tennis Insight

Cilic has stronger overall results in the last 12 months.  He won 72% of his matches compared to 65% for Raonic. Their clay results in the last 12 months are quite even but slightly favour Cilic.

Raonic has faced just 1 break point in each of his matches. He played better in the last round against Cecchinato after a poor start to his first match where he lost the opening set and looked to be struggling.

Cilic

Marin Cilic

Cilic beat Verdasco in straight sets in the last round. He was broken twice.  His first serve was excellent though at just 33% of points won his second serve looked vulnerable.

The sets are likely to be tight so we have some value on Raonic. He may take a tie break set. Cilic is the better returner and I expect him to take this. Back Cilic above 1.85 or if he loses set 1.

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ATP Monte Carlo, Second round: Garcia Lopez v Seppi

Lucky Loser Garcia Lopez should be a loser again today

Due to start at 1 pm

Garcia Lopez 2.46, Seppi 1.66

Seppi has won 7 of their 8 previous matches. They last met in a hard court Challenger tournament in January this year. Seppi won in straight sets. Seppi won both their clay matches in straight sets.

H2H

Head to head info from Tennis Insight

Seppi beat Edmund in the last round in 3 sets. Edmund reached the final in Marrakech last week but was beaten by Andujar. He was probably fatigued for his match yesterday. Seppi has played well on hard courts  and indoor hard courts this season. He has a poor clay record. He has come through the qualifying rounds this week.

Seppi

Andreas Seppi

Garcia Lopez lost in the qualifying round but gets a lucky loser place in the main draw.  He has reached the quarter finals of two clay tournaments in 2018.  Both were in February. His more recent form has been poor.

I give Seppi a slight edge here but will need a better entry price. Back him above 1.80.

Update: Seppi was broken in 1st set but broke back. Still lost the set but came back to win in 3 sets.
Seppi won 4-6, 6-3, 7-5

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