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31st July 2015

ATP German tennis Championships, 12:30 – Fognini v Bedene

Fognini leads their previous meetings 5-0. Their last match was last season on clay. he won in 3 sets.

Bedene has been competitive in all their matches with the exception of their first match in 2011 when Bedene retired.

Fognini has been in excellent form this week and even when he had a dispute with the umpire against Ramos he controlled himself well. He didn’t melt down and tried to keep a smile on his face.

Bedene served well to beat Bautista Agut in 2 tie break sets.

The sets will be close and we have a reasonable chance of seeing 3 sets. I favour Fognini to get the win but not below 1.80 . Wait to back him if he gets broken.

 

 

 

WTA Brazil Tennis Cup, 16:00 – Beck v Mattek Sands

Beck says she is enjoying the tournament and the conditions. She hasn’t dropped a set so far. I thought both Lim and Ce may give her a few more problems than they did but.

Sands is playing her usual attacking style but it almost let her down in the last round. She really shouldn’t have needed 3 sets to beat Martincova. She faced 12 break points and was broken 6 times. She will get chances on the Beck serve but Beck is in decent form recently on clay and I give her the edge today.

Value on Beck at evens.

 

 

 

ATP Atlanta Open, 19:00 – Kudla v Sela

Sela has won both their previous meetings. The most recent was in 2013 on grass and he won in 2 sets.

For whatever reason Sela loves Atlanta. He reached the final last year. He faced just 1 break point against Becker in the last round.

Kudla also has the winning habit and has won 16 of his last 18. He faced 10 break points against Sock in the last round and twice had to come back from a break behind in their opening set.

I went against Sela yesterday and I am doing so again today. Value IS on him though as underdog but Kudla is proving hard to beat at the moment.

Back Kudla above 2.10

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30th July 2015

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ATP German Tennis Championships, 13:00 – Seppi v Mayer

Seppi leads the head to heads 3-1. The most recent meeting was in 2014. it was on a hard court and he won in 3 sets. Their only clay match was in 2005. Seppi won in 2 sets.

Seppi served very well to beat Klizan in the 1st round. He faced just 3 break points and if I remember correctly they were all in the same game. He saved all 3.

Mayer was let off the hook so many times by Montanes in their 1st round match. He faced 16 break points and was broken just 4 times. He faced 7 break points in a single game. Very frustrating as I had tipped Montanes!

I have to go with Seppi. He wasn’t good last week but has improved a great deal in this tournament. I’d prefer 1.60 to 1.70 before backing.

 

 

 

ATP Atlanta Open, 23:00 – Isner v Stepanek

Stepanek leads their previous meetings 3-1. The most recent was in  2012. That was on a hard court and Stepanek won in 3 sets.

Isner hasn’t played on a hard court since he reached the semi finals in Miami in March. He has a fantastic record in Atlanta. He is defending champion and also won in 2013. He has reached the final in 4 of his 5 visits to this event. The 5th was as semi final loss to Roddick in 3 sets.

Since he returned to the tour in April after 7 months out Stepanek struggled on clay and grass. He reached the quarter finals in Bogota last week losing to Karlovic in 3 sets.

I think Step can take this to 3 sets but Isner has proved in the past that he is tough the beat in this venue.

Back Isner if Stepanek takes set 1.

 

 

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29th July 2015

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WTA Brazil tennis Cup, 14:30 – Maria v Torro Flor

Torro Flor won their only previous match in 2012. It was on clay and she won  6-0, 6-0.

Clay isn’t Maria’s best surface. She has lost 4 of her last 5 on this surface.

Torro Flor has had a pretty dismal season so far. She did win an ITF event in May against decent opposition. Her second serve was weak against Peterson and if Peterson hadn’t choked all her chances away that match would have gone the distance.

I think this match will give us a lot of breaks of serve. Torro Flor is the better clay courter when in form. I will back her when she goes a break behind.

 

 

 

 

 

ATP Atlanta Open, 18:30 – Muller v Donaldson

It was an easy win for Muller over Young in the last round.  He lost just 3 games. He has a very good record on hard courts this year.

Donaldson has come through the qualifying rounds and beat Devvarman in the main draw. I had expected Devvarman to put up more of a fight. Donaldson also beat big serving Aussie John-Patrick Smith in the qualifying rounds in 3 sets.  Like most young Americans he has a big serve but the return side of his game gets neglected.

This could come down to tie breaks. Muller has won 11 of 14 tie breaks on hard courts this season.

There is little value on Muller unless Donaldson  takes the first set.

 

 

 

ATP Atlanta Open, 21:30 – Soeda v Mannarino

Mannarino won their only previous meeting in 2012. That was on grass and he won in 3 sets.

Soeda has only played this event once before. That was in 2012 and he reached the semi finals. It was a good win for him in the last round beating Dolgopolov. That wasn’t one of Dolgopolov’s best performances but Soeda deserved the victory.

Mannarino reached the final last week in Bogota. He has been playing well in recent months but as he has nothing to defend this week I expect him to want to rest.

It is worth laying him below 1.20 .

 

 

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