WTA Kremlin Cup, Moscow, Final: Kuznetsova v Gavrilova (11:00)

Kuznetsova has won both their previous matches. Their last meeting was in May this year in Rome. She won in 3 sets on clay.

Kuznetsova looked to be running away with her semi final with Svitolina losing just 1 game in the opening set. Towards the end of set 2 she was starting to look pretty tired but she came back from a long bathroom break and broke at the start of set 3 and held on to that break for the match. That’s 2 tough 3 setters in a row for her.kuznetsova14

Gavrilova came through in straight sets against Goerges who was not able to maintain her level of play from previous rounds. She has had a strong week with an easy win over a poor Safarova in round 1. Suarez Navarro started well against her but was pegged back late in the 1st set. She retired early in the second set. Then Gavrilova beat last year’s finalist Pavlyuchenkova in 3 tight sets.

I expect to see Kuznetsova tiring again in this one but she loves this tournament. It looks like another 3 set match. Value is on Gavrilova. My gut feeling is that Kuznetsova sneaks another tight match.


WTA Kremlin Cup, Moscow, Semi Final: Goerges v Gavrilova (15:00)

This will be their first meeting.

Goerges is serving strongly this week and can be tough to beat when that serve is working well.  She has beaten two Russians in the main draw with Vesnina and in form Kasatkina falling to her.gavrilova13

Gavrilova has beaten big name players in each round this week. Safarova was poor and Suarez Navarro started well but retired. She also beat last years finalist Pavlyuchenkova in 3 sets.

This is tough to call but if Goerges can continue to serve well she has a real chance. The value is on her.  It could well go to a deciding set. I give a slight edge to Gavrilova.


ATP European Open, Antwerp, Quarter Final: Seppi v Edmund (18:00)

This will be their first meeting.

Seppi made a shaky start to the week with a 3 sets win over Delbonis. His second serve was vulnerable and he faced a massive 16 break points though was broken 4 times.  In the second round he took an early lead against Haase but let the 5-2 advantage get away and he needed a late break to take the set.  He won the match 7-5, 7-5 and was more reliable on serve in set 2. edmund10

What a season Edmund is having! In his first round win over Marchenko he served well though I would have expected him to put more pressure on the Marchenko serve. He won the match in 2 tie breaks. His serve was broken twice.  In his next match he took on Ferrer who has been in decent form himself.  Ferrer often starts slowly and that was the case yesterday. Edmund easily took set 1 for the loss of just 1 game. Ferrer bounced back in the second set. In the deciding set Edmund was twice a break behind but broke back each time and took the match in a tie break.

Edmund has proved this year that he isn’t worried by the big names and he starts as pre match favourite at around 1.67 . Seppi is now ranked 100 but has been a top 20 player and can still hit that level on occasions.

I favour Edmund to win this as long as he maintains his level of play from yesterday. I want 1.85 or better.

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