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WTA Australian Open, 4th round: Pavlyuchenkova v Kuznetsova (midnight)

Kuznetsova leads the head to heads 5-2. Their most recent meeting was this month and Pavlyuchenkova won on a hard court in 2 sets. Only 1 of their matches went to 3 sets. Pavlyuchenkova won their last 2 matches on hard courts. Kuznetsova’s last win on a hard court was the 3 setter in 2010.

Pavlyuchenkova is looking to reach the quarter finals tonight against Kuznetsova

Statistics for this year slightly favour Kuznetsova but they are closely matched.

I hadn’t expected Pavlyuchenkova to beat Svitolina but she did so in 3 sets. Her second serve was vulnerable in that match and she won just 35% of points on it.

Kuznetsova also had a really tough match in the last round. She beat Jankovic 9-7 in the 3rd set. She faced 15 break points in that match.

This can go either way so value is on Pavlyuchenkova as underdog. There was no real reason for Kuznetsova not playing well when they last met earlier this month.

Lay Kuznetsova if she breaks first

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Shark Tips – Sunday

WTA Australian Open

09:30 – Kerber v Vandeweghe

Number of sets: Back “3 sets”,  0.5 units @ 2.50 (curr no money in market)

Update: Vandeweghe won in 2 sets.

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00:00 – Pavlyuchenkova v Kuznetsova

Back Pavlyuchenkova 1 unit @ 2.24 (curr 2.24)

Update: Pavlyuchenkova won in 2 sets.

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ATP Australian Open

0800 – Federer v Nishikori

Back Federer 1 unit @ 1.75 (curr 1.66)

Update: Federer won in 5 sets.

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ATP Australian Open, 3rd round: A Zverev v Nadal (03:00)

Nadal won their only previous meeting which was in March last year. That was at Indian Wells and Nadal won it 7-5 in the third set on a hard court.

Zverev wasn’t impressive in his 1st round win over Haase. He came through in 5 sets.  He was better against Tiafoe in the second round and saved all 5 of the break points that he faced.

Nadal should prove too strong for the young German.

Nadal has been broken once in 2 matches. In fact he didn’t face a single break point in the first round.

Zverev seems to love playing against the big names. I think he may take a set but will need one of his inspired performances if he is to really trouble the Spaniard.

Nadal starts around 1.38 . Back him if he is broken first

 

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