Quite a few games on today with the China Open first round for the ladies.
I don’t expect Murray to have a problem with Donald Young this time and beat him in straight sets in the US Open.
Tipsarevic v Baghdatis:
This is a tough one to call. Head to heads are 2-2 with Tipsarevic winning their last meeting a year ago.
Baghdatis’ ranking has rightly slipped to 60. Some of his performances this season have been pitiful. However whatever changes he has made recently appear to be working. He made Troicki look very ordinary in the semi final losing just 4 games. He also finished off Melzer in straight sets.
Tipsarevic had yet another win over Nishikori. The Japanese player must be sick of seeing him on the other side of the net. Tips has beaten him 5 times this season. Tipsarevic hasn’t had as much court time as his final opponent due to Davydenko retiring in the first set of their quarter final.
Tipsarevic, in contrast to Baghdatis, has has a good season so far. He reached his highest career ranking of 13 three weeks ago and has improved most areas of his game.
Baggy has more experience of the big matches. Tipsarevic has lost 3 of the 4 ATP finals he has played in and has been known to falter in the big matches. He is however a much improved player currently.
Tipsarevic starts as favourite at 1.68 . Before this week I’d have said those were generous odds but Baghdatis isn’t rolling over this week. His serve has been poor at times but when the pressure is on he has pulled out some big serves.
Tipsarevic has had the easier draw this week and I actually think that will work against him. He hasn’t really been tested. He gets some bad press on the forums for being a nasty character who can’t be trusted but I disagree with that view. Anyone who saw his interview after the Davydenko retirement saw a very genuine, thoughtful man with no sign of arrogance. That could be why, in the past, he has failed in the big games.
Baggy also comes across well in interviews but has also shown that when in form he can perform on the big stage. I give him a slight edge in this final which I am basing on his form this week and his experience of winning finals.
Two very tight sets or a three setter.
Update: very tight match and even when Tipsarevic looked to be running away with the second set Baghdatis was able to pull back to 5-5.
However it was Tipsarevic who took the title 6-4, 7-5.