12th April 2015

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ATP Monte Carlo, 13:00 – Tomic v Rosol

Tomic leads the head to heads 1-0.That was this year on an indoor hard court and he won in 3 sets.

Tomic has a very poor record on clay.  He reached the quarter finals in Indian Wells though withdrew through injury. He is starting to suffer from minor injuries after an excellent but tough start to the season.

Rosol has finally started to play decent tennis this year. He reached the third round in Indian Wells. He is by far the better clay courter. He reached the thirdrd round last year losing to Federer.

This looks a decent price on Rosol.

 

 

 

WTA Family Circle Cup, 18:00 – Keys v Kerber

Kerber leads the head to heads 2-1. The most recent was in 2014 on grass and Keys won in 3 sets.

The 3 month stats favour Keys. She is playing at a high level this week. She has faced a total of 7 break points and hasn’t been broken.

Kerber has been broken 12 times this week. She has had 3 tight matches and has had to work a lot harder for the wins.

Kerber reached 4 finals last season and lost them all. She was favourite in 2 of them including the Eastbourne loss to Keys. Keys has won the last 3 of her 4 finals. Eastbourne was her first WTA final.

I am going with Keys to take the title but I think Kerber is playing well enough to take it to 3 sets. Wait for a higher price on Keys in the first set.

Keys starts around 1.57 .

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