Even more value in the Daily Trading Spreadsheet for the next few weeks. 32 match previews yesterday ( and the same today ) including my own pricing for each match and also the Wins a Set selections.
Here is yesterday’s spreadsheet as an example
This week with more matches than usual to preview for the Daily Trading Spreadsheet I have had to limit my time in front of the screen during trading. This has meant I have only been in the members chatroom on one evening session. I have also had other things going on in the evenings. Multi tasking doesn’t come close to explaining it!
ATP BNP Paribas Open, 19:45 – Johnson v Granollers
Johnson leads the head to heads 1-0 . That was in 2014 on a hard court and he won in 3 sets.
Granollers has only won 2 of his 7 matches in the last 6 months on hardcourts.
Johnson won 11 of 18 on hard courts in the last 6 months. Johnson is my pick here. He has a bigger serve and a better record on hard courts.
I’d have taken the Pinnacle price of 1.73 but 1.41 on Betfair is crazily low. Granollers can serve well on hard courts and will not roll over easily. Wait for a better entry price on Johnson.
ATP BNP Paribas Open, 21:15 – Haase v Bolt
They have never met.
Haase is in terrible form and has lost all 7 of his 2015 matches. His last 4 were 3 setters.
Bolt has done well in Challengers this season and has a big serve. If Haase struggles to read his serve there is a chance of an upset here.
Haase starts at 1.58
WTA BNP Paribas Open, 21:15 – Stephens v Kerber
Kerber leads the head to heads 1-0. That was at indian Wells in 2012. She won in 3 sets.
Stephens’ ranking is in free fall. She reached the quarter finals last year and will probably drop outside the top 50 with a loss today. She didn’t serve well in the 1st round although must have been nervous. She won 7-5, 7-5. She won just 38% of points on her second serve.
Kerber lost in the 2nd round last year having reached the semis in 2013. She can really help her ranking points total with a strong tournament. She started the season well with a semi and a quarter final but has been poor since.
Stephens has more to play for. My gut feeling is that Kerber takes a tight match but she has had a couple of really poor performances in her last 3 tournaments. Back Kerber above evens. She starts at 1.60
ATP BNP Paribas Open, Midnight – Golubev v Brown
Golubev leads the head to heads 1-0. That was in 2013 on clay and he won in 3 sets.
The 6 month stats favour Brown.
Golubev has just 2 wins all season and only one in a main draw match.
Brown has just 3 wins from last 10. Has been unlucky with his draws. Losses have often been close with 3 sets losses to Karlovic, Johnson, Janowicz and Dimitrov.
Brown starts at 1.74 and its a fair price. I’d prefer to back him above evens.