15th August 2014

Clean sweeps on the Shark Tips selections are staying just out of reach. Yesterday Ferrer won @ 1.75 (in play) and Fognini/Lu went to 3 sets but having taken the opening set Cilic had problems with an arm injury and won just a single game in the next 2 sets. Another day of profit though.

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ATP Cincinnati, 16:00 – Wawrinka v Benneteau

Benneteau actually leads the head to heads 3-2. They have only played once in the last 2 seasons which was last September in Kuala Lumpur. Benneteau won on a hard court in straight sets.

We have seen a few of the top players exit early this week. They perhaps don’t want to over exert themselves too much with the US Open being 2 weeks away. As Wawrinka had matched his performance from last season I felt Cilic had a great chance to beat him but an arm injury took that chance away.

Benneteau hasn’t had his best season so far with this being just his third quarter final of the year on the main tour. He has looked pretty good in the last 2 weeks though and this won’t be an easy one for Stan.

Wawrinka is way too low at 1.34 and Benneteau has enough ability to push him close. Its a lay for me and i will remove the liability if Wawrinka is broken.

 

 

ATP Cincinnati, 18:00 – Raonic v Fognini

Fognini did beat Raonic on a hard court last season. It was in an exhibition event though and you know what I think of those. Their only other meeting was later in 2013 in a Davis Cup match and Raonic won in straight sets on a hard court.

Raonic was put under a lot of pressure in the last round by Johnson who has been serving well. Their match was decided in a third set tie break. He lost in the quarter finals last season. His SP of 1.26 offers no value at all.

Fognini didn’t win a match in Cincinnati last season so has already increased his points total. He has played pretty well this week but has taken a while to get his serve going properly in each match. If you go a break behind against Raonic it is tough to recover.

1.26 is worth a lay though. Raonic should take it if he gives 100%.

 

 

WTA Cincinnati, 18:00 – S Williams v Jankovic

Stosur pushed Serena very close earlier this week. Jankovic beat Stephens for the second time in 2 weeks but this time it was a much better display from her and she won in straight sets.

Serena’s SP of 1.16 is a lay all day. Only for a trade though. Serena reached the final last year so won’t be in a rush to leave early. First set to Jankovic would be nice and we can switch to Serena.

 

 

ATP Cincinnati, 20:00 – Robredo v Ferrer

Ferrer leads the head to heads 7-2. only one of those matches wasn’t on clay. They have played 3 times in the last 3 season. Ferrer won them all.

Djokovic is not playing his best tennis right now but we shouldn’t take too much away from Robredo. he has been playing well all week and his serve has been superb.

Ferrer was struggling against Youzhny last night. The Russian served for the first set at 5-3 and was 30-0. He was broken and didn’t win another game.

I think Robredo is playing well enough to put some serious pressure on Ferrer tonight.

Ferrer has better numbers on return of serve but Robredo is stronger from the service line.

Three sets are a real possibility and I am slightly favouring Ferrer to find a way. Not before he trades above evens though.

 

The other matches are covered for the Shark Tips service.

    Trading Guide

9 thoughts on “15th August 2014”

  1. Last 2 seasons H2H Serena has murdered her. She’s not even come close winning a set. Why is the lay advisable….still learning.

    1. She has had some unexpected losses this season and also has gone behind in matches that she was expected to win easily. Jankovic is playing at her highest level for several seasons in my opinion.

      Would you feel comfortable backing Serena at that price? I certainly wouldn’t.

      If we lay and she runs away with the match it isn’t a huge loss

      1. Would you lay from the beginning or wait for a few games. I’m still trying to formulate the best entry points

        1. Obviously the lower you can get the lay on the better but as we never know for certain how a match will start there is no action/plan that works every time.
          Options could be:
          Lay at the start
          Wait to lay after Williams breaks
          Lay with part stake at the start and lay again after she breaks

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