18 Sep 2013 – For all you early risers this Wednesday……..and where did I put my lucky tennis ball?

I think it’s quite possible that one day you will see me on the news. There will be a report about some madman who ran amok in the players’ locker room with an UZI. It’s the only way they’ll learn. If you see this report on the TV and see a guy with crazed eyes bent over the front of a cop car screaming, “….just one fuckin hold!!! JUST ONE!!!…” it could be me.

If you’re the first to see it please make banners pleading for the release of the Worcester One.

For trading these lapses in concentration from the players are perfect. For predicting the ultimate outcome of a match they have induced many more grey hairs than I should have.  If I am trading a match that I have a tip running on once I have greened up ( or obviously occasionally redded up) then I want the final outcome to be the one I predicted. On Tuesday I nearly broke 3 fingers and one of the cats has a lucky tennis balled rammed up its back end.

Ok now I got that off my chest lets have a look at Wednesday’s early matches.

 

Goerges wins a match and she starts the next at 1.30? She has won just 2 of her last 9 matches. Her serve has been a little better recently but her return of serve really hasn’t.

Going back to July Begu has been winning the matches that she should be winning with just 2 losses as favourite. As underdog she has won just 1 and her price that day was around 2.10 .

Goerges’ serve was near its best in round one and she hit 7 aces with just 3 double faults. I have to expect her to win this one but I will be surprised if we don’t get a higher entry price. I will back her if she goes a break behind.

 

Schiavone made it through her first round match with a LOT of help from opponent Petkovic. She has won all 4 of her matches against Razzano but the most recent was in 2009.

Over the last 3 months Razzano has better serve  return of serve stats and she allows fewer holds by her opponents. Predicted holds are even.

Razzano seems to be able to lift her game when there’s a big name on the other side of the net. her serve is working well anyway this week and against Lino she won 64% and 69% of points on 1st and 2nd serves respectively. She hit 4 aces and just 1 double fault. She saved all 5 of the break points that she faced and won an incredible 88% of points against Lino’s second serve ( though it has to be said her second serve makes Volandri’s serve look like Raonic’s ).

Schiavone’s first serve percentage was 45% against Petkovic and she won just 40% of her second serve points.

I think Schiavone is going to have some problems with this match and won’t be at all surprised to see Razzano win.

I’d love to lay Schiavone if she goes a break ahead early.

 

Jovanovski seems to have dealt well enough with her win last week and I’d expect her to get the win over Vania King. Her starting price is a little low at 1.50 but if I can get over 1.75 I will start backing her.

 

Zheng predictably beat Shvedova in straight sets but I think she could have more problems with Timea Babos.

Babos is serving well enough to nick a set with a first serve percentage of 65% against Lepchenko and she won 72% of her first serve points.

Her weakness has been in returning first serves and Zheng’s first serve percentage of 71% and winning 64% of those first serve points may prove too much for her.

Zheng’s starting price of 1.30 is way too low and I’m sure we will see higher. A lay below 1.20 would be great for a trade.

Zheng to win in 3.

    Trading Guide