The Shark Tips are going through a really tough spell of “negative variance”. So many are losing in third sets and 5-7 in the third set seems to be the gambling gods’ favourite laugh at my expense.
I’m not doing anything differently and am confident that it will swing back in my favour but the poor results are adding a level of stress that isn’t usually there.
if anything, my trading has jumped up a level so no problems there. The increase in unexpected results certainly doesn’t hurt that side of things.
ATP Swiss Open, 12:30 – Haase has played Nedovyesov just once before which was in April this year. That was also on clay and Nedovyesov won in 2 tight sets.
Haase had a good run on the clay last year and reached the final of this event. His form this season hasn’t been anywhere near the 2013 level though.
Nedovyesov reached the quarter final of a Challenger clay tournament a couple of weeks ago and should be able to push Haase’s price well above his SP of 1.48 .
Hopefully the points he needs to defend will add a little extra to Haase’s game and he will come through for the win.
ATP Croatia Open, 15:30 – Rosol has been enjoying quite some success on the clay with a final and a quarter final in his last 2 events. He has no points to defend this week though and I can’t help wondering if he is ready for a few days’ rest.
His opponent today is Schwartzman who has been very successful in the Challenger clay events this season. He has won a title and reached another final plus a semi final and quarter final. If Rosol does fancy a break then Schwartzman has the ability to take advantage.
This is one to watch to see how hard Rosol fights if he should go behind. He starts at 1.50 and if he wants the win that is a decent price. I’d prefer to wait until he is broken before entering on him to limit the damage if he looks like he’s tanking.
ATP Croatia Open, 19:00 – Zverev had a fantastic week last week reaching his first semi final. As it was in his home country the media interest will have been huge and he probably found himself doing endless interviews. That is a big distraction for such a young player who looked dead on his feet by the end of the tournament. Will his mind still be in Germany when he steps out to play Montanes? Probably.
Montanes is still able to compete on clay and will use his vast experience to try to unsettle the young German in the early games. He retired from the French Open and has lost both his matches since then but i think he can take advantage of a Zverev let down today.